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Brexit Referendum Brexit Referendum

12-06-2018 , 04:19 PM
END IF imo
12-06-2018 , 04:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PartyGirlUK
Corbyn is lying, unfortunately. The EU will not renegotiate the Withdrawal Agreement. It's fixed. (And they don't bluff. Ask a Greek.) If the House won't pass the Withdrawal Agreement, the only option is Remain. And the Withdrawal Agreement is only No Deal in disguise (except for Northern Ireland), so the House shouldn't pass it.
12-06-2018 , 05:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by martymc1
Unless I'm missing something then this graphic is truly amazing.

They've gave up on the north already by looks of it.
You could get an entirely purple map by polling 34/33/33 in every region, and it wouldn't be 'truly amazing', it'd be an example of how stats and graphics can be very manipulative.
12-06-2018 , 05:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jalfrezi
Extreme youth I'd say, before he learned to start at line 10.
There you again, seeing extremism everywhere.
12-06-2018 , 05:48 PM
Why have the Tories insisted on keeping someone clearly so incompetent in charge during these negotiations?. It is having devestating consequences for our future. Her incompetence has been obvious since the campaign for the general election in 2017.

David Davis's resignation letter is looking bang on the money now.

Quote:
have disagreed with the Number 10 policy line, ranging from accepting the Commission's sequencing of negotiations through to the language on Northern Ireland
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the presentation of a backstop proposal that omitted the strict conditions that I requested and believed that we had agreed, the general direction of policy will leave us in at best a weak negotiating position, and possibly an inescapable one.
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the inevitable consequence of the proposed policies will be to make the supposed control by Parliament illusory rather than real. As I said at Cabinet, the "common rule book" policy hands control of large swathes of our economy to the EU and is certainly not returning control of our laws in any real sense.

I am also unpersuaded that our negotiating approach will not just lead to further demands for concessions.
https://news.sky.com/story/davis-dav...-full-11430720

I find it inexcusable she was not removed from power before we got to this point.
12-06-2018 , 05:49 PM
Otoh.

12-06-2018 , 06:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alexdb
You could get an entirely purple map by polling 34/33/33 in every region, and it wouldn't be 'truly amazing', it'd be an example of how stats and graphics can be very manipulative.
Only thing I find amazing about the graphic is the north of Ireland is missing.

You're talking to the wrong person about numbers.
12-06-2018 , 06:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 57 On Red
No, it can't be broken unilaterally and, in the event of Brexit, it will happen.

Here's the thing. May's 'deal' is not a deal, it's a deferred No Deal. It's an eighteen-month Withdrawal Agreement, with a once-only option (at a cost to be dictated) to extend for two years, up to 2022.

That is nothing like long enough to conclude a free-trade deal and get it ratified by the 27, including those pesky Belgian regional parliaments. Nothing like long enough. Remember how long Canada took, and that deal doesn't even include services, which account for 80% of the UK economy.

After 2022, the backstop will apply indefinitely. And the backstop is 'No Deal except for Northern Ireland, which will maintain regulatory alignment with the EU.' This is laid down by the EU and the UK will have no choice in the matter.

As for No Deal or 'WTO rules' as Brexitards prefer, this is what a pro-Leave site pointed out all of eighteen months ago.

http://leavehq.com/blogview.aspx?blo...s9eTz74nTWYNpU



And remember, May's deal is just a deferred No Deal (because she's psychologically incapable of anything but kicking the can down the road), which means catastrophe, and it appears that Parliament won't wear it.

We'll find out on Tuesday. If it fails, then there is literally no option but to Remain, because there is no question that could be put on the ballot paper for a referendum. You can't go to the country with a proposal rejected by Parliament.

And at 0900 CET (0800 GMT) on Monday, before Tuesday's 'meaningful vote' in the Commons, the ECJ will publish their definitive ruling on the revocation of Art.50.
I had a read of that link and what it describes is pretty frightening tbh. No real surprise it has gone unnoticed or just been ignored itt.
12-06-2018 , 08:18 PM
Quote:
Theresa May faces an appalling choice tonight - press ahead with the vote on her Brexit plan on Tuesday, and risk a massive, crushing defeat, or postpone the vote and return to Brussels on Thursday, to beg EU leaders to amend the terms of the UK's divorce from the EU.
https://www.facebook.com/14982767671...6277191030347/
12-06-2018 , 09:25 PM
EU not going to move an inch on the backstop for numerous reasons and there is nothing else they can give. As far as I can see NI is the only place that supports the backstop, hardly a surprise tho because it gives us some protection from the coming armageddon. Would even say it makes this place an attractive place for business.

