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Georgia's 6th - Ossof v. Handel. Georgia's 6th - Ossof v. Handel.

06-20-2017 , 08:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AllTheCheese
Handel.
**** really? first numbers i have is nyt with ossof up by less than 1%
06-20-2017 , 08:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by master3004
Yeah, it's certainly not an obvious loss, but there has to be some mystery votes somewhere breaking Ossoffs way to pull out a win.
I didn't mean it was going to be a huge margin, just that multiple signals were all pointing in the direction of a Handel win. Need to check with my sister and BIL to see if they voted.
06-20-2017 , 08:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by champstark
He's going to lose by like 4. Ridiculous considering he did better than that in the first election.
The shooting was a boost to Handel at the last minute, I wonder if it swung it? That ad was vicious bull****, but I guarantee you it gained votes for the GOP.
06-20-2017 , 08:41 PM
I thought the shooting would help handel. on 4 chan.

Spoiler:
what kind of district is this?
06-20-2017 , 08:43 PM
There. Are. No. Moderate. Republicans.

****ing Hannity lead his show with Seth Rich **** for weeks, man, there's no there there.
06-20-2017 , 08:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by spidercrab
I didn't mean it was going to be a huge margin, just that multiple signals were all pointing in the direction of a Handel win. Need to check with my sister and BIL to see if they voted.
Sister and BIL voted.
06-20-2017 , 08:45 PM
i just want to get drunk and root ossof on. I didnt do anything to help him win or even donate to his campaign because im broke as **** but like i really hope he wins.
06-20-2017 , 08:47 PM
Quote:
Prediction markets have Handel as an 82 percent favorite. I agree that she’s in the better position, but that seems like an overconfident forecast given the data we have so far. The New York Times’s forecasting meter/model suggests that Handel is only a slight favorite, while Politico now has Ossoff running a little ahead of where he’d need to be in fully reported precincts (although there are very few precincts fully in). Again, I’d rather be Handel, but it’s very early.
Though this guy does seem to be very optimistic every update
06-20-2017 , 08:47 PM
Ossof stock collapsing on Predictit. I put some money on Handel as a life hedge, still feel a little scuzzy.
06-20-2017 , 08:52 PM
meanwhile there is another us house election going on--South Carolina dem gonna lose but it's somehow within 5 points atm.
06-20-2017 , 08:54 PM
Everyone jumping the gun a bit on Georgia.
06-20-2017 , 08:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cuserounder
The shooting was a boost to Handel at the last minute, I wonder if it swung it? That ad was vicious bull****, but I guarantee you it gained votes for the GOP.
Meh, I doubt it. 330,000 people voted eight months ago for this seat and gave it to Tom Price by 62/38. Hillary Clinton got 47 points apparently out of disdain for Trump (who still got more). At the end of the day, what do you expect? There are prob under 450,000 registered voters in the district. Where are these Dem voters supposed to come from?
06-20-2017 , 08:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by m_reed05
Everyone jumping the gun a bit on Georgia.
06-20-2017 , 08:59 PM
06-20-2017 , 09:00 PM
yeah just thinking Trump is grotesque isn't gonna be enough to win house seats in red districts

End of the day people don't really hate him or are lukewarm towards him for his policies, they hate him because he acts like a total moron and could potentially disrupt their nice suburban lives. If you're doing well you don't want a disruption like Trump, doesn't mean your gonna just start voting for a different party.

Even a 0 like Handel can find ways to navigate that.
06-20-2017 , 09:01 PM
LOL #SC05 is going to be a better moral victory than that Ossoff dipstick and we spent like 40 bucks and some gift cards there.

Disband the DCCC. Fire Tom Perez.
06-20-2017 , 09:06 PM


Handel starting to pull away in the predictions
06-20-2017 , 09:07 PM
ossof was up 25 minutes ago?

is that not the case anymore?
06-20-2017 , 09:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Onlydo2days
yeah just thinking Trump is grotesque isn't gonna be enough to win house seats in red districts

End of the day people don't really hate him or are lukewarm towards him for his policies, they hate him because he acts like a total moron and could potentially disrupt their nice suburban lives. If you're doing well you don't want a disruption like Trump, doesn't mean your gonna just start voting for a different party.

Even a 0 like Handel can find ways to navigate that.
Right. These people want tax cuts for the rich paid for with the lives of the poor and disabled. That is a train they're eager to jump on. What they don't like is having to explain to their daughters why the President is talking about grabbing women by the pussy and mocking said disabled people whose health benefits they will gladly confiscate for their own enrichment.
06-20-2017 , 09:08 PM
down 3 points ATM w/39% reporting
06-20-2017 , 09:09 PM
nyt just moved it up to 2.5 for handel. now I think its over.
06-20-2017 , 09:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AllTheCheese
Meh, I doubt it. 330,000 people voted eight months ago for this seat and gave it to Tom Price by 62/38. Hillary Clinton got 47 points apparently out of disdain for Trump (who still got more). At the end of the day, what do you expect? There are prob under 450,000 registered voters in the district. Where are these Dem voters supposed to come from?
Ossoff was leading in the polls most of the way, even as recently as a week ago. It was within the margin, but he was still consistently leading.
06-20-2017 , 09:13 PM
I don't think any mail in ballots have been counted yet. Not saying Handel isn't a favorite, just that there is still uncertainty.
06-20-2017 , 09:13 PM
South Carolina guy gonna lose by less of a % than Ossoff lmao

Wow a poll had a dem as favored but that turned out not to be the case, haven't seen that before. It's a real shocker.
06-20-2017 , 09:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kirbynator
ossof was up 25 minutes ago?

is that not the case anymore?
Urban districts are always the first to report. He'll be going down from here on out, probably.

      
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