Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
December LC Thread **Survivor White House Edition** December LC Thread **Survivor White House Edition**
View Poll Results: Who will NOT survive the month of December?
Matthew Whitaker
10 21.74%
John Kelly
6 13.04%
Kjrstyn Njielessen
8 17.39%
James Mattis
1 2.17%
Ryan Zinke
0 0%
Donald Trump Jr
8 17.39%
Roger Stone
4 8.70%
Ivanka Trump
1 2.17%
Rod Rosenstein
6 13.04%
Write-in
2 4.35%

12-12-2018 , 10:23 PM
For the record, I never objected to public employees or anyone else getting a decent pension. I objected to stuff like sheriff's lieutenants making $350k their last year of service w/a bunch of questionable overtime or many years of accrued vacation paid out at once, then retiring on that for life at age 50. Especially when that case was from San Bernardino county, which also coincidentally declared bankruptcy.

Sounds like they reformed that in 2013 although it didn't take effect until June 1, 2016 (for new employees). Everyone else can still goose the system apparently.

But yes, I do get the irony.
12-12-2018 , 10:23 PM
I'm getting wistful for the prior derail where he shared life hacks for wiping his ass.
12-12-2018 , 11:36 PM
Watched Derren Brown: Sacrifice last night, which painted an interesting picture for how we can reform Trump voters. The main subject of the story was this guy from Florida who hates immigrants and seemed super racist, particularly toward Hispanics. Brown did two things with him:

1. Gave him the results of a DNA test, which in particular showed about 1% each from the Middle East (Israel/Syria) and Central America (Mexico down to Peru) and seemed to make him rethink those places a little

2. Had him do an exercise where he sat in a chair across from another guy (just a few feet from each other), and had them silently look into each others' eyes for 4 minutes. Other guy was British, maybe of South Asian ethnicity? Anyway, our Trump voter made it a couple minutes of staring at this guy before breaking down into tears.
12-12-2018 , 11:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
Anyway, our Trump voter made it a couple minutes of staring at this guy before breaking down into tears.
What? Why? So many questions. Is there a YouTube of this somewhere?
12-12-2018 , 11:48 PM
Something about that makes no sense. What other treatment was provided to make this happen? Was this only one person or did they do this with other people?

I'd be curious about the results with a larger sample and follow-up studies to see how their political/racial views changed since then.
12-12-2018 , 11:49 PM
idk, lots of repressed feelings and anger bubbling up and being challenged?



Quote:
Originally Posted by SuperUberBob
Something about that makes no sense. What other treatment was provided to make this happen? Was this only one person or did they do this with other people?
Just one person.
12-12-2018 , 11:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99
Anyone here in your 60s? Can you tell me what to expect different in my 50s vs. 40s? I actually liked 40s a lot. It felt like 30s except I wasn't as stupid. And no one really treated me different.
Careful with questions like this. You'll get relegated to tldr
12-13-2018 , 12:02 AM
Trying to square that video against the Jimmy Kimmel one with the military DACA family and wondering what the difference is. Is it just a sample size problem or is there actually something to that method?
12-13-2018 , 12:07 AM
Sounds like people are getting tired of the suzzer retirement derail, but briefly:

Suzzer, I'm not entirely comfortable giving you advice (partly because I don't want to spend the time understanding all the details of your options and partly because I don't know you and your situation), but I'll share my experience.

I had worked in a position at UW for just over 5 years (the threshold for vesting) where I was part of a defined benefit pension plan, when I got another job at the university that only offered a 401(k) type plan. I had the option of rolling my money over into the new plan or leaving it behind and being able to collect a fractional pension when I retired. I opted to leave the money in the pension plan for exactly the reason you touched on in your OP of diversifying my retirement plan: a little pension, (hopefully) SS, and my stock/bond mutual fund-based savings hopefully put together give me a better chance at having a decent retirement. Just my experience/thought process, hope it helps.
12-13-2018 , 12:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by eyebooger
Trying to square that video against the Jimmy Kimmel one with the military DACA family and wondering what the difference is. Is it just a sample size problem or is there actually something to that method?
Was just about to post this.

According to Kimmel in an interview with PSA, the video was actually worse than what was aired. He said that he nearly got into a fight with one of the guys there.

My suspicion is that the people in the group during the Kimmel interview wanted to show everybody else in the group how virtuous they were by bashing the family. The ancestry test Brown gave also influenced the thinking of the crying guy. He was one of the people he was condemning and it led to a showing of empathy once he had his skin in the game.



