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The Presidency of Donald J. Trump: No smocking guns. The Presidency of Donald J. Trump: No smocking guns.

08-14-2018 , 12:02 PM
This seemed so familiar but I couldn't put my finger on it. Now I see. Reservoir "Dog."

Quote:
Originally Posted by Namath12
08-14-2018 , 12:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by epcfast
I wonder how much his sexual frustration is increasing this madness?
yeah what’s it like when you’re the most famous, most watched man in the world and you can’t continue cheating on your wife because all the phony religious idiots you sold your soul to are watching too closely? plus everyone around you 24/7 hates you so you can’t get away with **** because it’ll get leaked to the press immediately. Keith Schiller would wrangle a half dozen Russian hookers at a time no problem but these secret service knobs would probably write it down and submit it to their supervisor

you’d probably rage on twitter a lot
08-14-2018 , 12:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
Brazil nuts are the best.
FYP
08-14-2018 , 12:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by simplicitus
Trump is going so hard at FBI and Russia investigation that I'd think even most impartial, nonpolitical observers have to believe he's guilty. Someone should tell him that his goal should be to get the support of 50%+1, not the fervent allegiance of 35%.

I feel like we're living in the miasma of Trump's almost uniquely agressive stupidity.
Their desperation lately makes me pretty confident that Mueller has the goods.

I'm not at all confident it will matter.
08-14-2018 , 12:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dinopoker
The n-word version was used in Pulp Fiction during the pawn shop sequence. That's where I learned about it.
THANK YOU. I had heard it before, but knew I had never heard anyone say it in real life, and I just couldn't figure out where it had ever come up. Pulp Fiction is definitely it.

I didn't even remember it until it came up in this thread.

I must be sheltered. I grew up in suburban Milwaukee and have lived in suburban Atlanta for nearly two decades and I don't think I've ever heard a white person use the n-word in normal conversation. I've heard racist things, but never the n-word just straight-up.
08-14-2018 , 12:12 PM
The flatness of the purple part of this graph seems to suggest that after a certain age human being are almost impervious to new information, at least "abstract" ideological information, that conflicts with their priors. (And with older, less-educated, and less intelligent persons, it's even more difficult.) Incorporating the new information at face value would require too radical a revision of their broader commitments.

That's probably why things like ecstasy/MDA and other drug-based types of therapy have some promise, because they seem to shake up the system enough that people can get out of cognitive ruts and adopt novel ways of thinking that are less destructive than those that occasioned the therapy.


https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/sta...94471346208768
08-14-2018 , 12:12 PM
Any way Mueller can publicly release Trump's taxes as part of the investigation? That's the one thing that would get Trump to step down.
08-14-2018 , 12:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by m_reed05
Their desperation lately makes me pretty confident that Mueller has the goods.

I'm not at all confident it will matter.
mueller could present an HD pee tape plus a tape of trump agreeing to work with russian spies plus documentation of russian organized crime owning trump’s assets and 90% of republicans including awval would say, “that doesn’t look like anything to me. Mueller’s a traitor for not locking up Hillary”
08-14-2018 , 12:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by m_reed05
Their desperation lately makes me pretty confident that Mueller has the goods.



I'm not at all confident it will matter.


I‘m pretty sure he has the goods on financial shenanigans, probably involving the Russian mob and some weak-sauce stuff on collusion with the government.
The former might actually move the needle for Trump‘s approval, the latter likely won’t.
The question is whether Trump can directly be implicated or whether it‘s just Don Jr., Eric and Kushner.
There is of course still the outline chance of the 19.5% of Rosneft thing being real, which would really move the needle, I guess.
08-14-2018 , 12:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TrollyWantACracker
Ja'Ron Smith! Conway should have guessed, she might have gotten it!
No way she doesn't guess Jenkins
08-14-2018 , 12:18 PM

https://twitter.com/jimsciutto/statu...96756180750337



Bold move, Cotton?
08-14-2018 , 12:21 PM
Manafort is broke, legal team said "**** it."
08-14-2018 , 12:25 PM
Fix is in let's not waste any more of the court's time
08-14-2018 , 12:25 PM
i suppose it looks better for posterity to plead not guilty and accept a pardon than to plead guilty and accept a pardon
08-14-2018 , 12:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Max Cut

https://twitter.com/jimsciutto/statu...96756180750337

Bold move, Cotton?
Wait, what?
08-14-2018 , 12:30 PM
I suppose they have to follow through as a warning to other former crew.

https://twitter.com/PhilipRucker/sta...87046509584384
08-14-2018 , 12:32 PM
Criminal defense attorney and former federal prosecutor:


https://twitter.com/Popehat/status/1029399456490315780
08-14-2018 , 12:41 PM
Jeff Flake just issued a strongly worded tweet!

