Quote:
Originally Posted by cuserounder
Yeah, and I've seen polling that shows Texas within 2 percent as well... But it's a long way off, and this is before months of beating voters over the head with the message that __________ is a socialist who hates America coming for your guns/money/bible/cows/cars/planes.
I wouldn't read too much into the polling yet, it'll almost certainly tighten in the fall of 2020.
Yeah but we did touch on this recently and every orevious precedent reaches out as soon as they take office and at least feign uniting. This is primarly done to set the floor for re-election. Trump has done just the opposite and tripled down on his dividing rhetoric. This means he is unlikely to get any “the devil you know” votes and likely means he is ONLY going to be pulling from those who voted for him last time. This number, due to numerous reasons will be lower than last time.
I have no confidence he will get re-elected, but he is playing opposite of the ways previous presidents tried to get re-elected during a first term. If it were a straight up vote, trump would have zero chance of getting re-elected. The issue is how the electoral college shakes out.