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Originally Posted by DudeImBetter
Thoughts on what kind of GE bump Dems would get in 2020 if Trump were Impeached in 2017? Ditto in 2019?
I think it's way too early to make any kind of predictions. Typically the political landscape during the actual election year is what counts. We don't know what the unemployment rate or the market will be, what kind of national emergencies or disasters will happen, how Pence might be received if he assumes the Presidency, or the quality of candidate the Dems come up with. This far out it would be just as well to try and guess whether the Chicago Bears will be a playoff team in in 2020.
The midterms next year are still a ways out too at this point. But even with a bump Dems are fighting a very uphill battle to even hope for 50% of of the House and the Senate looks worse.
Right now I'm not convinced that a failed Trump presidency assures the Dems of anything in 2020. They'll still need to sell themselves to voters well enough to overcome the inevitable misinformation and other hurdles in front of them first, else they could easily be knocked off by some other GOP clown, who's likely to have a much better-financed campaign and able to speak coherently.