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02-18-2017 , 04:51 PM
I'm not going to create your argument for you then argue against it.
02-18-2017 , 06:42 PM
You said we're headed for a dark age in 50-100 ages, "if not annihilation."

I said that was hard to believe (we'd have to be nuking each other), and you said it was because of rapidly dwindling resources.

Really no clue what you are talking about here. Food production, knowledge, technology, wealth are all growing. Extreme poverty being eliminated. Energy becoming more abundant.

Can you just elucidate a little on how your fantasy apocalypse will play out?
02-18-2017 , 07:11 PM
What's going to happen to 150 million people if Bangladesh is underwater and all that land isn't available for food production or living space anymore? What's going to happen if other areas of arable land no longer produce good crops because the weather's too hot, too dry, too wet or otherwise too erratic? What's going to happen if coastal areas are flooded causing chaos and disrupting the food chain? The water table in the CA central valley, which produces like 80% of the country's fruits and vegetables, is rapidly depleting and farmers are in an arms race against each other to drill further down. Most of the stuff grown there will die w/o irrigation. We're already over-fishing the sea - or do you have some Koch-funded shills telling you that's all bull**** too?

Not to go full Jiggs, but fossil fuel production is going to top off at some point - or do so much damage to the environment to extract that it causes other havoc. Saudi mostly dictates the price now and they're sitting on a finite amount of oil. Your buddies are literally introducing bills to ban renewable energy in red states. That should make the transition off fossil fuels nice and smooth.
02-18-2017 , 07:17 PM
Here's where you produce some Koch-funded study that says even if climate change is real, it's gonna be a cornucopia of new food production opportunities. Of course man-made climate change is not real. But if it was... paradise. And even if none of that is true - cloud forcing will save the day. So all bases are covered good day sir!
02-18-2017 , 07:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2

Can you just elucidate a little on how your fantasy apocalypse will play out?
You are introducing distortion into a control system. It isn't difficult to work out how dangerous that is.

As for specifics there aren't any. What you are saying is like "YOU SAY that if I throw this grenade into a fireworks factory it will be bad but you can't give me specifics!".
Now substitute "fireworks factory" with "global ecosystem" and you have an idea how dumb you are being.
02-18-2017 , 07:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GBV
You are introducing distortion into a control system. It isn't difficult to work out how dangerous that is.

As for specifics there aren't any. What you are saying is like "YOU SAY that if I throw this grenade into a fireworks factory it will be bad but you can't give me specifics!".
Now substitute "fireworks factory" with "global ecosystem" and you have an idea how dumb you are being.
domer is basically a paid or unpaid shill for the fossil fuel industry. He isn't dumb, he's just FUDing.

I can't find it right now but there's that big list of Rovian internet troll tactics. One of them is basically make your libtard opponent cite all kinds of facts and figures and lay out complicated arguments, then completely ignore his answer or just respond to one tiny part of it. The libtard will become discouraged and stop engaging.

We should call this one ikesplain or something. ikes used it everywhere. domer only seems to use it in climate change threads. Sort of like how RedManPlus was a normal poster except for the Barry Bonds thread.

Last edited by suzzer99; 02-18-2017 at 07:36 PM.
02-18-2017 , 09:29 PM
I thought all the EPA climate change stuff was taken down: https://www.epa.gov/climate-change-s...climate-change
02-18-2017 , 11:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99
What's going to happen to 150 million people if Bangladesh is underwater and all that land isn't available for food production or living space anymore? What's going to happen if other areas of arable land no longer produce good crops because the weather's too hot, too dry, too wet or otherwise too erratic? What's going to happen if coastal areas are flooded causing chaos and disrupting the food chain? The water table in the CA central valley, which produces like 80% of the country's fruits and vegetables, is rapidly depleting and farmers are in an arms race against each other to drill further down. Most of the stuff grown there will die w/o irrigation. We're already over-fishing the sea - or do you have some Koch-funded shills telling you that's all bull**** too?

