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11-05-2018 , 04:22 PM
Also FWIW, I have access to VoteBuilder which is basically a nice front end with the entire historical database of voting in GA including all the early voting for this year's race. The analytics I am running are promising.

* In my wife's five most promising precincts, net new registrations since primary season were up 17%, 15%, 13%, 14% and 15%.

* In my wife's five worst precincts net new registrations since primary season were up only 12%, 8%, 9%, 7%, 8%

Also turnout has improved much more dramatically (even with higher voter reg.) in her good precincts vs. bad.

Early vote has split 56/44 female/male.
11-05-2018 , 06:14 PM

https://twitter.com/JenniferReitman/...572052480?s=19
11-05-2018 , 06:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ
Meant to say it, but I'm almost sure it's this thread that inspired me to take the step of reaching out, so certainly you get a significant assist if I caused any votes that might not have otherwise happened, and it does seem that there was at least this one. Nice work in getting this going.

Spoiler:
That said, go Cougs.
LOL. Thanks, but you're the one you reached out and he's voting because of you. Super awesome. Also it'll be great when the cougs are top 10, 1 loss, headed to the CFP, only to coug it in the apple cup

Quote:
Originally Posted by browni3141
When I said I didn't like him the only things I knew about him was that he wanted to increase corporate taxes, increase the minimum wage and expand Medicare. I don't support any of those things for reasons that are probably the same as most other libertarians, but they are all things I'm willing to compromise on.

My brief research on some other topics put me in favor of Gillum. Since there's a lot of stuff on the ballot I still haven't even looked into yet I'm going to consider my mind made up on this one and I'm voting for Gillum.
Cool, thanks for voting! And for Gillum - he just seems like an inspiring dude. It's a different discussion but I've always felt the democratic party were closer in policy position to the libertarians, because of all the personal liberty issues like weed, abortion, marriage equality, etc. On some level having a safety net for people who are on hard times creates personal liberty, encourages risk-taking, etc. But that's a very big topic and probably neesd it's own thread.

Quote:
Originally Posted by mutigers
I’m going to be an election watcher for the first time on Tuesday. 545 am to at least 7 we will see how it goes. I really hope mccaskill can pull it off but I have my doubts because of the composition of this ****hole state. I had hawley as a law professor 1L year for torts. I won’t pretend he was particularly egregious as a professor but as a candidate I cannot stand this dude. Guy came to class every day in a 5000 dollar outfit with a Fiji water and has been spending the last year in cowboy boots pretending to be a populist it’s just unbelievable that they are portraying Claire as an elite while hawley is a man of the people despite being a rich ***** from the minute he was born. I think it will be a winning strategy unfortunately. He’s smart enough to not make an egregious gaffe despite having no charisma and that’s enough in Missouri probably. He is the fed society golden child but it turns out he really isn’t a great candidate. Greitens was a horrible POS but he was a very scary charismatic opponent Hawley is just a robot thankfully

I think Jason kander will be a godsend for Democrats here in four years. He’s a fantastic candidate and much more liberal than Claire but can still win IMO
Whoa cool! Let us know how it goes!

Quote:
Originally Posted by cuserounder
super cool story about trumpkins getting clowned at the poker table
Wow. Yeah that's the kind of thing that makes me feel optimistic too, the level at which Trump has activated people who used to vote and be informed into activists, and people who used to not vote in the midterms into people who do vote in the midterms.

Quote:
Originally Posted by fuluck414
Not sure where to put this but radiolab today has a pretty good story about ranked voting around the world and for the first time here Maine is using ranked voting for state wide federal elections tomorrow.
I'm super intrigued to see how this one goes.

Quote:
Originally Posted by biggerboat
This is interesting. This particular one seemed cut an dried to me, but when you dig deeper, maybe not.

I honestly found every single amendment extremely confusing. My wife and I both kept thinking, "but what does it REALLY mean, and who is REALLY pushing it, and why".
We have one in WA that's basically predicated on a lie. It's a ban on taxing groceries, except we already have a ban on that. Our current law just excludes soda. This is basically a ban on taxing soda and the people supporting it are scumbag liars.

