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The February LC Thread: The Immigrant Song The February LC Thread: The Immigrant Song

02-08-2017 , 05:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by amoeba
I am not sure what you are advocating, dvaut.
1. the same factors that lead to radicalization of Muslims in Europe are many of the same factors and closed-feedback-loop systems that result in radicalization of any population, religious or otherwise. We've seen the same thing in the US with the political radicalization of whites lurching ever farther right and into racist, authoritarian political movements.
2. in the end, my post advocates nothing specifically. But implicitly and now explicitly: we should make sure our immigration policies -- frankly all of our policies, writ large -- focus not only on border control and beating back the current anti-immigration tendencies, but also ensuring meaningful integration and social mobility once immigrants arrive. European policies should follow the same course. Yeah, the border is important and critical and visible right now. Critically for liberals and people who welcome immigrants is to also address zoning, public transportation, public school quality, access to credit, etc. as part of a strategy so that we don't perpetuate social and geographical isolation that have lots of very negative downstream consequences, like producing tons of religious radicals and/or retrograde mouthbreathers who spurn democratic norms and stable political systems to fix problems that are ultimately due to social, political, cultural and economic isolation and segregation.
02-08-2017 , 05:41 PM
Seriously? Chase and all these government/private ventureships that turn simple government processes over to vultures are jokers

Quote:
For some people, jury duty is a dreaded American civic obligation. Now, JPMorgan Chase & Co. is adding another unwelcome element: banking fees.

In a handful of jurisdictions, the biggest U.S. bank by assets has taken over administration of the juror-compensation system, issuing debit cards instead of the age-old paper checks.

In addition to the juror pay, the cards also come loaded with fees -- for balance inquiries, for inactivity, for using non-Chase ATMs, for charges with insufficient funds and for cash or check issuance. The funds become impossible to withdraw from an ATM once the balance falls below $20, and in at least one jurisdiction -- Washington, D.C. -- there are no Chase branches or ATMs within 90 miles (145 kilometers), ensuring the funds will eventually be frittered away to the bank.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...debit-card-pay
02-08-2017 , 05:45 PM
I guess we can feel good that Trump and the GOP are so chaotic right now they probably won't get around to privatizing Social Security anytime soon.

"Introducing the Chase Visa Social Security Check Card! Now you can purchase anything with your Social Security benefit payments anywhere Visa is accepted! It's just like real cash with the added security of Visa fraud protection! Act now and get a FREE companion card for your spouse or dependent."
02-08-2017 , 07:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
I made this post below in the context of white Trump supporters living in segregated areas but the model is extensible to blacks in the US who believe in AIDS denialism or theories about the CIA engaging in calculated efforts to perpetuate black genocide. AND to Muslims in Europe who are segregated into places like Molenbeek and then produce a lot of violent radicals:

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...php?p=51246093

(...snip...)
This was interesting and fairly compelling. Thanks...
02-08-2017 , 08:08 PM


In response to the republican representative who questioned if CNN could even name two white terrorist attacks, or something

http://www.vox.com/policy-and-politi...ite-terrorists
02-08-2017 , 08:42 PM
Paul Krugman
‏@paulkrugman

Everything is worse than you could have imagined, even taking into account that its worse than you cld have imagined



02-08-2017 , 10:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zikzak
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Pr...Elders_of_Zion

Fake news has a long and sordid history.
Please also remember the Maine.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yellow_journalism
02-08-2017 , 11:01 PM
Meanwhile, in Fukushima...

Tepco recorded a staggering 530 Sieverts/hr radiation reading inside the containment vessel of reactor 2. A reading that high precludes sending even a robot in. The radiation would destroy the robot in two hours. Murray Jennex, an Associate Professor at San Diego Universitty and a nuclear reactor expert, said he thinks Tepco will have to build a Chernobyl style containment structure around reactor 2 and wait for it to cool down a bit.

The good news is that there's no evidence of any worsening of radiation on the rest of the site in general.

