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Brexit Referendum Brexit Referendum

03-10-2019 , 07:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by [Phill]
Now would be a good time to wonder what brexiteers even want if Mays deal doesn't achieve it.

It ticks literally every single box. We even get to avoid a border either on Ireland or in the Irish Sea just as soon as the brexiteers finish developing their technical solution.
Indeed. It's tricky because I so much want to remain but if I try to imagine wanting to leave then May's deal looks pretty damn good.

Except for one area where I think the brexiters are right to be fearful. They fear that during the transition, they will be betrayed by remainers who will negotiate a brino (or even, as I hope, a 'lets call the whole thing off'). Hard line brexiters want to diverge fast because they fear the longer we remain close the more chance we will never diverge. For that reason WTO now makes a lot of sense
03-10-2019 , 07:47 PM
There's some solid potential reasons why WTO might be the best solution, even in the short term...

03-10-2019 , 10:47 PM
Lol and somehow not being part of the EU saves you from that?

WTO-deal is just bad but try polishing that turd somehow.
03-11-2019 , 02:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chezlaw
Indeed. It's tricky because I so much want to remain but if I try to imagine wanting to leave then May's deal looks pretty damn good.

Except for one area where I think the brexiters are right to be fearful. They fear that during the transition, they will be betrayed by remainers who will negotiate a brino (or even, as I hope, a 'lets call the whole thing off'). Hard line brexiters want to diverge fast because they fear the longer we remain close the more chance we will never diverge. For that reason WTO now makes a lot of sense
We haven't even begun negotiations over the meat of the whole deal yet, which will determine the UK's relationship with the EU, so there are more reasons for everyone to be fearful.
03-11-2019 , 02:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by diebitter
There's some solid potential reasons why WTO might be the best solution, even in the short term...

Recessions come and go - you're being very silly again and also missing the point that if the EU went into recession it would have a large impact on the UK economy.

Not totally surprised you don't get this, though.
03-11-2019 , 03:43 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by [Phill]
I don't care what was said after the referendum. I want to hold them to their words before the referendum.



There is no sane person calling to leave on WTO terms. The nearest that exists openly admits it will destroy the entire uk manufacturing and farming economy.



Now as someone in financial services I won't be effected, provided I ignore my tendencies to consume food and purchase goods.



By definition it is not a proper leave option.



There are only three choices:

1, withdraw a50 and admit we made a huge silly mistake and then optionally hang the traitors who sold us out

2, delay withdrawal for two years, give number 10 to Corbyn and let him negotiate under the labour terms for a deal, which are fairly reasonable

3, accept May's deal



I can live with 2 right now and doesn't require any input from the people with a referendum. I can live with 1 or 3 after a referendum confirming the will of the people.
2. is contingent on Corbyn getting elected, which doesn't exactly look likely at the moment.
03-11-2019 , 03:45 AM
Also, lol bitter.
03-11-2019 , 06:23 AM
Brexiters - let's assume there's a one year extension, May resigns and is rapidly replaced by a Brexiter of your choice e.g Mogg or Boris or whatever. What is the path to a better Brexit?
03-11-2019 , 06:36 AM
If one of those loonies gets in and actually wins a majority via general election it's time to seriously consider leaving the country imo. There's legit no saving a country that looks at Boris and sees a remotely competent human being.
03-11-2019 , 06:46 AM
If Boris becomes PM, 100% chance he tries to gaslight Brexiters into believing the May deal is a FULL Brexit where UK gets to keep the cake and eat it too.
03-11-2019 , 08:49 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PartyGirlUK
BTW, leavers. What is your preferred plausible outcome? Like if you want no deal how do you think that happens (I don't see a method other than a referendum which I'm confident no deal would lose, ymmv)?
This:

Quote:
Originally Posted by [Phill]
Now would be a good time to wonder what brexiteers even want if Mays deal doesn't achieve it.

It ticks literally every single box. We even get to avoid a border either on Ireland or in the Irish Sea just as soon as the brexiteers finish developing their technical solution.
I think May has chronically undersold her deal. We pretty much get everything we want, for as long as we want it. The EU will be mightily pissed if we are still sitting on this deal in 10 years time, as I would bet countries like Norway will be asking them for the same deal.

Quote:
Originally Posted by PartyGirlUK
I don't know how you can closely follow three+ years of Brexit debate and not believe "better trade deals" was a prominent leitmotif of the leave campaign. That's just crazy.
And this. I just don't believe most Brexiteers gave trade deals a second thought at the ballot box. It was all about not paying into the EU, and stopping FoM. This was less true of the "making our own laws" argument, but I've yet to hear any sound argument about which EU laws are inherently bad for us as a country.