Quote:
Originally Posted by SuperUberBob
Sent in my absentee ballot.
HOLLA. Thanks for voting

Quote:
Originally Posted by Namath12
They probably are free to bundle away since the FL Supreme Court voted 4-3 to allow it in October of this year. I don’t believe they enjoyed such leeway prior to that.


https://www.orlandoweekly.com/Blogs/...ents-on-ballot
weirdest ****ing ballot measure ever. Oh sure let's take a hard look at offshore drilling and indoor vaping.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jhall23
My wife has to work late on Tue so we decided to go do early voting in Columbus, OH yesterday. It made me cautiously optimistic. The line was huuuuuuuge, but they had 100 machines running and it moved a decent clip. I think it took us about 75 minutes to get through. Columbus is obviously not representative of the rest of Ohio, but it was a crazy diverse crowd and the chatter was all pro democrats and nobody was pissed about having to wait to vote. I'd say the major demo was probably black women age 30-50. There were tons of people handling out sample ballots and helping people out. The mood was all very reminiscent in some sense of the Women's march when we went to DC right after the election. There was a live ****ing band in one of the islands in the parking lot. Random people brought cookies from Kroger and walked up and down the line giving them out, same with water.
This sounds amazing. THank you for enduring the 75 minute line. I voted in Columbus once

Quote:
Originally Posted by Parlay Slow
As someone in the Atlanta area with a local 50/50 state house race, local 50/50 state senate, and my own wife trying to unseat in incumbent in a school board race, I am sweating this one hard.
Wow! Gogogogogo to your wife! Good luck!
11-06-2018 , 12:05 AM
Walked 7 miles in the rain today to canvass in NY-19. Spent 5+ hours, knocked on 40 doors, talked to five people - four D confirmed voters and they confirmed three additional family members voting/voted D. One additional person was a construction worker remodeling a house who told me the person I was canvassing for had passed (he was 93, so I was actually mentally prepared to encounter a family member and apologize and then somehow transition to asking them if they'd be voting). One of the confirmed voters, her and her husband have two houses - one in NYC and one in NY-19, and they changed their primary residence to NY-19 to vote in this race. So that was pretty cool, although I was kind of glad I'm not a lawyer so I don't know whether that's questionable or not... Of course, for all I know, they actually spent 183 days there in the last year.

My feet were soaked, it was cold, but other than that it was a good experience - most doors I hit, I was the third or fourth person this week to knock... The amount of volunteer power they have had there seemed really impressive. It was also really cool talking to some of the other people in the campaign office about politics in general. It's rare to get to have those in depth conversations in real life!
11-06-2018 , 12:10 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Parlay Slow
As someone in the Atlanta area with a local 50/50 state house race, local 50/50 state senate, and my own wife trying to unseat in incumbent in a school board race, I am sweating this one hard.
That's awesome, good luck to your wife!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Parlay Slow
Also FWIW, I have access to VoteBuilder which is basically a nice front end with the entire historical database of voting in GA including all the early voting for this year's race. The analytics I am running are promising.

* In my wife's five most promising precincts, net new registrations since primary season were up 17%, 15%, 13%, 14% and 15%.

* In my wife's five worst precincts net new registrations since primary season were up only 12%, 8%, 9%, 7%, 8%

Also turnout has improved much more dramatically (even with higher voter reg.) in her good precincts vs. bad.

Early vote has split 56/44 female/male.
Very cool, thanks for sharing!

Quote:
Originally Posted by simplicitus

https://twitter.com/JenniferReitman/...572052480?s=19
Haha, I like it.
11-06-2018 , 12:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trolly McTrollson
I can’t fathom how a libertarian possibly entertains the notion of voting for the party that’s building concentration camps and border walls. I get that legalized weed is important, but cmon man.

Just imagine how many of these voters the Dems could scoop up if they went pro-pot.
About 3.50, because lol @ a libertarian who's still voting Republican switching because of pot.
11-06-2018 , 12:25 AM
I'm really surprised I never had a single canvasser come to my house in the GA-6 district. I've gotten a lot of mailers and have had a bunch of robocalls in the last few days, but nobody knocked on my door. Got three, I think, in the Ossoff election.


