Quote:
Originally Posted by An_Reathai
That opinion poll is incredible.
You have to think that if Macron is as viable as that poll indicates then a decent number of Hamon's 15% will end up voting tactically for Macron and put him into the second round (especially since presumably enough PS voters remember the shambles of 2002). A couple of months ago, the only choice seemed to be Fillon or Le Pen. The left/center might actually win this thing!
I'm not sure about that. The actual left is saying Macron is just another rightist politician. Some even brings the (((banker))) argument who worked at (((Rothschild))). It resonates a lot with your typical marxist voter.
For the second round, yeah, most will vote Macron. First round I don't think so. Maybe if some polls show that a Fillon/Le Pen showdown is very close but even then, I don't see it happening...
Quote:
Originally Posted by daca
how does the hamon-mélenchon alliance thing they talk about work in practice? would both names be on the ballot but only one of them the candidate?
it'll also be interesting, to put it mildly, to see how the trump admin tries to help le pen and hopefully how badly it backfires.
One would remove himself off the ballot and cleary asks his followers to vote for x. I doubt Mélenchon would remove himself, the guy thinks he is Tsipras (before kneeling down to the ECB) mixed with Chavez (before bankrupting his country), very dangerous guy.
Hamon vowed that his name will be on the ballot but being a spineless socialist that he is, maybe he will remove himself for the promise to be prime minister in a Mélenchon win.
Hypermind (french predictive market) gives Hamon ~13% chance not to be on the ballot comes the presidential.
Also, note that I'm completely biased in a Macron win. I try to stay objective when explaining what's going but don't take my word for it. Furthermore I thought the Brexit and Trump would never happen.
Last edited by BABARtheELEPHANT; 01-30-2017 at 10:12 AM.