Not to go full Jiggs, but fossil fuel production is going to top off at some point - or do so much damage to the environment to extract that it causes other havoc. Saudi mostly dictates the price now and they're sitting on a finite amount of oil. Your buddies are literally introducing bills to ban renewable energy in red states. That should make the transition off fossil fuels nice and smooth.
Lol and you accuse other people of spreading FUD. This entire post is complete FUD and stupid talking points. A bunch of what ifs and BS.
02-18-2017 , 11:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99
No because they didn't have the same information we do now. How can you not grasp that?
Grasp what? That we don't have the same information now that people will have in 2 generations? If your grandparents had the same information would you hate them for their use of fossil fuels?
02-19-2017 , 12:30 AM
wow
02-19-2017 , 12:52 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shifty86
Lol and you accuse other people of spreading FUD. This entire post is complete FUD and stupid talking points. A bunch of what ifs and BS.
These are all guaranteed to happen if the results end up on the bad end of the spectrum (+8.6° by 2100). You'll be dead though so just keep choosing to belive those industry shills and screw your grandkids. They can fend for themselves.

Would you be mad if you were on your deathbed for lung cancer, and just learned the tobacco industry muddied up the debate for 40 years about whether cigarettes cause lung cancer? Cause that actually happened.

Let me guess - of course everyone knows that and always has. Only idiot ******s smoke and they deserve what they get.

Funny story - the global warming deniers are and tobacco deniers are even some of the same scientists.

Quote:
Former National Academy of Sciences president Frederick Seitz, who, according to an article by Mark Hertsgaard in Vanity Fair, earned about US$585,000 in the 1970s and 1980s as a consultant to R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Company,[149] went on to chair groups such as the Science and Environmental Policy Project and the George C. Marshall Institute alleged to have made efforts to "downplay" global warming. Seitz stated in the 1980s that "Global warming is far more a matter of politics than of climate." Seitz authored the Oregon Petition, a document published jointly by the Marshall Institute and Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine in opposition to the Kyoto protocol.
Quote:
The tobacco industry engaged the APCO Worldwide public relations company, which set out a strategy of astroturfing campaigns to cast doubt on the science by linking smoking anxieties with other issues, including global warming, in order to turn public opinion against calls for government intervention. The campaign depicted public concerns as "unfounded fears" supposedly based only on "junk science" in contrast to their "sound science", and operated through front groups, primarily the Advancement of Sound Science Center (TASSC) and its Junk Science website, run by Steven Milloy. A tobacco company memo commented "Doubt is our product since it is the best means of competing with the 'body of fact' that exists in the mind of the general public. It is also the means of establishing a controversy." During the 1990s, the tobacco campaign died away, and TASSC began taking funding from oil companies including Exxon. Its website became central in distributing "almost every kind of climate-change denial that has found its way into the popular press."[74]

Last edited by suzzer99; 02-19-2017 at 01:04 AM.
02-19-2017 , 12:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shifty86
Grasp what? That we don't have the same information now that people will have in 2 generations? If your grandparents had the same information would you hate them for their use of fossil fuels?
If I was living in a toxic hellscape because my grandparents chose to believe that all of mainstream science was some scam to get that sweet sweet grant money, while a plucky band of industry-funded shills and AM Radio Hosts were the only ones spitting hot truth?

Yeah, I think that would piss me off.
02-19-2017 , 01:05 AM
Here's where you run along to find something on the internet that confirms what you want to believe.
02-19-2017 , 01:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GBV
You are introducing distortion into a control system. It isn't difficult to work out how dangerous that is.

As for specifics there aren't any. What you are saying is like "YOU SAY that if I throw this grenade into a fireworks factory it will be bad but you can't give me specifics!".
Now substitute "fireworks factory" with "global ecosystem" and you have an idea how dumb you are being.
This is such an easy and seductive argument, and with it you can see how Malthus gained coinage, and The Population Bomb became highly read, and climate alarmism spreads.

