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Climate Change Skeptic; Change My Mind Climate Change Skeptic; Change My Mind

02-02-2019 , 01:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by WichitaDM
How much longer are we going to have to endure this punishment from Mason. Having someone in here citing studies that directly contradict their conclusions that they are so sure about is some post-factual bull****.

NewOldGuy isn't here to debate he is here gaslighting and thats all.
this is the truth. he worse than juan and bundy were and is quite an obv troll. I didnt even want poconoder banned but this guy...
02-02-2019 , 01:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
Oil tycoons/execs have generally been Wasps. Armond Hammer being a notable exception.
ya but its (((soros))) who is funding the charge to take their money
02-02-2019 , 02:05 AM
Dammit - mr. psuedo-sciencey-sounding stuff found this thread. The appearance of legitimate debate has been achieved. Any non-expert can believe whichever side they want. Game over kids.

Domer - are you still big on cloud-forcing, or is some other magic bullet sexier these days?
02-02-2019 , 02:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fuluck414
I noticed that too. Gave away the game a but early though. Next thing you know he'll be in here telling us a certain group of people actually control the weather.
RED PILL
02-02-2019 , 10:35 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Inso0
Forcing the hand of industry into technology that isn't ready for primetime (solar, wind, etc) is going to do more harm than good in the short term, without making a noticeable difference in the medium to long term compared to letting this progress at a more natural rate.
Cite or ban.
02-02-2019 , 10:50 AM
I feel like the policies created as a reaction to climate change are the things we should actually be discussing, there is a lot of room there. No significant portion of people ITT will be convinced by the other so why even try. There is literally nothing that can be posted (whether it exists or not) that will change OPs mind.

OTOH there are things like wind mill parks, nuclear energy, plastic bags, upcoming industrial countries, overpopulation of the earth etc which are (imo) much more interesting to discuss.

Maybe OP can clarify which kind of evidence would be needed to persuade him.
02-02-2019 , 02:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by amead
Cite or ban.
I choose ban, as I would rather not spend my Saturday afternoon giving you basic lessons on economics and how to run a profitable business.
02-02-2019 , 02:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by lozen
My reply is How can you not believe in Climate change science proves it and you cant offer any proof of a higher being. What if your wrong?
Him …...
Whether he knows it, or it's just in his subconscious, the answer is "Worst-case scenario, sounds like I'll be dead before it's at its worst."
02-02-2019 , 02:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Inso0
I choose ban, as I would rather not spend my Saturday afternoon giving you basic lessons on economics and how to run a profitable business.
Mods, you heard the man/woman. Just admit you are making stuff up.
02-02-2019 , 03:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Inso0
I choose ban, as I would rather not spend my Saturday afternoon giving you basic lessons on economics and how to run a profitable business.
Shalom!
02-02-2019 , 04:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Yakmelk
I feel like the policies created as a reaction to climate change are the things we should actually be discussing, there is a lot of room there. No significant portion of people ITT will be convinced by the other so why even try. There is literally nothing that can be posted (whether it exists or not) that will change OPs mind.

OTOH there are things like wind mill parks, nuclear energy, plastic bags, upcoming industrial countries, overpopulation of the earth etc which are (imo) much more interesting to discuss.

Maybe OP can clarify which kind of evidence would be needed to persuade him.
Nobody is pro-pollution. So come up with a plan that doesn’t cost anybody anything and everybody will accept it.
02-02-2019 , 04:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by John21
Nobody is pro-pollution. So come up with a plan that doesn’t cost anybody anything and everybody will accept it.
If nobody is pro-pollution it doesn't have to be free because it means we're all anti-pollution. The point is it should probably be at least somewhat economic which is hard because of the science-policy barrier we have to overcome.

Still wundrin what evidence would persuade OP/others.
02-02-2019 , 05:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Yakmelk
If nobody is pro-pollution it doesn't have to be free because it means we're all anti-pollution. The point is it should probably be at least somewhat economic which is hard because of the science-policy barrier we have to overcome.
The first step in conflict resolution is to identify the real problem. Oftentimes that takes a bit of digging. Some are 100% convinced the climatologists are wrong but they’re probably a small minority. Most would at least give them a non-zero chance of being right. So most people aren’t wholly opposed to the science even though they might think it’s way more likely to be wrong than right. Then when evaluating a proposal they, like everyone else, employ a cost/benefit heuristic: if they conclude the cost is zero and there’s a potential reward, they take the freeroll.

Quick search (not vouching for; just using as an example):
FIGURE 5: US GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT AFTER 10 YEARS OF A CARBON TAX

Assuming that can be substantiated, best case scenario is they saved the planet; worse is they cleaned up the planet. So what possible reason could someone give for opposing a carbon tax?
02-02-2019 , 05:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Inso0
I choose ban, as I would rather not spend my Saturday afternoon giving you basic lessons on economics and how to run a profitable business.
As per your request, 3 day temp ban.
02-02-2019 , 06:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by John21
Nobody is pro-pollution. So come up with a plan that doesn’t cost anybody anything and everybody will accept it.
The EPA has been gutted and regulations removed in all kinds of ways. There are plenty of people who are pro pollution. Some of them are in charge now.
02-02-2019 , 07:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by John21
The first step in conflict resolution is to identify the real problem. Oftentimes that takes a bit of digging. Some are 100% convinced the climatologists are wrong but they’re probably a small minority. Most would at least give them a non-zero chance of being right. So most people aren’t wholly opposed to the science even though they might think it’s way more likely to be wrong than right. Then when evaluating a proposal they, like everyone else, employ a cost/benefit heuristic: if they conclude the cost is zero and there’s a potential reward, they take the freeroll.