...after voting to fast track Kavanaugh

**** this mother****er so hard
08-14-2018 , 12:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by uDevil
I suppose they have to follow through as a warning to other former crew.

https://twitter.com/PhilipRucker/sta...87046509584384
Note that this concerns an NDA signed with the campaign, not anything she signed after Trump elected or she was a government employee.

Also, is the Trump Campaign a legitimate plaintiff? Sounds like being sued by a dissolved corporation, which I believe is possible but requires more than just filing a Complaint. BTW, what are the damages to the Campaign from breach of an NDA?

Also, it's an arbitration, and presumptively private. Remeber that Cohen was able to get a preliminary injunction from an arbitrator by, basically, not informing the other side (Stormey) they were seeking one. Shortly thereafter, if I recall, Avanatti came on and got the arbitration stayed and the injunction tossed by the federal court.

Still, to the extent campaigns are semi-official government entities, it may lack standing to bring an NDA or institute arbitration based on one. I mean there are like 10 different issues/problems here, and I'm not an expert, but some enterprising lawyer(s) will offer a much more detailed account and analysis as to why this is basically not going to work.

It seems to me that Trump is tilted and pushing with a pair of 2s, mainly to intimidate others and because he's a petulant child. Lawyers for Omarosa's publisher will likely represent her and crush Trump, like other publishers have done in the past.
08-14-2018 , 12:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
Schvartze. The exact spelling is not important, but there's no 'r' at the end. I'm not saying Jews aren't racist, but the words are not close.

And I said that I don't remember anyone ever using the n-word (which responded to what Matty said about how common it was) and I did not grow up in Jewish enclaves.
The words are closer than you think. Jews don't need to say the n-word because they have their own word that falls between ****** and coloreds they can use for situations like when they think the schvarzte cleaning lady is stealing, or never letting their kid date a schvartze. It doesn't have the historical significance of the n-word though because it's not associated with slavery.
08-14-2018 , 12:48 PM
lol @ thinking the Trump Campaign ever stopped.

He's pushed with a pair of 2's his entire life, it works because rake is ridiculous (ie legal costs). He always sues anyone that says anything bad ever, doesn't matter if it's true or not, he dgaf, he can get money from anywhere or just stiffs his lawyers anyway. There's always a lawyer willing to do it for the publicity.

ie, he shoves a pair of 2's all he wants b/c he's freerolling, he'll still win some % of the time. Hell, he won the ****ing presidency with it.
08-14-2018 , 12:50 PM
If Manafort was counting on a pardon, he would've been better off taking the stand and making a total mockery of the court.
08-14-2018 , 12:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GermanGuy
I‘m pretty sure he has the goods on financial shenanigans, probably involving the Russian mob and some weak-sauce stuff on collusion with the government.
The former might actually move the needle for Trump‘s approval, the latter likely won’t.
The question is whether Trump can directly be implicated or whether it‘s just Don Jr., Eric and Kushner.
There is of course still the outline chance of the 19.5% of Rosneft thing being real, which would really move the needle, I guess.
That needle isn't like bitcoin man. At best it's a cd rate of going down % no matter what. He has higher approval ratings for a republican than reagan did. That is going nowhere no matter what. At absolute best they'll just insist that everyone but Trump is lying.
08-14-2018 , 12:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wheatrich
lol @ thinking the Trump Campaign ever stopped.

He's pushed with a pair of 2's his entire life, it works because rake is ridiculous (ie legal costs). He always sues anyone that says anything bad ever, doesn't matter if it's true or not, he dgaf, he can get money from anywhere.
But the times when he's sued over books or tv, the defendants have always had lawyers from the publisher (e.g., Mary Joe White, former SEC head), which have without exception mercilessly crushed Trump and his ****ty lawyers (whose chief skill is writing nasty letters to the unrepresented). Omarosa will have lawyers from the publisher as part of her book deal.

What they need to do is to pull out all the stops to get it out of arbitration so that Trump faces the prospect of a deposition, at which time he will fold like a cheap suit.

They will be entitled to a deposition in association with the arbitration, but it will be presumptively confidential (though they can at least argue that it should not be).
08-14-2018 , 12:59 PM
Thanks for posting these simplicitus, they are informative, but aren't some of those points the same basic thing just dressed up a little different. That's how lawyers make money tho i suppose

Last edited by superleeds; 08-14-2018 at 01:06 PM. Reason: I'm referring to the popehat tweet you linked and not your posts just avoid any confusion

      
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