But it's also fundamentally untrue, not only untrue but slightly insane. We have no signs that we're even on the path to any sort of global catastrophe, zero, zilch, nada. The world gets healthier and wealthier and smarter year after year after year after year, with blips here and there from slowdowns/depressions/recessions. Humans persevere, life...finds a way.
02-19-2017 , 01:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99
What's going to happen to 150 million people if Bangladesh is underwater and all that land isn't available for food production or living space anymore? What's going to happen if other areas of arable land no longer produce good crops because the weather's too hot, too dry, too wet or otherwise too erratic? What's going to happen if coastal areas are flooded causing chaos and disrupting the food chain? The water table in the CA central valley, which produces like 80% of the country's fruits and vegetables, is rapidly depleting and farmers are in an arms race against each other to drill further down. Most of the stuff grown there will die w/o irrigation. We're already over-fishing the sea - or do you have some Koch-funded shills telling you that's all bull**** too?

Not to go full Jiggs, but fossil fuel production is going to top off at some point - or do so much damage to the environment to extract that it causes other havoc. Saudi mostly dictates the price now and they're sitting on a finite amount of oil. Your buddies are literally introducing bills to ban renewable energy in red states. That should make the transition off fossil fuels nice and smooth.
So let's unpack this because pretty much everything you've just posted is false. Demonstrably, badly false. Like someone would get legit dumber reading your post. Trumpian.

"What's going to happen if other areas of arable land no longer produce good crops because the weather's too hot, too dry, too wet or otherwise too erratic?"

The Earth has grown remarkably more green over the past 30 years, great for crops, and we have seen nothing but growth out of the food supply. To wit:



"The water table in the CA central valley, which produces like 80% of the country's fruits and vegetables, is rapidly depleting and farmers are in an arms race against each other to drill further down."

The drought in California is rapidly coming to an end, and some parts of California are dealing with massive flooding (in fact, a state of emergency because of so much flooding). This was easily predictable, because California water supply ebbs and flows with ENSO. La Nina dried it out, El Nino drenched it. Obviously the problem will rear its head again with La Nina, but this has naught to do with climate change.

"What's going to happen to 150 million people if Bangladesh is underwater and all that land isn't available for food production or living space anymore?"

Sea levels rise incredibly slowly, and by the time they present a problem, Bangladesh will likely be far, far wealthier and its citizens more mobile. People aren't going to drown overnight or even in the span of a year. The rise of the ocean is on a decade-scale. The food production is of course completely inconsequential; we are making insanely large amounts of food without much of the world doing advanced farming techniques lol.

"We're already over-fishing the sea - or do you have some Koch-funded shills telling you that's all bull**** too"

Overfishing is a thing, you are right. We are doing stuff to alleviate that such as fish farming, but obviously we can't be doing that for whales. Japan is out of control with the fishing stuff.

"fossil fuel production is going to top off at some point - or do so much damage to the environment to extract that it causes other havoc. Saudi mostly dictates the price now and they're sitting on a finite amount of oil. Your buddies are literally introducing bills to ban renewable energy in red states. That should make the transition off fossil fuels nice and smooth."

We have decades upon decades of oil, and keep discovering more. But it's immaterial, because electricity is more efficient, and electric cars are becoming rapidly less expensive. And the trend in electrical generation is away from new natgas and new coal and moving rapidly to new solar, more efficient solar. Weird how humans tend to invent better stuff, it's almost like doomsday predictions fail because of it. I guess we're just lucky like that....or something.

Last edited by domer2; 02-19-2017 at 02:20 AM.
02-19-2017 , 02:03 AM
02-19-2017 , 02:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99
domer is basically a paid or unpaid shill for the fossil fuel industry. He isn't dumb, he's just FUDing.

I can't find it right now but there's that big list of Rovian internet troll tactics. One of them is basically make your libtard opponent cite all kinds of facts and figures and lay out complicated arguments, then completely ignore his answer or just respond to one tiny part of it. The libtard will become discouraged and stop engaging.

