^ If you got 148 bad beats out of 150 in a live game, would you conclude that they were still just bad beats or that there was something wrong somewhere?
Also as Alex says, part of the problem the forecasts aren't presented as "well it's the right side of a coinflip like 99 vs AKo that X is going to happen but of course it might run out the other way" they are presented as scientifically determined predictions and that one is a fool to say that the emperor has no clothes.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dutch101
Those predictions can still be correct because Britain hasn't left yet. Even now a lot of companies are not pulling the trigger yet on relocation hoping the UK will come to their senses.
Why wasn't that modelled? The pre-referendum models had unemployment peaking at 6% in summer 2018, it's actually fallen since then. That's obv. due to evil businessmen and central bankers not behaving how the economists modelled them to behave though....
Anyway you're wrong. Here's yet another one pulling the trigger:
Kopparberg beginning production in the UK after Brexit.
https://www.eveningexpress.co.uk/new...rexit-jitters/
Are people ITT still predicting an increased net trade deficit with the EU after Brexit?
Last edited by LektorAJ; 09-18-2018 at 11:54 AM.