Might be fun to revisit the Fukushima thread sometime. I was far too optimistic in the early days, although the doom brigade were definitely more wrong overall than the "no problem here" brigade.
02-08-2017 , 11:28 PM
Simi Rahman (who wrote that piece I posted earlier) is a good follow.



Here's the original article: http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-02-0...smania/8229804
02-08-2017 , 11:39 PM
The world would be a better place if everybody (including atheists) didn't take their beliefs ( whether religious or political) so seriously.
02-08-2017 , 11:49 PM
Imagine
02-08-2017 , 11:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
Meanwhile, in Fukushima...

Tepco recorded a staggering 530 Sieverts/hr radiation reading inside the containment vessel of reactor 2. A reading that high precludes sending even a robot in.
For those of us not fluent in Sieverts/hr, is this higher than previous levels, i.e. it's getting worse? Like, what's the context here?
02-09-2017 , 12:02 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
The reason why Europe has, in many ways, an Islam that is often far more conservative, fundamentalist, apocalyptic than the Middle East is because Muslims in Europe are caught in the oppositional cultural death spiral.
europe doesnt have a more conservative islam than the middle east. like not at all. this is silly.

a poll of british muslims found 2/3 of first generation british muslims thought homosexuality should be illegal. 1/3 of those born in britain did. but you dont even need polls. if you just talk to people it's clear that those growing up in europe have a much more standard european mindset.

what there is, is a search for identity that can be hard and where religion is something solid you can hold on to. and there are generations growing up with many more resources and better abilities than their parents. so where religion was more a tradition passed on by generations for the immigrants, the kids can look up many different sources and original texts. for some that leads to radicalisation through ****ty youtube videos.

anyway, the "peace will not exist" line was bizarre in the first place. we have peace. the only war we have is us taking sides (sometimes for good reasons) in foreign civil wars.
02-09-2017 , 12:25 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
For those of us not fluent in Sieverts/hr, is this higher than previous levels, i.e. it's getting worse? Like, what's the context here?
Previously Tepco were estimating 72 Sieverts/hr inside the containment building, these new measurements are more accurate, but the material (probably some melted fuel) has been there all along. It's not a case of the problem getting worse, it's a case of the problem having been worse than was thought all along.

There's no immediate problem with it being there, the question is what to do about it in the medium term. A dose of 5 Sieverts leaves a human being with a ~50% chance of dying of acute radiation poisoning. At 530 Sieverts/hr, that is ~30 seconds of exposure. Clearly humans can't get anywhere near this thing. The robots Tepco have are rated to withstand 1,000 Sieverts, so could only cope with a couple hours. It would also mess with their cameras and make it very hard to see what's going on. It's hard to see what approach there could be other than containment, but maybe they'll come up with something.
02-09-2017 , 12:29 AM
Great explanation, thanks!
02-09-2017 , 01:19 AM
Re oppositional culture, it's a tough one because it's very clear that people feeling rejected by the norms of their society can lead to oppositional cultures. As DVaut notes, this is what has happened with the alt-right, "deplorables" etc. On the other hand, some rejection of ideas and belief systems is useful in getting people to soften or abandon unacceptable ideas, keep the Overton Window under control, etc. It plays out all the time in the Fly v chezlaw debates in these forums. Should we vocally oppose and criticize soft racism, or would it be better to take a more conciliatory approach to avoid people doubling down on their beliefs and becoming defensive? It's a pretty hard line to draw sometimes.
02-09-2017 , 01:21 AM
Someone made a mod for castle wolfenstein that, each time you pull the trigger, asks if it's morally acceptable to kill nazis.
02-09-2017 , 01:32 AM
Robo-Hitler had to go. The ends justify the means, imo.
02-09-2017 , 01:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by amoeba
The world would be a better place if everybody (including atheists) didn't take their beliefs ( whether religious or political) so seriously.
That's kind of silly. If the fate of our eternal soul shouldn't be taken seriously, what should?

People need to admit the possibility of error. You can take your views seriously an acknowledge that there's some chance you're wrong.
02-09-2017 , 02:10 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by problemeliminator
That's kind of silly. If the fate of our eternal soul shouldn't be taken seriously, what should?