My prediction for my district: all Dems lose. Abrams goes to a runoff and loses. I hope I'm wrong. I'll place my votes tomorrow.
11-06-2018 , 01:05 AM
I took some suggestions from people here and am canvassing all day tomorrow, signed up for 8 hours in newport beach. Ca 48. I think this race is a hopeless cause but I won't be able to look at myself in the future if I didn't do everything I could this race.

I am doubtful of the effectiveness of canvassing and I am kind of a confrontational person but I'm gonna do my best tomorrow and hope for the best as well. Will post TR if anyone cares.
11-06-2018 , 01:16 AM
Cuse, awesome work! Were you canvassing by yourself? The one time I canvassed I was alone but I feel like it would be so much better with another person or group.
11-06-2018 , 01:18 AM
I got two of my friends who seem pretty enthusiastic about it to tentatively agree. One is totally apolitical but wants to make a difference, and isn't even registered but I promised him I'd show him how, and that we'd have a good time and I think he'll definitely come.

One is fairly active and seems like he wants to come but says he has a lot of HW. I told him we can just have a great time out of it and overall they seem like they want to do it.

But, if they don't, I'll just go alone. Not sure what to expect.
11-06-2018 , 01:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jmakin
I took some suggestions from people here and am canvassing all day tomorrow, signed up for 8 hours in newport beach. Ca 48. I think this race is a hopeless cause but I won't be able to look at myself in the future if I didn't do everything I could this race.

I am doubtful of the effectiveness of canvassing and I am kind of a confrontational person but I'm gonna do my best tomorrow and hope for the best as well. Will post TR if anyone cares.
That's awesome, thanks for getting out there! Wear comfortable shoes, make sure your phone is fully charged, bring a bottle of water, etc. I'm envious of your weather forecast... Definitely post a TR.

Don't worry about being in confrontational situations. You're going to be knocking on doors the campaign has identified as being likely to support them. At this point in the race, your job isn't to convince people to vote for Rouda, it's to remind Rouda supporters to vote, make sure they have a ride, etc. I hit 40 doors today in five hours (they were spread out a lot) in what I am pretty sure was a very red area of NY-19. Talked to five people, zero confrontations. Three seemed happy to see me (one went out of her way to thank me for the hard work), one was very polite and said he'd vote but clearly wanted to get back to whatever he was watching on TV, and one was a construction worker letting me know the person I was looking for had passed away.

The only way you're going to see a Rohrabacher supporter is in a split household or if the campaign messed up in their characterization of the voter. Also, 80%+ of the doors you hit you'll get no response. Something I read suggested waiting a couple minutes at the door, but about halfway through today I scrapped that in the name of efficiency (everyone that answered I heard coming pretty quickly and nobody came to the door while I was going back down the driveway).

As for the effectiveness of canvassing, I don't know whether I got anyone to vote who wasn't already, but I'm pretty sure in my research I read that there's something like an 8 to 1 ratio of knocks to votes. You never know - I could have turned out a few voters by leaving a leaflet that reminded them the election was tomorrow.

At the end of the day, win or lose, you'll wake up on November 7th knowing you did what you could to give Rohrabacher his pink slip! You'll probably also meet some cool people between fellow volunteers and campaign workers, although you'll all be pretty busy.
11-06-2018 , 01:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Coasterbrad
Cuse, awesome work! Were you canvassing by yourself? The one time I canvassed I was alone but I feel like it would be so much better with another person or group.
Thanks! Yeah I was alone. I definitely would have had more fun with someone else, but I literally drove 4.5 hours into a district where I didn't know anyone (because **** John Faso, that's why). I originally had a friend lined up to go with tomorrow, but he ended up having to work so I'll be alone unless they pair me up. I think in the next cycle I'll do it earlier in the process, when I'm guessing going in groups then splitting up houses in a neighborhood makes more sense - and when you're more likely to meet undecideds or perhaps try to flip a voter. I think I'd be pretty good at that, and it would be more fun.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jmakin
I got two of my friends who seem pretty enthusiastic about it to tentatively agree. One is totally apolitical but wants to make a difference, and isn't even registered but I promised him I'd show him how, and that we'd have a good time and I think he'll definitely come.

