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July LC Thread **Survivor White House Edition** July LC Thread **Survivor White House Edition**
View Poll Results: Who will NOT survive the month of July?
Jefferson Beauregard Sessions III
2 3.92%
John Kelly
18 35.29%
Jared Kushner
1 1.96%
Wilbur Ross
4 7.84%
Ben Carson
0 0%
Rudy Giuliani
1 1.96%
Scott Pruitt
15 29.41%
Kellyanne Conway
2 3.92%
Rod Rosenstein
3 5.88%
Write-in
5 9.80%

07-23-2018 , 09:58 PM
Carvana car vending machine wtf

07-23-2018 , 10:27 PM
I drove past one of those Carvana things in Tempe today. It could be the very one in the video. When they were putting it up it really stuck out and I couldn't think what the hell it could be. I didn't even bother to look over at it today.
07-23-2018 , 11:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by simplicitus
Now, consider evolution. One might be able to tell some BS story of the type so beloved by armchair evolutionary biologists that people in Africa (who, again, show major genetic variation) lacked the selection pressures that caused their Asian counterparts to develop "better" cognitive functions. Can one tell that evolutionary story for 1200 distinct genes, a sample that accounts for maybe 10% of "cognitive performance"? Were the evolutionary selection pressures for this subset of genes (or, say, the assumed superset of, say, 10k genes that account for most of "cognitive performance"), all in the same direction that selected for Asian "cognitive performance" over African "cognitive performance". That would be pretty damn incredible from an evolutionary standpoint. One would seemingly expect differences in these 1.2k or 10k genes to vary randomly among the populations, such that the "higher cognitive performance" variant was as likely to be found in one population or another. (And, one wonders what sorts of significant uni-directional variation could take place over say, 50-100k years, a pretty limited time scale but about the longest possible period since the common ancestors of groups were cohabiting.)
Selection is on the basis of phenotypes - traits, behaviours etc so it's not surprising at all that multiple genes involved in one phenotype could exhibit selection in the same direction. For example, if fast running ability were being heavily selected for, we would expect multiple disparate genes all conferring some running advantage to all display selection pressure. Worth noting also that "determine ethnic ancestry by analysing a large number of SNPs" describes the business model of Ancestry, 23andme etc. You can have it done for $99.

Your last sentence is pretty "wat". 50-100K years is a giant amount of evolutionary time. Speciation from H. Erectus to H. Sapiens is thought to have taken place only about 300,000 years ago. From the op-ed by the genetics professor at Harvard which I have linked before:

Quote:
You will sometimes hear that any biological differences among populations are likely to be small, because humans have diverged too recently from common ancestors for substantial differences to have arisen under the pressure of natural selection. This is not true. The ancestors of East Asians, Europeans, West Africans and Australians were, until recently, almost completely isolated from one another for 40,000 years or longer, which is more than sufficient time for the forces of evolution to work. Indeed, the study led by Dr. Kong showed that in Iceland, there has been measurable genetic selection against the genetic variations that predict more years of education in that population just within the last century.
The whole op-ed is basically a gentle warning that the idea that populations separated for that long aren't going to have differences is almost impossible, so we might not want to rely on that as a premise on which political equality is built.
07-23-2018 , 11:12 PM
Be funny if you could just drop a soup can lid in that Carvana machine and get a car.
07-23-2018 , 11:23 PM
Hey, surprise surprise you remember that Ken Bone fellow? He apparently was actually a deplorable assclown the whole time:

07-23-2018 , 11:28 PM
I love that these are supposed to be conferences for high schoolers but it's just a setup by the Mercers to give 40-80 year old deplorables a blank cheque.
More young people play fortnite on a daily basis then have heard of every speaker there combined.
07-23-2018 , 11:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trolly McTrollson
It’s a weird example because Asians arent that well represented at elite chess and white dudes are scrubs at go, so gl trying to find a theory of racial IQ which fits the evidence.
Indians and Middle Easterners become 'Asian' when needed.
07-23-2018 , 11:36 PM


Quote:
This past spring, Michael Ferro resigned as chairman of publicly traded media-looting hell-company Tronc, Inc., just ahead of the publication of sexual harassment allegations against him. As a parting gift, Tronc paid him $15 million, voluntarily bundling up the total value of a three-year consulting contract into one lump payment expensed against the company’s earnings and putting itself $14.8 million in the red for the first quarter. Today, Tronc gutted the New York Daily News, laying off at least half of its editorial staff to cut costs. In a society not crippled and driven completely insane by capitalism, mother****ers would go to prison for this.
Brutal.
07-23-2018 , 11:40 PM
Liv Boeree was on Sean Carroll's podcast. First half is about poker, so probably uninteresting to anyone here. Second half mostly about recent ideas re the Fermi Paradox. My lithium speculation didn't come up.