People need to admit the possibility of error. You can take your views seriously an acknowledge that there's some chance you're wrong.
Life? Nothing?

Less seriously vs possibility of error; potato po-tah-to?
02-09-2017 , 05:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
Re oppositional culture, it's a tough one because it's very clear that people feeling rejected by the norms of their society can lead to oppositional cultures. As DVaut notes, this is what has happened with the alt-right, "deplorables" etc. On the other hand, some rejection of ideas and belief systems is useful in getting people to soften or abandon unacceptable ideas, keep the Overton Window under control, etc. It plays out all the time in the Fly v chezlaw debates in these forums. Should we vocally oppose and criticize soft racism, or would it be better to take a more conciliatory approach to avoid people doubling down on their beliefs and becoming defensive? It's a pretty hard line to draw sometimes.
I think the argument is more robust than that, though. Although obviously on an informal forum I didn't do it justice. I think the model is much more than how we talk to or debate each other, although certainly that's included. But it is as much as anything an argument about political geography. The way where and how we live inform our politics -- literally where you live and the physical space you occupy, and who lives near you -- can inform your worldview and your ideology.

So the idea is that in highly segregated communities, and that can be as small as an ethnic neighborhood in an urban area that maintains their own language, businesses, maybe schools -- those are the kinds of communities and places where oppositional culture can flourish. It can work the other way too, in rural and exurban areas in modern America like we see today, or places that explicitly embrace segregation like the American South -- we see religious fundamentalism and pivots to ever-increasing right-wing stridency. It's no accident the modern incarnation of evangelical fervor emerged like, right after Brown v Board and especially later in the 60s after courts moved stronger against segregation in cases like Green v. Kennedy.

Take our current hot news items like immigration. Liberals actually talk a lot about these factors; so do hardline immigration people, too! Whenever you hear nativists yelling about how migration is fine as a hypothetical, but that immigrant populations struggle to integrate and cause problems -- they're fundamentally making this argument. It's not even wrong! Migrating populations that are segregated or self-segregate are problematic. It's problematic when native populations do it (e.g., white flight).

In fact the model insofar as it has explanatory power isn't even that novel. And it has a lot of cross-over appeal into other disciplines in politicial science (e.g., social and political anthropology or comparative politics or political history).

Whenever you hear an argument about gated subdivisions, or social stratification and income disparities and gentrification in urban areas, or Afrikaners and Africans in South Africa and the long history of segregation and conflict there -- or the very conscious way American progressives of the Progressive Era in the early 20th century had watched many of the same factors we see today develop in the Gilded Age in the generation before and sought to re-write zoning laws and promote public schooling to counteract the effects of segregation and economic disparity and promote genuine social integration -- we're describing more or less the same stuff. The process of how political geography and our policies that promote segregation or fail to successfully integrate populations can lead to conflict.

It's not even an old problem! Here we are in 1967:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kerner_Commission

Quote:
The National Advisory Commission on Civil Disorders, known as the Kerner Commission after its chair, Governor Otto Kerner, Jr. of Illinois, was an 11-member commission established by President Lyndon B. Johnson in Executive Order 11365 to investigate the causes of the 1967 race riots in the United States and to provide recommendations for the future.[1]
The conclusion:

http://faculty.washington.edu/qtaylo...r%20Report.htm

Quote:
The summer of 1967 again brought racial disorders to American cities, and with them shock, fear and bewilderment to the nation.

The worst came during a two-week period in July, first in Newark and then in Detroit. Each set off a chain reaction in neighboring communities.

On July 28, 1967, the President of the United States estab*lished this Commission and directed us to answer three basic questions:

What happened?

Why did it happen?

What can be done to prevent it from happening again?

To respond to these questions, we have undertaken a broad range of studies and investigations. We have visited the riot cities; we have heard many witnesses; we have sought the counsel of experts across the country. .

This is our basic conclusion: Our nation is moving toward two societies, one black, one white--separate and unequal.