Either way, I think most Brexit voters would grudging accept this as a fair compromise in return for no annual payments or FoM, considering the closeness of the referendum.
03-11-2019 , 08:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by diebitter
No, what leavers want is simple - to leave the EU. You projecting every single thing some leaver has said ever onto what what all leavers want is silly. I specifically don't remember anyone saying we'd get same or better deals with other countries. It's about it being under our control, not about it being better.

As usual, remainers try to argue the specifics and completely fail to realise it's about the principles.

I get you have to make it some holy crusade to remain and choose to ignore the history and forward trend of gutless here-today, gone-tomorrow politicians giving away national sovereignty to an organisation that has no comebacks or direct responsibility to voters for the various failures it perpetrates on its members, and you think if people knew better, they'd want to be in the EU.

I personally contend that if people knew more about the EU, there would be more people that want to leave it. I put a solid part of the young voting much more in favour of remaining in the EU as being down to they don't know that much about how it works and what its real goals are.
Its kinds beautiful that the line is now "I want to have elected representatives force a deal negotiated and written by unelected bureaucrats upon me even if it is bad for me and my country, provided they are mostly British".

Two years and now not only has project fear been revealed as true its now been dressed up as the entire point all along. The stuff about Britain can thrive outside of Europe was always a myth, both sides now agree on this.

Everyone agrees Britain is a **** country full of ****s and ran by ****s and we have peaked. Where we disagree is that remainers want to make the best of reality and leavers want to larp dress up because pretending to be an important country and it is everyone else's fault we are **** is almost as good as being actually being an important country.
03-11-2019 , 09:04 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by [Phill]
Everyone agrees Britain is a **** country full of ****s and ran by ****s and we have peaked.
I agree with your general point, but 300,000 EU nationals vote with their feet against this every year.
03-11-2019 , 09:11 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chezlaw
Indeed. It's tricky because I so much want to remain but if I try to imagine wanting to leave then May's deal looks pretty damn good.

Except for one area where I think the brexiters are right to be fearful. They fear that during the transition, they will be betrayed by remainers who will negotiate a brino (or even, as I hope, a 'lets call the whole thing off'). Hard line brexiters want to diverge fast because they fear the longer we remain close the more chance we will never diverge. For that reason WTO now makes a lot of sense
But if they accept the Irish Sea regulatory border - which already ****ing exists and has done for decades - there is no mechanism to stop leaving the customs union after the transition.

Everyone gets what they want in this outcome. Except the Irish Taliban DUP, but they are literal terrorists who can **** off. Ireland will be united within a generation regardless of what happens so let's just get the best for Britain. Its not even clear which choice brings about inevitable the fastest.

I agree that brexiteers do not want to reflect the will of the people, which is why the minority are forcing the majority out of the eu and stripping us of numerous rights. But the May deal is a good road map for them to get everything they want, because no one will accept no deal.

Lots and lots of people will be rioting in the street over a no deal because of the inevitable depression and unemployment. Brexit had already killed one MP, a no deal will increase this quickly.
03-11-2019 , 09:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Elrazor
I agree with your general point, but 300,000 EU nationals vote with their feet against this every year.
I am not arguing people don't have it worse in other countries. Especially when that country is Poland.
03-11-2019 , 09:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Elrazor
I agree with your general point, but 300,000 EU nationals vote with their feet against this every year.
We still have leftover wealth from centuries of exploitation.
03-11-2019 , 09:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by diebitter
There's some solid potential reasons why WTO might be the best solution, even in the short term...

This sums up the economic ignorance of leavers quite well.
03-11-2019 , 12:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Elrazor
And this. I just don't believe most Brexiteers gave trade deals a second thought at the ballot box. It was all about not paying into the EU, and stopping FoM. This was less true of the "making our own laws" argument, but I've yet to hear any sound argument about which EU laws are inherently bad for us as a country.
We're at crosswires - I was responding to this.

Quote:
Originally Posted by diebitter
I specifically don't remember anyone saying we'd get same or better deals with other countries.
Whether you think "better trade deals" was or wasn't a motivating factor for leave voters, prominent leave campaigners said we'd easily be able to roll over existing EU trade deals ("same") and negotiate better ones ("better"). That's a factual statement and I don't know how anyone could dispute it. Liam Fox said the former and JRM said the latter and if you search I believe you'll find basically almost every prominent leave campaigner offered the lure of better trade deals.
03-11-2019 , 12:29 PM
Brexit: Nigel Farage's fury as scientists say Remainers are brighter than Leavers
Quote:
Nigel Farage has branded scientists “divisive and arrogant” over claims Brexit voters are not as bright as Remainers.