One is fairly active and seems like he wants to come but says he has a lot of HW. I told him we can just have a great time out of it and overall they seem like they want to do it.

But, if they don't, I'll just go alone. Not sure what to expect.
If they're nervous or whatever, let them know they don't even have to say much and can even wait by the street while you go up to some houses if they are uncomfortable.

One thing that will help you, depending on how comfortable you are talking to strangers, is to memorize your first paragraph on your way to your first set of doors. The app you'll likely be using will have the person's name that you're looking for. So my opener was, "Hi I'm cuserounder, and I'm volunteering for Antonio Delgado for Congress and Jen Metzger for State Senate. I was hoping to speak with _______."

I would try to memorize the potential voter's name walking up the driveway, so having the rest memorized overall made it easier. I only had to look back down for the name once I think. I had never heard of Metzger before today, so making sure I didn't mess up her name was key lol... Some homes have multiple people you can talk to, and if you get the same app I did, it will show their gender, age, and you can see whether they're registered D/I/other, and if they've been canvassed before. Sometimes I had time to look at all of that (walking between houses/long driveway/whatever), sometimes not. But if you notice the ages/genders, you can guess the name of the person who opens the door based on that.

After that it's pretty simple, my script was to run them through where their polling place is, how they're getting there, remind them of the hours and make sure they didn't need a ride - that will flow easily if they've said they're voting for your candidate.

This is all way more info than you really need right now, and it'll probably be really easy once you get going... But I was really curious about it last night and had no idea what to expect, so I'm oversharing in case you're feeling the same way.

Again, highly recommend bringing water and maybe a snack, and being prepared to be out and about on your feet all day.
11-06-2018 , 01:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dlk9s
My prediction for my district: all Dems lose. Abrams goes to a runoff and loses. I hope I'm wrong. I'll place my votes tomorrow.
Don't underestimate Abrams in a runoff. I think there would be more Dems coming in to help than GOPers. Like, I'd consider figuring out a way to take a trip down there to hit doors for her, out of a combination of Kemp being such a piece of **** and those racist ads being so effing horrible. More likely I'd just call bank from afar, but I think the Democratic volunteer work for that runoff could be unprecedented. The same applies to Espy in Mississippi if Dems have 49 or 50 Senate seats with that one pending.
11-06-2018 , 01:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cuserounder
That's awesome, thanks for getting out there! Wear comfortable shoes, make sure your phone is fully charged, bring a bottle of water, etc. I'm envious of your weather forecast... Definitely post a TR.

Don't worry about being in confrontational situations. You're going to be knocking on doors the campaign has identified as being likely to support them. At this point in the race, your job isn't to convince people to vote for Rouda, it's to remind Rouda supporters to vote, make sure they have a ride, etc. I hit 40 doors today in five hours (they were spread out a lot) in what I am pretty sure was a very red area of NY-19. Talked to five people, zero confrontations. Three seemed happy to see me (one went out of her way to thank me for the hard work), one was very polite and said he'd vote but clearly wanted to get back to whatever he was watching on TV, and one was a construction worker letting me know the person I was looking for had passed away.

The only way you're going to see a Rohrabacher supporter is in a split household or if the campaign messed up in their characterization of the voter. Also, 80%+ of the doors you hit you'll get no response. Something I read suggested waiting a couple minutes at the door, but about halfway through today I scrapped that in the name of efficiency (everyone that answered I heard coming pretty quickly and nobody came to the door while I was going back down the driveway).

As for the effectiveness of canvassing, I don't know whether I got anyone to vote who wasn't already, but I'm pretty sure in my research I read that there's something like an 8 to 1 ratio of knocks to votes. You never know - I could have turned out a few voters by leaving a leaflet that reminded them the election was tomorrow.