Reaction to last summer's disorders has quickened the move*ment and deepened the division. Discrimination and segrega*tion have long permeated much of American life; they now threaten the future of every American.

This deepening racial division is not inevitable. The move*ment apart can be reversed. Choice is still possible. Our principal task is to define that choice and to press for a national resolution.
We've been struggling with this question for 50 years. But certainly much longer.

The policy prescriptions from there become manifest and are obvious imo. The plea to liberals, policy wonks, non-nihilists is basically: yes, lets have liberal border policies. Please let people in who want to come. But it's equally important to integrate these populations successfully. Even more insidious and hard-to-counter-act are the self-segregation of native populations out of cities.

I'd ask the same thing of Belgians who are anxious and want to how to counter-act the radicalization of populations of Molenbeek or people interested in promoting liberal immigration laws in the US or who want to counter-act persistent black poverty in the American South: fight segregation. Be deeply on guard for it. Promote integration.

I've made this point before and I'm a certain class of people roll their eyes at it, but the ultimate causative factors that have built to the ascendancy of right-wing authoritarianism in 2016 are things like the National Highway System, cheap oil, and exclusionary zoning that prevent mixed-income housing or apartments in buffer areas right outside of urban areas. All of the things that promoted white flight in the wake of the Great Migration of African Americans out of the south and mass-migration movements from South America into the US starting a little later than that. They are the things that most directly led to today.

Consider a guy like Trump, who we might with some alarm identify as an unhinged madman sitting on top of the world's deadliest weapons and armies and wonder aloud how that happened. The answer: Let people, specifically in this case whites, march themselves out to their own segregated communities in America's far-off hinterlands and you get the paradoxical thing this huge Gallup survey demonstrates: the most ardent, hard-core Trump supporters who are angriest and most apprehensive about immigrants and blacks and protective of their white identity movement and empower maniacs like Trump to address their grievances and resentments are people who hardly ever see or deal with immigrants or black people and live nowhere near them.

If there's any failure of government in the preceding generations which led to the building of Trump, who has the potential if not the outright goal of the self-destruction of the republic, it's failing to address that problem right there. The government has never been able to counter-act white flight and segregation and meaningfully integrate and unfettered immigration has exacerbated the problem in that climate. It's the source of the very toxic political climate that seemingly has us wildly successful by so many measures (rich, peaceful, technological wonderments abound) but so many feel anxious and panicked and wary and have these bizarre apocalyptic, paranoid mindsets -- and making them into self-fulfilling prophecies by empowering increasingly unhinged right-wingers. Segregation has allowed an emboldening and growth of oppositional culture in many quarters, including and most dangerously in majority white populations.

Last edited by DVaut1; 02-09-2017 at 05:43 AM.
02-09-2017 , 05:31 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
the most ardent, hard-core Trump supporters who are angriest and most apprehensive about immigrants and blacks and protective of their white identity movement are people who hardly ever see or deal with immigrants or black people and live nowhere near them.
That's been known for a long time. The areas of the UK that are most resistant to immigrants (and contain a high number of racists) aren't the inner cities; they're the provinces where immigration is low and ignorance is high.
02-09-2017 , 05:46 AM
I'd be careful about 'ignorant.' I mean sure but when you control for education, it's true that Trump supporters are less educated than the other GOP primary voters; but that wasn't the highest correlating factor, it was actually a smaller one.

The strongest correlating factor was living in racially isolated communities. *That* was the highest predictor of Trump support:

Quote:
The results show mixed evidence that economic distress has motivated Trump support. His supporters are less educated and more likely to work in blue collar occupations, but they earn relatively high household incomes and are no less likely to be unemployed or exposed to competition through trade or immigration. On the other hand, living in racially isolated communities with worse health outcomes, lower social mobility, less social capital, greater reliance on social security income and less reliance on capital income, predicts higher levels of Trump support. We confirm the theoretical results of our regression analysis using machine learning algorithms and an extensive set of additional variables.
It's a hard problem to solve. I've earnestly suggested more hand-outs and welfare state help for these people but when you examine the evidence you see why it kinda won't work. They're not poor and suffering in that way. Other ways, for sure, by their own admission -- many are simply furious and frustrated and angry. I'm not sure a great library and the world's best high schools will provide even mid-term benefits. Because it's only getting to the fringes of the problem.