Starts at 3:58
12-13-2018 , 12:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by eyebooger
Trying to square that video against the Jimmy Kimmel one with the military DACA family and wondering what the difference is. Is it just a sample size problem or is there actually something to that method?
I would guess (strong emphasis on "guess") the staring-into-eyes thing, and being 1 on 1, is a much more intimate experience than just sitting across from someone and talking to them, especially when surrounded by 10 of your most racist friends.
12-13-2018 , 12:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ReasonableGuy
Sounds like people are getting tired of the suzzer retirement derail, but briefly:

Suzzer, I'm not entirely comfortable giving you advice (partly because I don't want to spend the time understanding all the details of your options and partly because I don't know you and your situation), but I'll share my experience.

I had worked in a position at UW for just over 5 years (the threshold for vesting) where I was part of a defined benefit pension plan, when I got another job at the university that only offered a 401(k) type plan. I had the option of rolling my money over into the new plan or leaving it behind and being able to collect a fractional pension when I retired. I opted to leave the money in the pension plan for exactly the reason you touched on in your OP of diversifying my retirement plan: a little pension, (hopefully) SS, and my stock/bond mutual fund-based savings hopefully put together give me a better chance at having a decent retirement. Just my experience/thought process, hope it helps.
Thanks - sounds like I'd be dumb to turn down the pension.
12-13-2018 , 12:50 AM
Random thought: News curated by an algorithm tends to promote humanity at its worst, because it takes a human curator to understand how to curb our worst impulses.
12-13-2018 , 11:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zikzak
Random thought: News curated by an algorithm tends to promote humanity at its worst, because it takes a human curator to understand how to curb our worst impulses.
The algorithm was trained to maximize your engagement. It wants you to keep clicking. The data says showing you the worst gets the best results. The human either is optimizing for news worthiness or just isn't as good at enragement. It's a lack of skill by the human, not restraint.
12-13-2018 , 12:20 PM
I heard it described somewhere as Facebook notices you slow down to look at a car wreck, so it creates more car wrecks for you.
12-13-2018 , 12:58 PM
It sounds like amplifying what you measure instead of what you want. Like when they used to rate programmers on lines of code, you got lots and lots of lines of code. If you want people to behave better on line figure out a way to measure/reward people for it.

Narrator: Social Media doesn't want people to behave better on line.
12-13-2018 , 02:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zikzak
Random thought: News curated by an algorithm tends to promote humanity at its worst, because it takes a human curator to understand how to curb our worst impulses.
Counterpoint: Local news broadcasts.
12-13-2018 , 02:27 PM
Not really when they are essentially using the same algorithm...
12-13-2018 , 02:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99
Yeah it's insane how much it goes up those last few years. If I stay until 65 I get $4250 or so.

Our office manager retired and moved to Florida after 30 years. He's 55-ish and basically pulling in 100% of his final salary for life. Maybe more - he got in in the good old days.

I really don't plan to live that long. You don't see a lot of 6"1 - 250 lb 80 year-olds. Turning 50 is a BLAST. So many fun thoughts about what to with the downslope of my life.

Anyone here in your 60s? Can you tell me what to expect different in my 50s vs. 40s? I actually liked 40s a lot. It felt like 30s except I wasn't as stupid. And no one really treated me different. But being a computer programmer at 50 is hitting me like a ton of bricks.
Five years away from 60, and I can tell you one thing - I certainly don't want to be a developer a day longer than I have to. I'm hoping to retire in the next year or two because it's getting tougher all the time to keep focussed and not look as bored with the same repetitive problems and management BS I've heard for 30 years.

The rest is fine - when I sleep well I feel like I'm in my 30s until after about 7 hours of work when I can feel my productivity falling off a cliff.
12-13-2018 , 03:21 PM
Yeah for sure - I can't pull 12-hour days like I used to.

I still really like my job though. And I'm learning a ton of new stuff (AWS/DevOps,C#) right now. However the commute sucks and my boss is a challenge.

If I imagine retiring tomorrow I think I'd be really bored - even with travel. I could however travel and try to pick up remote contract gigs. I'm just not sure how hard those would be to find, and I know I wouldn't be learning as much as I am now. So I'm definitely here for a couple years until it gets repetitive.

So many variables to consider.
12-13-2018 , 03:33 PM
Los Angeles raises speed limits in order to punish speeders

Quote:
The Los Angeles Police Department has several tools to monitor car speeds. Police can pace a car to determine its speed, but that can be dangerous, so they prefer to use radar or laser.

But under a California law, using such equipment is only allowed on streets that have been surveyed by the city within the last 10 years. In 2016, about 80 percent of L.A. streets had not been checked in that time period, meaning police have been unable to issue speed tickets on many city roads.

The law was originally intended to protect drivers from arbitrary "speed traps," usually in rural areas where jurisdictions sometimes set arbitrarily low speed limits to ticket drivers and raise revenue.