We should call this one ikesplain or something. ikes used it everywhere. domer only seems to use it in climate change threads. Sort of like how RedManPlus was a normal poster except for the Barry Bonds thread.
The idea that I am a "fossil fuel shill" and I have a very large amount of money invested in solar companies, have a Tesla & solar panels, and have been talking about electric cars/solar being the future for a long ass time...does any of this add up? Let's drop the Trump routine here bruh. If you don't know one iota on a subject, maybe stop posting?

And secondly, what in the hell are you even talking about...do my posts frequently fail to reference stuff? I think not. I was calling out you for unsubstantiated garbage, and to substantiate your garbage, you drove to the landfill and loaded back up on more garbage. Got a mansion of glass over there buddy.

Alarmists are idiots for one simple reason: they fail to account for the fact that humans can and will adapt to minor, slow changes.
02-19-2017 , 02:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99
These are all guaranteed to happen if the results end up on the bad end of the spectrum (+8.6° by 2100). You'll be dead though so just keep choosing to belive those industry shills and screw your grandkids. They can fend for themselves.
Probably deaf ears here, but I'd recommend a thought experiment for you, email your list to a climate scientist, and ask him if what you just posted is guaranteed to happen in 2100 if temp rises 8.6 degrees. I think the response from him to you, if he gives you one, would be illuminating.
02-19-2017 , 02:26 AM
Quote:
minor, slow changes
Tipping points tho. Are they a thing?
02-19-2017 , 02:52 AM
As much as some people exaggerate how quickly and how drastic the negative effects of warming will be, others go infinitely further in exaggerating the negative impacts of transitioning to renewables and conservation. It's more undefinable than infinite since the transition away from fossil fuels will be economically as well as environmentally beneficial.

And a lot of the complacency about the effects of warming have to do with not living in Bangladesh or somewhere like that.
02-19-2017 , 02:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
Alarmists are idiots for one simple reason: they fail to account for the fact that humans can and will adapt to minor, slow changes.
And humans will very easily adapt to the already occurring change away from fossil fuels and would be able to handle it if it were happening even faster.
02-19-2017 , 03:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
Probably deaf ears here, but I'd recommend a thought experiment for you, email your list to a climate scientist, and ask him if what you just posted is guaranteed to happen in 2100 if temp rises 8.6 degrees. I think the response from him to you, if he gives you one, would be illuminating.
Or we could just google it. http://globalwarming.berrens.nl/globalwarming.htm

Quote:
BETWEEN FIVE AND SIX DEGREES OF WARMING

Although warming on this scale lies within the IPCC’s officially endorsed range of 21st-century possibilities, climate models have little to say about what Lynas, echoing Dante, describes as “the Sixth Circle of Hell”. To see the most recent climatic lookalike, we have to turn the geological clock back between 144m and 65m years, to the Cretaceous, which ended with the extinction of the dinosaurs. There was an even closer fit at the end of the Permian, 251m years ago, when global temperatures rose by – yes – six degrees, and 95% of species were wiped out.

That episode was the worst ever endured by life on Earth, the closest the planet has come to ending up a dead and desolate rock in space.” On land, the only winners were fungi that flourished on dying trees and shrubs. At sea there were only losers. Warm water is a killer. Less oxygen can dissolve, so conditions become stagnant and anoxic. Oxygen-breathing water-dwellers – all the higher forms of life from plankton to sharks – face suffocation. Warm water also expands, and sea levels rose by 20 metres.” The resulting “super-hurricanes” hitting the coasts would have triggered flash floods that no living thing could have survived.

There are aspects of the so-called “end-Permian extinction” that are unlikely to recur – most importantly, the vast volcanic eruption in Siberia that spread magma hundreds of metres thick over an area bigger than western Europe and shot billions of tonnes of CO2 into the atmosphere. That is small comfort, however, for beneath the oceans, another monster stirred – the same that would bring a devastating end to the Palaeocene nearly 200m years later, and that still lies in wait today. Methane hydrate.