https://www.preposterousuniverse.com...probabilities/
07-23-2018 , 11:56 PM
Ken Bone sold himself as the magic unicorn that Democratic marks (myself included) all wanted to believe was real: an adorable undecided voter from coal county who just wanted to listen to both sides politely explain how they would help the economy of Scranton before casting his vote. The warning signs were all there; we knew he had a Reddit account. But we didn't want to believe he was 100% going to vote Trump all along because the Soros PC media won't let us talk about freezepeach race science.
07-24-2018 , 12:00 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by uDevil
Liv Boeree was on Sean Carroll's podcast. First half is about poker, so probably uninteresting to anyone here. Second half mostly about recent ideas re the Fermi Paradox. My lithium speculation didn't come up.

https://www.preposterousuniverse.com...probabilities/
That article she's talking about - with us being a coin flip to be the only life in the universe - seemed to lead with universe as the headline, then change it to galaxy in the article. It was really weird.
07-24-2018 , 12:10 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99
Dude he's clearly thought about this subject for at least a half an hour. Therefore science.
You think they come to those conclusions by not thinking about it often?
07-24-2018 , 12:16 AM
I think they do motivated reasoning thought experiments that magically come to the conclusion they want, then move on quickly when satisfied with the result.
07-24-2018 , 12:25 AM
I have a question. I haven’t watched any tv in awhile. So I turn on Netflix, I don’t have cable. If Netflix was offering sincere religious programming, why does the first episode of the new queer eye take place in Gay Georgia. Tammy’s seems like a nice enough Christian but why there? If they were doing southern why didn’t they do the citadel university with all those hot hardworkinf navy college guys?
07-24-2018 , 12:38 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99
That article she's talking about - with us being a coin flip to be the only life in the universe - seemed to lead with universe as the headline, then change it to galaxy in the article. It was really weird.
You mean the article she wrote for vox? Near the beginning she does say "Yet the universe continues to appear devoid of life." But later she reports probabilities for both the galaxy and the observable universe.

https://www.vox.com/science-and-heal...drake-equation

I only read the abstract/conclusions and scanned the rest of the original paper. Her article is an accurate summary afaict.

https://arxiv.org/pdf/1806.02404.pdf

It makes me a little sad that deplorables may have an argument when it comes to just how goddamn special they are.
07-24-2018 , 12:40 AM
There's life outside of Earth, but Trump is the solution to Fermi's Paradox.
07-24-2018 , 12:45 AM
Trump and Putin are vengeful spirits from ancient Egypt sent to rule the earth and avenge their tormented mortal lives under pharaoh Yugi 5000 years ago and as they both have alluded to, the key to unlocking the demonic forces from Pandora’s chest lies not in Iran, Russia or USA, but in a small temple hidden in tiny Montenegro.
07-24-2018 , 12:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by uDevil
Liv Boeree was on Sean Carroll's podcast. First half is about poker, so probably uninteresting to anyone here. Second half mostly about recent ideas re the Fermi Paradox. My lithium speculation didn't come up.

https://www.preposterousuniverse.com...probabilities/
Just added Sean Carroll's Mindscape to my podcast subscriptions. Apparently, he started the podcast on July 1 and is 6 episodes in. Haven't listened to it yet but Carroll (Cal Tech physicist with an interest in philosophy) is a very good twitter follow. Boeree is solid as well.
07-24-2018 , 12:48 AM
Say it ain't so Ken Bone. (It was obviously so.)
07-24-2018 , 12:49 AM
I have a huge hole in my brain where there used to be poker thoughts. I have avoided thinking about poker since 2016. I will come back most likely to lose a bit someday.
07-24-2018 , 12:51 AM
Don't know if you're just catching up to Tronc Suzzer, but they are basically pure evil. They tried to strangle the LA Times, the Denver Post, and a bunch of other papers. Most are in open revolt. Oh, and the papers actually make money. As a company they are like drunken, and noteably greedy, frat boys overseeing serious journalists. They are basically the Trump of newspaper companies.

Saw a tweet today that since like 2000 there have been around 400% more job losses in journalism than coal mining.
07-24-2018 , 01:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by uDevil
You mean the article she wrote for vox? Near the beginning she does say "Yet the universe continues to appear devoid of life." But later she reports probabilities for both the galaxy and the observable universe.

https://www.vox.com/science-and-heal...drake-equation

I only read the abstract/conclusions and scanned the rest of the original paper. Her article is an accurate summary afaict.

https://arxiv.org/pdf/1806.02404.pdf

It makes me a little sad that deplorables may have an argument when it comes to just how goddamn special they are.
Ok - the first article I read on this was terribly written. The author didn't seem to know the difference between galaxy and universe.

I'd be interested to see the results if you assume the average technologically advanced society lasts less than 100 years. Is it still significant that we haven't met aliens or picked up signals?
07-24-2018 , 01:15 AM
07-24-2018 , 01:17 AM
So cute he lives in a pineapple under the sea
07-24-2018 , 01:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by simplicitus
Don't know if you're just catching up to Tronc Suzzer, but they are basically pure evil.
If it makes you feel better:

When Tribune Media spun off Tronc, Media kept the Tribune Tower in Chicago, HQ for Tronc and the Chicago Tribune. Media later sold the building and a couple owners later, the new owners decided to turn it into condos. Tronc and the Tribune were kicked out a couple months ago.

      
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