Quote:
Originally Posted by Victor
thats issue 1. or, as conservative limbaug wannabe trivosono says, Soros funded drug dealer bill.
ya it wont pass. its a good bill but oh well.
It's polling +11! (45/34 with 20 undecided)
The undecideds may not break well (in ballot measures they bend to break like 2/3 no), but it's certainly got a shot!
Also, mapping 2/3 of the undecideds onto No and 1/3 on to Yes gives you a final result of the bill passing 52-47
I've read up on a bunch of the ballot measures this year, I think they are an under utilized liberal tactic.
As it turns out most republican ideas (tax breaks for billionaires funded by taking away healthcare from poor kids) are really unpopular. But they've had success via a combo of racism, lying, and vote suppression.
Consistently putting progressive ideas on the ballot seems like a pretty good path to change narratives and also enact those ideas.
I just looked through ballotpedia for initiatives on clear partisan issues:
- This bill - prison reform polls +11 in OH
- In Oregon there are 3 right wing bills (soda tax ban polling -6, ending sanctuary status -14, no state funds for abortion -21)
- In WA the carbon tax is polling +14 and the gun control law is +20
- AR: minimum wage increase is +30
- AZ: energy / environmental bill is -13, service tax ban is +15 (LOL Arizona)
- CO: progressive state income tax is +16
- MI: legal weed is +16, independent redistricting is +30, voting rights is +46
- MO: right to work is -9
- MT: increase tobacco tax & make medicaid expansion permanent
- OK: medical marijuana is +28 (poll is months old)
- UT: medical marijuana, avg is +41, but most recent polls are +31, +31, +5, and medicaid expansion is +29, independent redistricting is +34
Also MO has minimum wage increase, NE and ID have medicaid expansion, NV has automatic registration & an environmental bill, all with no polls that I can find.