Comey in the House: A Sweat Thread - Page 21 - Politics and Economics

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Comey in the House: A Sweat Thread

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06-08-2017 , 02:47 PM

#501

Namath12

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Conservatives tell me that Comey told the truth about his conversation with Loretta Lynch but lied about everything else. Grandstander!

06-08-2017 , 02:49 PM

#502

champstark

aka starkwired

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 14,838

McCain was up past his bedtime last night

06-08-2017 , 02:50 PM

#503

RV Life

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2016 Posts: 1,935

Quote:

Originally Posted by raradevils

He has a better chance of getting re-elected than he does of being impeached.

What's it like knowing you voted for a corrupt clown such as Trump?

I know, I know, you didn't vote for him. Surrreee!

06-08-2017 , 02:51 PM

#504

TiltedDonkey

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 2,975

Quote:

Originally Posted by raradevils

He has a better chance of getting re-elected than he does of being impeached.

What are your estimates of the probability of the following events:

1) Trump is impeached before the 2020 election.

2) Trump wins the 2020 election.

?

06-08-2017 , 02:52 PM

#505

TiltedDonkey

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 2,975

I personally think 1 > 2, but it is close.

Also I think both are probably <= 10%.

06-08-2017 , 02:52 PM

#506

Namath12

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Our House

So Trump's lawyer says Comey needs to be investigated for leaks and Trump is clear.

Oh his lawyer said that? That's good enough for me.

06-08-2017 , 02:53 PM

#507

Chippa58

veteran

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 2,259

Quote:

Originally Posted by champstark

McCain was up past his bedtime last night

I'm quite certain that Comey answered the question of whether he thought it was obstruction of justice. He said it wasn't for him to decide. Maybe McCain should watch a replay of the hearing if he can stay awake.

06-08-2017 , 02:54 PM

#508

Namath12

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Quote:

Originally Posted by raradevils

He has a better chance of getting re-elected than he does of being impeached.

I actually agree with this, solely based on the numbers. There's no way the Dems get 65 +2 in the Senate before 2020, and nothing short of that ever convicts Trump. In fact I'll be shocked if Dems retake the Senate in 2018 based on the fact that they are defending like 6x the seats that the Reps are defending, several of which are in states Trump won.

06-08-2017 , 02:55 PM

#509

Loki

binary duo

Join Date: Nov 2015 Posts: 12,772

what is the source of that mccain statement?

06-08-2017 , 02:55 PM

#510

campfirewest

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1) 30%

2) 40%

06-08-2017 , 02:59 PM

#511

Chippa58

veteran

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 2,259

Quote:

Originally Posted by Noodle Wazlib

what is the source of that mccain statement?

I don't know but it looks like a news release from his office. CNN made mention of it.

06-08-2017 , 03:02 PM

#512

raradevils

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Quote:

Originally Posted by TiltedDonkey

What are your estimates of the probability of the following events:

1) Trump is impeached before the 2020 election.

2) Trump wins the 2020 election.

?

1.) Zero - he would step down before impeachment but I put that at less than 5%

2.) 50/50 depending on who he runs against and what takes place in the next 3 years.

06-08-2017 , 03:02 PM

#513

aflametotheground

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 1,851

yeh mccains talking was a bit of a mess. the woman running against him in the election actually tried making a point out of his age.

06-08-2017 , 03:03 PM

#514

bigt2k4

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You guys really don't think impeachment will happen if/when Mueller comes out within a year coming to a conclusion of obstruction of justice along with many members of Trump's cabinet having illegal contacts with the Russians? Even more so if Trump is implicated in those meetings?

06-08-2017 , 03:04 PM

#515

SuperUberBob

Not interesting enough

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 48,217

lol if that statement is true

What kind of professional blame **** ups on watching baseball?

06-08-2017 , 03:04 PM

#516

raradevils

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Quote:

Originally Posted by RV Life

What's it like knowing you voted for a corrupt clown such as Trump?

I know, I know, you didn't vote for him. Surrreee!

I don't care what you think. I told you who I voted for.

If you've been in the NY Metro Area for the last +30 years you would know never to count him down. For whatever reason he always seems to come out the other end smelling like roses.

06-08-2017 , 03:06 PM

#517

raradevils

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Quote:

Originally Posted by bigt2k4

You guys really don't think impeachment will happenif/when Mueller comes out within a year coming to a conclusion of obstruction of justice along with many members of Trump's cabinet having illegal contacts with the Russians? Even more so if Trump is implicated in those meetings?

That's a big word. Will there be a "process" crime from someone, maybe. Enough to bring impeachment hearings? That's just wishful thinking.

06-08-2017 , 03:08 PM

#518

aflametotheground

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 1,851

Quote:

Originally Posted by bigt2k4

its going to be largely dependent on his approvals and how much of a burden or plus he is to the party. its mostly political

06-08-2017 , 03:10 PM

#519

Namath12

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Quote:

Originally Posted by raradevils

1.) Zero - he would step down before impeachment

Wow I agree with this too! Of course it would have to pretty much be a lock that he was getting got before he stepped down as it was for Nixon. Otherwise I think he hangs in there like Clinton, let's the Dem-controlled House file there little Articles and the GOP senate bails him out.

06-08-2017 , 03:13 PM

#520

raradevils

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Namath12

Wow I agree with this too! Of course it would have to pretty much be a lock that he was getting got before he stepped down as it was for Nixon. Otherwise I think he hangs in there like Clinton, let's the Dem-controlled House file there little Articles and the GOP senate bails him out.

We better go out and play the lottery today...

06-08-2017 , 03:14 PM

#521

einbert

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Only reason he's not impeached and removed now is because Republicans have zero integrity. That's an odd thing to brag about.

06-08-2017 , 03:14 PM

#522

TiltedDonkey

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 2,975

Quote:

Originally Posted by raradevils

1.) Zero - he would step down before impeachment but I put that at less than 5%

This is fair.

Quote:

Originally Posted by raradevils

2.) 50/50 depending on who he runs against and what takes place in the next 3 years.

LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OL

06-08-2017 , 03:16 PM

#523

Loki

binary duo

Join Date: Nov 2015 Posts: 12,772

If Dems take the house, I have to put impeachment at like 95%. As we saw with Bill Clinton, you can impeach for literally no reason at all.

06-08-2017 , 03:17 PM

#524

raradevils

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Noodle Wazlib

If Dems take the house, I have to put impeachment at like 95%. As we saw with Bill Clinton, you can impeach for literally no reason at all.

Perjury is nothing now, gotcha.

06-08-2017 , 03:18 PM

#525

raradevils

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Quote:

Originally Posted by einbert

Only reason he's not impeached and removed now is because Republicans have zero integrity. That's an odd thing to brag about.

What impeachable offence has he committed?

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