What happens when warming water releases pent-up gas from the sea bed: First, a small disturbance drives a gas-saturated parcel of water upwards. As it rises, bubbles begin to appear, as dissolved gas fizzles out with reducing pressure – just as a bottle of lemonade overflows if the top is taken off too quickly. These bubbles make the parcel of water still more buoyant, accelerating its rise through the water. As it surges upwards, reaching explosive force, it drags surrounding water up with it. At the surface, water is shot hundreds of metres into the air as the released gas blasts into the atmosphere. Shockwaves propagate outwards in all directions, triggering more eruptions nearby.

The eruption is more than just another positive feedback in the quickening process of global warming. Unlike CO2, methane is flammable. Even in air-methane concentrations as low as 5%, the mixture could ignite from lightning or some other spark and send fireballs tearing across the sky. The effect would be much like that of the fuel-air explosives used by the US and Russian armies – so-called “vacuum bombs” that ignite fuel droplets above a target. According to the CIA, those near the ignition point are obliterated. Those at the fringes are likely to suffer many internal injuries, including burst eardrums, severe concussion, ruptured lungs and internal organs, and possibly blindness.” Such tactical weapons, however, are squibs when set against methane-air clouds from oceanic eruptions. Scientists calculate that they could “destroy terrestrial life almost entirely (251m years ago, only one large land animal, the pig-like lystrosaurus, survived). It has been estimated that a large eruption in future could release energy equivalent to 108 megatonnes of TNT – 100,000 times more than the world’s entire stockpile of nuclear weapons. Not even Lynas, for all his scientific propriety, can avoid the Hollywood ending. “It is not too difficult to imagine the ultimate nightmare, with oceanic methane eruptions near large population centres wiping out billions of people – perhaps in days. Imagine a ‘fuel-air explosive’ fireball racing towards a city – London, say, or Tokyo – the blast wave spreading out from the explosive centre with the speed and force of an atomic bomb. Buildings are flattened, people are incinerated where they stand, or left blind and deaf by the force of the explosion. Mix Hiroshima with post-Katrina New Orleans to get some idea of what such a catastrophe might look like: burnt survivors battling over food, wandering far and wide from empty cities.

Then would come hydrogen sulphide from the stagnant oceans. “It would be a silent killer: imagine the scene at Bhopal following the Union Carbide gas release in 1984, replayed first at coastal settlements, then continental interiors across the world. At the same time, as the ozone layer came under assault, we would feel the sun’s rays burning into our skin, and the first cell mutations would be triggering outbreaks of cancer among anyone who survived. Dante’s hell was a place of judgment, where humanity was for ever punished for its sins. With all the remaining forests burning, and the corpses of people, livestock and wildlife piling up in every continent, the six-degree world would be a harsh penalty indeed for the mundane crime of burning fossil energy.
Sounds wonderful. And that's 5-6 degrees, nevermind 8.6 degrees.
02-19-2017 , 03:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
The idea that I am a "fossil fuel shill" and I have a very large amount of money invested in solar companies, have a Tesla & solar panels, and have been talking about electric cars/solar being the future for a long ass time...does any of this add up? Let's drop the Trump routine here bruh. If you don't know one iota on a subject, maybe stop posting?

And secondly, what in the hell are you even talking about...do my posts frequently fail to reference stuff? I think not. I was calling out you for unsubstantiated garbage, and to substantiate your garbage, you drove to the landfill and loaded back up on more garbage. Got a mansion of glass over there buddy.

Alarmists are idiots for one simple reason: they fail to account for the fact that humans can and will adapt to minor, slow changes.
You have a lot of different tactics I will grant you that. You are a good shill.

But you always land on earth big, people small. Unless climate change is real, then it will be a panacea. You're also plugged into a bunch of science-y sounding blogs, which is laudable. But actual scientists like 13-ball and callypigan have eviscerated you on this forum many many times. It's pretty obvious to a casual observer who has a handle on how and when the science applies, and who is just spewing a firehose of bull****.
02-19-2017 , 04:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
This is such an easy and seductive argument, and with it you can see how Malthus gained coinage, and The Population Bomb became highly read, and climate alarmism spreads.