Problems like "social mobility," "social capital" and integration are not really things governments are good at. I agree like, sure, 'education' will help and governments have more control over that, but I think it's limited or requires really deep thinking about what we're talking about. One problem with elementary and primary education in the US is how much is left to local control. In that sense promoting 'education' controlled by communities infused with all of the same oppositional culture effects may not prove to be the silver bullet we're after; see our microcosm debates about things like teaching kids evolution or prayer in school or school-choice. Everyone is sort of hip to the game that schools are in many ways like the literal Ground Zero of the 'integrate with our fellow countrymen in an egalitarian way? yay or nay?' debate we need to have, which is why parents spend so much time fighting like precisely the battle I'm talking about. Simply dumping money onto educators or school districts without controls or mandates to solve this kind of problem may even make it worse, not better.

Last edited by DVaut1; 02-09-2017 at 05:55 AM.
02-09-2017 , 10:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by daca
europe doesnt have a more conservative islam than the middle east. like not at all. this is silly.

a poll of british muslims found 2/3 of first generation british muslims thought homosexuality should be illegal. 1/3 of those born in britain did. but you dont even need polls. if you just talk to people it's clear that those growing up in europe have a much more standard european mindset.

what there is, is a search for identity that can be hard and where religion is something solid you can hold on to. and there are generations growing up with many more resources and better abilities than their parents. so where religion was more a tradition passed on by generations for the immigrants, the kids can look up many different sources and original texts. for some that leads to radicalisation through ****ty youtube videos.

anyway, the "peace will not exist" line was bizarre in the first place. we have peace. the only war we have is us taking sides (sometimes for good reasons) in foreign civil wars.
yeah i'd really like a cite for muslims in europe being anywhere near as backwards as the muslims in middle east. pretty sure those pew polls everyone loves to cite (and no one really has still even found a way to logically attack particularly well) show that is hardly the case
02-09-2017 , 11:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
I'd be careful about 'ignorant.' I mean sure but when you control for education, it's true that Trump supporters are less educated than the other GOP primary voters; but that wasn't the highest correlating factor, it was actually a smaller one.
I meant 'ignorant' in a technical sense ie ignorant about other cultures.

Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
The strongest correlating factor was living in racially isolated communities. *That* was the highest predictor of Trump support:

It's a hard problem to solve. I've earnestly suggested more hand-outs and welfare state help for these people but when you examine the evidence you see why it kinda won't work. They're not poor and suffering in that way. Other ways, for sure, by their own admission -- many are simply furious and frustrated and angry. I'm not sure a great library and the world's best high schools will provide even mid-term benefits. Because it's only getting to the fringes of the problem.

Problems like "social mobility," "social capital" and integration are not really things governments are good at. I agree like, sure, 'education' will help and governments have more control over that, but I think it's limited or requires really deep thinking about what we're talking about. One problem with elementary and primary education in the US is how much is left to local control. In that sense promoting 'education' controlled by communities infused with all of the same oppositional culture effects may not prove to be the silver bullet we're after; see our microcosm debates about things like teaching kids evolution or prayer in school or school-choice. Everyone is sort of hip to the game that schools are in many ways like the literal Ground Zero of the 'integrate with our fellow countrymen in an egalitarian way? yay or nay?' debate we need to have, which is why parents spend so much time fighting like precisely the battle I'm talking about. Simply dumping money onto educators or school districts without controls or mandates to solve this kind of problem may even make it worse, not better.
But isn't the answer staring us in the face? If living in racially homogeneous areas causes people to be prejudiced, then bringing immigrants into those areas should eventually solve the problem.

(I know it's crass to make a Hollywood reference, but as I was typing that I immediately thought of the Clint character in Gran Torino).

      
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