And has already been explained, if they open the negotiations again it's more than likely May will come back with an even worse option because Macron-fish/Spain-Gib and **** knows who else will be making their own demands.

I have no sympathy for the situation the UK gov finds itself in (just a pity I'm stuck living under their jurisdiction....bastards) and I'm surprised anyone else has. This is what was voted for, a blank cheque for the worst bunch of politicians ever. Given to them by the most ignorant electorate ever - this cannot be in dispute.

--

Hasn't been said enough but if by the smallest of chances May's nonsense goes through, there will be mayhem here in the north because if there is one thing the bigots can do that's mobilise their bigots at a moments notice.....all they have to say is 'its the dirty fenians fault, they're stealing our country and our FLEGS!'. We'll not be able to move for weeks on end.

--

I watched the SNP guy on QT and he pointed out the previous government lies that were made concerning Scottish citizens ability retain their EU rights after the independence referendum, no matter the result. 2 years later and it's all went to ****.

Tory bastards dgaf who they **** over, so there could be a lot of surprises still to come.
12-07-2018 , 05:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shuffle
Most of them don't want Brexit. With their consent, Cameron called the referendum sure it would be voted down. They lost, now they have been playing the long game for 2 years trying for a do-over.
Some truth in that but you can't absolve the brexiter side for being so useless.

They still don't know what they want. Hardest part of a 2nd referendum might be working our what the options are: 2 or 3 choices between: 'Remain', 'May's deal' or ????
12-07-2018 , 05:26 AM
That piece of piss that was exiting the EU has turned into threatening Ireland with famine. I am shocked to see walnut-brained Brexiteer Priti Patel advocating lunacy.

12-07-2018 , 05:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chezlaw
Some truth in that but you can't absolve the brexiter side for being so useless.

They still don't know what they want. Hardest part of a 2nd referendum might be working our what the options are: 2 or 3 choices between: 'Remain', 'May's deal' or ????
May's deal is busto. EU sez no other options on table. EU narrative is deal or no brexit, lollll.

Remain or No Deal, obviously (or we clearly just end up with May's deal as everyone's second choice).



The only ballot paper options remainers seem to want are:

[ ] Remain
[ ] Dont leave
12-07-2018 , 05:31 AM
You need to define 'no deal' better

You mean just just pure cliff edge or some wto+++

She's not dead yet
12-07-2018 , 05:33 AM
You realise a lot, and I mean a lot, of people are starting to see this as the absolutely last chance to break away from the EU. And they've seen how the EU have been quite bullying in all this.

I like the odds if it's Remain/No Deal ref
12-07-2018 , 05:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chezlaw
You need to define 'no deal' better

You mean just just pure cliff edge or some wto+++

She's not dead yet
leave on 29th March. I don't care what terms*, JUST DO IT


* As long as we can cut trade deals, and have a path that we can finally disconnect one glorious day. The sooner the better obv as it's crumbling (wait till May elections loooool, Macron's gonna get a beating at the polls)
12-07-2018 , 05:40 AM
That wasn't quite an answer to the point but see it as your last chance as well barring some significant change of circumstances. I wasn't joking when I said you need to seriously consider backing a 2nd ref if you really want it (it was amusing but it was also a serious point).

edit:

Quote:
leave on 29th March. I don't care what terms*, JUST DO IT


* As long as we can cut trade deals, and have a path that we can finally disconnect one glorious day. The sooner the better obv as it's crumbling (wait till May elections loooool, Macron's gonna get a beating at the polls)
i accept you don't personally care but if the brexiter camp have still not come up with some more specific proposal to be pushing for then that's what I mean about them being so useless.

Last edited by chezlaw; 12-07-2018 at 05:46 AM.
12-07-2018 , 05:41 AM
I'm fine with a 2nd ref now, as long as there's no stacking for remain that could be fiddled by having a non-binary vote.

Remain
Leave (to be clear WTO on 29th March)


Remain have tried to stymie every single step of leaving, so above result must be placed in law before the ref, so it MUST be carried out without hinderance imo.