But it's also fundamentally untrue, not only untrue but slightly insane. We have no signs that we're even on the path to any sort of global catastrophe, zero, zilch, nada. The world gets healthier and wealthier and smarter year after year after year after year, with blips here and there from slowdowns/depressions/recessions. Humans persevere, life...finds a way.
Lol earth is a self-correcting perfect organism. Except when it's not.

We also have no evidence that the marble won't roll out of its confinement and land in some new equilibrium that's terrible for 10B humans trying to feed themselves and support massive energy consuming lifestyles.
02-19-2017 , 04:08 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
So let's unpack this because pretty much everything you've just posted is false. Demonstrably, badly false. Like someone would get legit dumber reading your post. Trumpian.

"What's going to happen if other areas of arable land no longer produce good crops because the weather's too hot, too dry, too wet or otherwise too erratic?"

The Earth has grown remarkably more green over the past 30 years, great for crops, and we have seen nothing but growth out of the food supply. To wit:



"The water table in the CA central valley, which produces like 80% of the country's fruits and vegetables, is rapidly depleting and farmers are in an arms race against each other to drill further down."

The drought in California is rapidly coming to an end, and some parts of California are dealing with massive flooding (in fact, a state of emergency because of so much flooding). This was easily predictable, because California water supply ebbs and flows with ENSO. La Nina dried it out, El Nino drenched it. Obviously the problem will rear its head again with La Nina, but this has naught to do with climate change.

"What's going to happen to 150 million people if Bangladesh is underwater and all that land isn't available for food production or living space anymore?"

Sea levels rise incredibly slowly, and by the time they present a problem, Bangladesh will likely be far, far wealthier and its citizens more mobile. People aren't going to drown overnight or even in the span of a year. The rise of the ocean is on a decade-scale. The food production is of course completely inconsequential; we are making insanely large amounts of food without much of the world doing advanced farming techniques lol.

"We're already over-fishing the sea - or do you have some Koch-funded shills telling you that's all bull**** too"

Overfishing is a thing, you are right. We are doing stuff to alleviate that such as fish farming, but obviously we can't be doing that for whales. Japan is out of control with the fishing stuff.

"fossil fuel production is going to top off at some point - or do so much damage to the environment to extract that it causes other havoc. Saudi mostly dictates the price now and they're sitting on a finite amount of oil. Your buddies are literally introducing bills to ban renewable energy in red states. That should make the transition off fossil fuels nice and smooth."

We have decades upon decades of oil, and keep discovering more. But it's immaterial, because electricity is more efficient, and electric cars are becoming rapidly less expensive. And the trend in electrical generation is away from new natgas and new coal and moving rapidly to new solar, more efficient solar. Weird how humans tend to invent better stuff, it's almost like doomsday predictions fail because of it. I guess we're just lucky like that....or something.
Oh domer has a chart! Science-y sounding blogs come through again!

How many crops can you grow in Bangladesh if it's under water? Maybe 1-2 degrees is net good and anymore gets weird? But let's just always assume the rosiest outlook.

Big Bear Lake is still 14' below normal. Lake Isabella is still a mud puddle. Lake Mead was at it's lowest levels ever earlier this year. Sure it will bounce back some this year. But they're a long long way from spilling over, and if the drought continues they'll be back in crisis in 1 year. Guess what - it rained like hell in 2010 as well. It's the only year Mono Lake actually went up - even after the new water treaty. It will go up some this year, then most likely dribble down again. The aquifiers in the CA Central Valley will still be in crisis despite this one very rainy year. The Salton Sea continues to shrink and is almost too briny/salty to even support Tilapia.

You don't know **** about CA - this is my backyard and I make it my business to know.

Sure dude - a major ice sheet goes in Antartica - which we all know can happen in a relative instant - and boom sea levels rise. Sometimes things happen slow, until they don't. FUD FUD FUD

Holy **** you admit over-fishing is a thing. I guess the fishing industry isn't one of your clients.

Oil whatever - it's gonna run out someday.

All your points are easily refutable.

      
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