Quick search (not vouching for; just using as an example):
FIGURE 5: US GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT AFTER 10 YEARS OF A CARBON TAX

Assuming that can be substantiated, best case scenario is they saved the planet; worse is they cleaned up the planet. So what possible reason could someone give for opposing a carbon tax?
Most policies dont have a cost of zero though. Also the "well at worst we've cleaned up the planet" is so intellectually dishonest (not saying you're applying it here but I believe I saw a picture of it up thread and it is used reasonably often). Money spent on X is money not spent on Y.
02-02-2019 , 08:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Yakmelk
Most policies dont have a cost of zero though. Also the "well at worst we've cleaned up the planet" is so intellectually dishonest (not saying you're applying it here but I believe I saw a picture of it up thread and it is used reasonably often). Money spent on X is money not spent on Y.
I don’t know that with any degree of certainty and I doubt 95% of population does either, at least in terms of financial costs at the individual level. Sometimes when people don’t know they imagine the worst. Maybe that’s an issue. Another issue is urgency or lack of:
  • 97% of cosmologists agree that asteroid x will impact earth in 2250 and the consequences will be dire unless we act now!
  • 97% of cosmologists agree that asteroid x will impact earth in 2020 and the consequences will be dire unless we act now!

I’m thinking people might hedge their bet when faced with the second claim.
02-03-2019 , 02:23 PM
OP, I would post a pic of a giant iceberg and say when it melts it will raise the sea level by xxxx micrometers, but that would be incorrect. Instead I will show you a sinking island, and say once they add more mega tons of weight with skyscrapers it will sink some more.

02-03-2019 , 03:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by e1cnr
OP, I would post a pic of a giant iceberg and say when it melts it will raise the sea level by xxxx micrometers, but that would be incorrect. Instead I will show you a sinking island, and say once they add more mega tons of weight with skyscrapers it will sink some more.



I can't quite tell from your post if you realize that melting icebergs do not raise sea level at all. If all the icebergs in the world melted, sea level would not change. To raise sea level, land ice has to melt and run off eventually into the sea. Icebergs are already in the sea. And so is most arctic polar ice.
02-03-2019 , 03:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NewOldGuy
I can't quite tell from your post if you realize that melting icebergs do not raise sea level at all. If all the icebergs in the world melted, sea level would not change. To raise sea level, land ice has to melt and run off eventually into the sea. Icebergs are already in the sea. And so is most arctic polar ice.
While I understand the principle you're using- already in the sea - it's not quite right and we all obviously want to accurate - even if it is slightly pedantic.

Melting icebergs boost sea-level rise

Quote:
Although most of the contributions to sea-level rise come from water and ice moving from land into the ocean, it turns out that the melting of floating ice causes a small amount of sea-level rise, too.

Globally, it doesn’t sound like much – just 0.049 millimetres per year – but if all the sea ice currently bobbing on the oceans were to melt, it could raise sea level by 4 to 6 centimetres.

Fresh water, of which icebergs are made, is less dense than salty sea water. So while the amount of sea water displaced by the iceberg is equal to its weight, the melted fresh water will take up a slightly larger volume than the displaced salt water. This results in a small increase in the water level.
/pedantry
02-03-2019 , 04:30 PM
Fresh water icebergs are what calves off of glaciers and are different than sea ice. Icebergs apparently are fresh water by definition. They raise the sea level when they drop into the ocean, which of course happens much faster as glaciers move into the sea and break up more rapidly with warming.

It's nittery to say "melting icebergs don't raise the sea level".
02-03-2019 , 04:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NewOldGuy
I can't quite tell from your post if you realize that melting icebergs do not raise sea level at all. If all the icebergs in the world melted, sea level would not change. To raise sea level, land ice has to melt and run off eventually into the sea. Icebergs are already in the sea. And so is most arctic polar ice.
You are missing 2 things with your theory
- 1) there are electrolytes in the salt water that are not in the frozen icebergs.
- 2) the false assumption that the sea floor is a solid and non-movable bedrock and can handle a few zillion tons of water without sinking some.

The cosmetologists should stick with hair and not world ending in 12 years or hockey-puck graph sea level rise.
02-03-2019 , 05:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by e1cnr
I would love to know, if anyone else knows, what the geological phenomenon is that causes the Maldives to have over a thousand islands yet none with any elevation higher than ten feet.

(this is not related to the thread, just curiosity)
02-03-2019 , 06:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
While people argue about a transition away from fossil fuels it's going to just happen. I'd like it continue to be sped up with incentives. It wouldn't have gotten where it is without them. But it's happening.

Contracts are now being written for solar WITH STORAGE at 2.3 cents per kwh.

https://www.greentechmedia.com/artic...ce#gs.gbwibDuB

Electric cars are a few years behind solar and wind in the price curve, but they cost about a third as much to operate per mile as fossil fuel cars and similar up-front prices are right around the corner.
Agree 100%. A carbon tax and divided scheme would accelerate all of this some number of years, save some number of lives, and eventually become more or less irrelevant in economic terms (adding to things like the price of air travel, which will likely remain oil-dependent during our lifetimes).
02-03-2019 , 08:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by e1cnr
You are missing 2 things with your theory

- 1) there are electrolytes in the salt water that are not in the frozen icebergs.

- 2) the false assumption that the sea floor is a solid and non-movable bedrock and can handle a few zillion tons of water without sinking some.



The cosmetologists should stick with hair and not world ending in 12 years or hockey-puck graph sea level rise.
I stand corrected on the minute fresh vs salt water difference. Your #2 makes no sense. A floating iceburg that melts adds no volume or weight to the sea.

      
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