If there's any talk of negotiation then remain use it to leverage and break faith with result at any opportunity, so it seems to me another referendum must be cast iron and carried out (and remain can then do what they should have done in first place, focus on creating political climate to consider reapplying)

Last edited by diebitter; 12-07-2018 at 05:51 AM.
12-07-2018 , 05:45 AM
PS that's what I want if there's a 2nd ref, but I'd prefer it just spinning out and we leave anyway on 29th March. Same result without pointless vote imo.


Honestly, if remain wins, you think all this is over? You remainers are sadly blinkered about knock on effects and what this will do (maybe not you personally Chez, but 99% of remainers). Personally, I'll be turning my back on democracy as a way to get stuff done, it will be clear it's busted. It's painfully clear what the outcome of this will be: history tells us exactly what happens in a system where the governing body have failed... antipathy and growing hatred for the governing elite that failed the winners of the real referendum not the 2nd one with can be plainly sold as an EU rerun based on fear uncertainty and doubt, power vacuums, the rise of autocrats with simple messages and plain intentions, a surge in anger and hate...

And it's the agitating, anti-democratic remainers that have brought us to this, frankly, by gaming democratic process at every turn.


The only healthy way this can play out from your corner is if we leave and then decide to reapply. Every other course is a poisonous path.


I hope for the sake of democracy surviving in the UK, if there is this 2nd ref, Leave wins. And this time, I'm not meaning democracy surviving wrt escaping the non-democracy of the EU, but in terms of people retaining belief in the current UK democratic process.

Last edited by diebitter; 12-07-2018 at 06:02 AM.
12-07-2018 , 05:49 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shuffle
It would be most ironic if the remainers wind up supporting May's deal or pressing for a second referendum that makes them subservient to Le Pen, Orban, and AfD after the next EU elections.
There's no doubt who the big winners are. Let's hope the EU can fight them off without our help and despite brexit.

Or we could remain and fight the good fight.
12-07-2018 , 06:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by diebitter
You realise a lot, and I mean a lot, of people are starting to see this as the absolutely last chance to break away from the EU. And they've seen how the EU have been quite bullying in all this.

I like the odds if it's Remain/No Deal ref
The EU has been quite bullying as it enforces the rules that we both signed up to and helped to design and uses reasonable leverage to do what it sees as for its own benefit.

If anyone thinks that is bullying then I fear for them if they every get properly bullied.
12-07-2018 , 06:02 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by diebitter
PS that's what I want if there's a 2nd ref, but I'd prefer it just spinning out and we leave anyway on 29th March. Same result without pointless vote imo.
It's such a mess that I wont rule anything out but I assume we agree that this is one of the most unlikely outcomes.

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Honestly, if remain wins, you think all this is over? You remainers are sadly blinkered about knock on effects and what this will do (maybe not you personally Chez, but 99% of remainers). Personally, I'll be turning my back on democracy as a way to get stuff done, it will be clear it's busted.

The only healthy way this can play out from your corner is if we leave and then decide to reapply. Every other course is a poisonous path.
It's never over and I agree that remaining will have some very bad and ugly consequences. If the political world wasn't in such a dangerous place then I might not even think it was worth it. Unfortunately, I don't think 'healthy' is an option at the moment.
12-07-2018 , 06:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hoopie1
The EU has been quite bullying as it enforces the rules that we both signed up to and helped to design and uses reasonable leverage to do what it sees as for its own benefit.

If anyone thinks that is bullying then I fear for them if they every get properly bullied.
reasonable? lol.

Forcing an agreement where they will hold the whip hand without an end date is reasonable, is it? If the US did that to Mexico, say, is that reasonable?
12-07-2018 , 06:08 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chezlaw
There's no doubt who the big winners are. Let's hope the EU can fight them off without our help and despite brexit.

Or we could remain and fight the good fight.
if by good fight you mean game democratic process (and in turn help undermine the social contract underlying it) rather than accept democratic results and rework your strategy for a long-term sea change, then yes, carry on the good fight.
12-07-2018 , 06:12 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by diebitter
reasonable? lol.

Forcing an agreement where they will hold the whip hand without an end date is reasonable, is it? If the US did that to Mexico, say, is that reasonable?
They aren't forcing anything. We can choose not to agree it.

      
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