At the end of the day, win or lose, you'll wake up on November 7th knowing you did what you could to give Rohrabacher his pink slip! You'll probably also meet some cool people between fellow volunteers and campaign workers, although you'll all be pretty busy.
yea i'm doubtful who's gonna be at the door in the middle of the day tomorrow but who knows. it's a wealthy district. not sure what to expect. I'm gonna hope for the best. Thanks for the advice. I think at least one of my friends will show.
11-06-2018 , 01:50 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jmakin
yea i'm doubtful who's gonna be at the door in the middle of the day tomorrow but who knows. it's a wealthy district. not sure what to expect. I'm gonna hope for the best. Thanks for the advice. I think at least one of my friends will show.
From what I was told today, getting about 10% responses is standard at this point in the campaign. Probably varies district by district/neighborhood by neighborhood. Good luck and let us know how it goes!
11-06-2018 , 03:57 AM
I am also popping my mid-term cherry tomorrow (popped my voting cherry in '16).

Voted De Leon over Feinstein and looked up all the down-ballot people to check for deplorableness. Also looked up all the yes/no judgeships. Didn't know anything about them, so if you were appointed by Schwarzenegger you got the heave-ho from me.

I'm vote by mail, but not dropping it off until tomorrow. In CA, which apparently means my vote is guaranteed to be counted sometime before Trump's third term.
11-06-2018 , 08:24 AM
Got to my polling location to poll watch. I’m at a sleepy little church in a very white relatively wealthy area of south FL. Doesn’t seem like the type of place where there will be many issues, anyway, I’m ready for Florida to turn blue. let’s gogogogo!!!!
11-06-2018 , 08:42 AM
Just voted. Split ie purple suburb. Quite a few ppl but there's like 20 booths so short wait.

Don't think issue 1 in Ohio which drastically reduced penalties for drugs and even existing incarcerstions will pass. While its polling well, the wording on the ballot is quite infuriating.

Really hope cordray and Sherrod win. Cordray is 5050 for gov. Not sure about Sherrod but he's about the most liberal senator and is the incumbent. His opponent renaci has been around and is a house seat.
11-06-2018 , 08:57 AM
Just voted here in Virginia.

I don’t like being accosted by morons as I walk up to the polling place. This morning’s conversation:

Moron 1: Sir, do you need a republican sample ballot?

Me: Nope. I’m pretty sure I can figure out who I’m voting for without any help.

Moron 2, within earshot: sir, do you need a Democrat sample ballot?

Me: Is there something seriously wrong with you?

Here in Virginia, you’re required to show a driver’s license, which I did. I was then asked to verify my full address while not looking at my license. I was tempted to tell the person asking me that question to **** off, but decided to squelch my antiauthoritarian instincts.
11-06-2018 , 09:33 AM
Longer line than 2016 for me in a very liberal Atlanta precinct. This is despite it raining. Good sign overall but hope the rain doesn’t suppress turnout.
11-06-2018 , 09:41 AM
Polls open at 6:00. I arrive at 6:05. I put in my ballot at 6:50 and I was the 24th person to vote. Chicago elections, not the most well run operation.
11-06-2018 , 09:52 AM
No early voting in NY so I voted today. When I got there, line was significantly shorter than 2016, but by the time I left line was approaching 2016 levels. Probably a good signal for blue enthusiasm since none of the NYC races are competitive.
11-06-2018 , 09:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Howard Treesong
Just voted here in Virginia.

I don’t like being accosted by morons as I walk up to the polling place. This morning’s conversation:

Moron 1: Sir, do you need a republican sample ballot?

Me: Nope. I’m pretty sure I can figure out who I’m voting for without any help.

Moron 2, within earshot: sir, do you need a Democrat sample ballot?

Me: Is there something seriously wrong with you?

Here in Virginia, you’re required to show a driver’s license, which I did. I was then asked to verify my full address while not looking at my license. I was tempted to tell the person asking me that question to **** off, but decided to squelch my antiauthoritarian instincts.
at least you're somewhat self aware
11-06-2018 , 09:54 AM
I just voted. I was the 99th person to vote at 8:30 AM. That is on par with where we were in my precinct in 2016 when I also voted around 8:30 AM. I live in a middle to upper middle class suburban heavily democratic precinct in a swing republican congressional district that is currently occupied by a republican. Here’s hoping.
11-06-2018 , 09:55 AM
Very crowded at the neighborhood voting place this morning.

      
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