"(It's) a necessary evil in order to enforce speed laws in the city of Los Angeles," City Councilman Mike Bonin told LAist Wednesday, calling the state law "the stupidest, most ludicrous, most problematic law" he's ever dealt with.

Bonin, who chairs the council's transportation committee, said nearly everyone on the council has expressed frustration over the law, explaining "a cruel catch-22" that uses a formula based on how fast people are driving to calculate speed limits. In effect, that allows lead-footed drivers to influence legal speeds.

"If people are speeding, you have to raise the speed limit," Bonin said. "It's absolutely nuts."
Counterpoint: no, you're wrong, that law is awesome.

I read a really interesting article awhile back about the influence of speed limits on drivers - I don't think this is that same article, but it makes the same point: Is Every Speed Limit Too Low?

Quote:
In each case, the “survey team” has a clear approach: they want to set the speed limit so that 15% of drivers exceed it and 85% of drivers drive at or below the speed limit.

This “nationally recognized method” of setting the speed limit as the 85th percentile speed is essentially traffic engineering 101. It’s also a bit perplexing to those unfamiliar with the concept. Shouldn’t everyone drive at or below the speed limit? And if a driver’s speed is dictated by the speed limit, how can you decide whether or not to change that limit based on the speed of traffic?

The answer lies in realizing that the speed limit really is just a number on a sign, and it has very little influence on how fast people drive. “Over the years, I’ve done many follow up studies after we raise or lower a speed limit,” Megge tells us. “Almost every time, the 85th percentile speed doesn’t change, or if it does, it’s by about 2 or 3 mph.”

As most honest drivers would probably concede, this means that if the speed limit on a highway decreases from 65 mph to 55 mph, most drivers will not drive 10 mph slower. But for the majority of drivers, the opposite is also true. If a survey team increases the speed limit by 10 mph, the speed of traffic will not shoot up 10 mph. It will stay around the same. Years of observing traffic has shown engineers that as long as a cop car is not in sight, most people simply drive at whatever speed they like.
This makes me think of driving from the Golden Gate Bridge into San Francisco in the last several years after they built a new road there. When they first opened it, the speed limit was 35 mph, but it's basically a nice, open freeway:



I don't consider myself a speed demon or reckless or anything but it feels legitimately stupid to drive under 60 on that road, regardless of what the posted limit is. They've since upped it to 45 which is still absurdly low, possibly to the level of being unsafe.
12-13-2018 , 03:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99
Yeah for sure - I can't pull 12-hour days like I used to.

I still really like my job though. And I'm learning a ton of new stuff (AWS/DevOps,C#) right now. However the commute sucks and my boss is a challenge.

If I imagine retiring tomorrow I think I'd be really bored - even with travel. I could however travel and try to pick up remote contract gigs. I'm just not sure how hard those would be to find, and I know I wouldn't be learning as much as I am now. So I'm definitely here for a couple years until it gets repetitive.

So many variables to consider.
The value of interactions with other people at work is often underestimated. I took an 18 month career break and enjoyed it immensely doing online research at home and reading a ton of novels I'd never got around to reading, but eventually I missed the regular company of different people.

Even if they're often annoying and you don't want to socialise with them they do at least take you out of yourself, which is crucial for mental well-being.
12-13-2018 , 03:40 PM
Tronc (Chicago Tribune) settled a wrongful termination suit with a fired exec for millions to bury a recording the exec had made of Tronc's chairman & largest shareholder talking about a "Jewish cabal" that runs Los Angeles

So that's a thing

Quote:
At the dinner, as at other moments, Ferro railed against those who he felt were impeding him — including perceived rivals and competitors. Among them: the Southern California billionaire and civic leader Eli Broad, whom Ferro called part of a "Jewish cabal" that ran Los Angeles.

This account of the evening is based on interviews with two attendees who separately say they heard Ferro make those remarks. A spokesman for Ferro denied the incident occurred and called the claim "reckless allegations."

Early this year, however, Tribune Publishing made the first in a series of secret payments to total more than $2.5 million to avert a threatened lawsuit filed by a fired newspaper executive, according to three people with knowledge of the deal. That had the effect of keeping Ferro's anti-Semitic slur out of the public spotlight.
12-13-2018 , 04:08 PM

https://twitter.com/ByRosenberg/stat...43583672455168
12-13-2018 , 04:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99
Well if I left at 2-3 years, which was kind of my default plan - then I lose all their employer contributions. But with a 401(k) I still get to keep them. Although it's unclear if everything vests after 1 year of it's a rolling 1 year vesting for their contributions.
What if the economy goes straight down the ****ter in the next two years and you find out employers don't want to hire a dude in his 50s? Pension ainec imo.

      
m