Leavers tended to be worse with numbers, more impulsive and prone to accepting the unsupported claims of authoritarian figures.

Researchers at the University of Missouri gave 11,225 volunteers psychological tests before the 2016 referendum and asked how they would vote.

“Compared with remain voters, leave voters displayed significantly lower levels of numeracy and appeared more reliant on impulsive thinking,” said the researchers.

Social scientists are becoming increasingly interested in the relationship between personality and voting.

“Participants expressing an intent to vote to leave reported significantly higher levels of authoritarianism and conscientiousness than those voting to remain,” researchers said in the paper, submitted to the Public Library of Science journal.

But remainers have their own faults. “Remain voters self reported higher levels of neuroticism and openness, and appeared to be slightly more risk averse.”

Ex-UKIP leader Mr Farage said: “Remain voters may have higher IQs but I’m not sure many could boil an egg or set up a business.”

The findings also questioned the value of using referendums to decide difficult issues.

Many voters, the scientists conclude, “lack the skills to critically evaluate information raising a fundamental question as to whether direct democracy in the form of binary, winnertakes-all, referendums is an appropriate mechanism for deciding complicated political issues.”
Farage accusing anyone of being divisive and arrogant is just lol.

"Leavers tended to be worse with numbers, more impulsive and prone to accepting the unsupported claims of authoritarian figures" - story checks out.

Just in case anyone doesn't know how to boil an egg ...



One trick I learnt to get an egg perfect for your own tastes (soft, semi-soft or hard - oo-er) was to occasionally take to egg out on a spoon and depending how fast to egg dries says how well it's cooked - dries immediately = hard boiled, ~5 secs = semi-soft, ~10secs = soft.
03-11-2019 , 12:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tomdemaine
We still have leftover wealth from centuries of winning.
Let me guess. We should give it all back, right?
03-11-2019 , 12:56 PM
Lol at him claiming scientists doing a study are arrogant and divisive and then making an arrogant and divisive claim about remainers.

Btw talking about believing whatever feels good even if it is wrong, and a good demonstration of why leave supports only exists because of stupidity believing terrible reporting this just showed up on my news feed:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/uk-47523168
03-11-2019 , 12:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by micro dong
Let me guess. We should give it all back, right?
Britain undeniably owes Africa and Asia trillions of pounds.

We should start with everything stolen over the years that sits in museum vaults and displays. The British museum is a monument to our criminal empire.
03-11-2019 , 01:25 PM
Let's put this to the bitter test.

Bitter, what's 1 - 0.9 recurring?


Bitter?


Bitter???



Strange, he seems to have left the building just as he had a chance to show his maths college lecturer skills.
03-11-2019 , 01:40 PM
I believe according to conventional mathematics wisdom that you were taught and didn't infer from first principles yourself, it's considered 0. I was taught it was something different during elementary maths and similarly didn't infer myself, but I've since found the conventional wisdom is that it is 0, so I agree it is that.

Shame on me for having a maths teacher who got it wrong, and never encountering a situation to be corrected, right?

Presenting yourself as clever because you can state proofs derived from those with greater minds isn't the greatest test of intelligence, but I expect the stupid not to realise this, and would expect the stupid to keep crowing about it.

You remind me of of some sad sack who gets one question right on University Challenge when the team didn't, and can't stop telling people about it for weeks afterwards, even though no one is interested.

(If anyone is wondering, jelfrezi is talking about a maths discussion from about 10 years ago on this site - one in which I acknowledged I had been mistaught, but something I'd never had reason or cause to revisit, ever. You decide who is the sad sack here to keep bringing it up).

Sad little man. To bring things up from 10 years ago to just be a dick, lol.

Last edited by diebitter; 03-11-2019 at 01:46 PM.
03-11-2019 , 02:02 PM
haha I found the thread and have been quite entertained by it.

Ignore my rude comments about jelfrezi about being a massive saddo for digging out some issue from a thread from 10 years ago to make a stupid point.

It was actually 13 years ago...

http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/show...fpart=all&vc=1


Interestingly my arguments at the back-end of this thread are how people that try and trip other people out by asking about theorems that have already been proved, and using that as a way to infer people are stupid, is a total dick move and such people are asshats. QED

Last edited by diebitter; 03-11-2019 at 02:09 PM.

      
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