Brexit Referendum - Page 28 - Politics and Economics

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Page 28 of 672

First

8 18 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 38 48 78 128 228 528

Last

06-23-2016 , 09:41 AM

#676

Ledders

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 6,905

Quote:

Originally Posted by SuperUberBob

Source?

Brexit has been drifting all day on betfair. Remain is currently 1.16. Come in a bit after touching 1.1

Edit: Out to 1.22 in the last 5 mins :O

Last edited by Ledders; 06-23-2016 at 09:47 AM.

06-23-2016 , 10:14 AM

#677

diebitter

Grotesquely Handsome

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 65,711

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ledders

Brexit has been drifting all day on betfair. Remain is currently 1.16. Come in a bit after touching 1.1

Edit: Out to 1.22 in the last 5 mins :O

Don't understand this stuff. Is that less money going on leave, or more?

06-23-2016 , 10:33 AM

#678

Pinkmann

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2014 Posts: 1,487

^I prefer money line odds. On william hill today, remain has gone from -1000 to -600 and now is -700. So for -1000, bet 1000$ to win 100$ aka very likely. The lines moving is the indicator of who is putting money where, but I dont fully understand how the actual movement works.

06-23-2016 , 10:35 AM

#679

plexiq

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 2,554

Quote:

Originally Posted by diebitter

Don't understand this stuff. Is that less money going on leave, or more?

It means the implied probability for remain is around 85%. (eg 1.16 => 1/1.16 = 86%)

06-23-2016 , 10:49 AM

#680

Trolly McTrollson

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 36,772

As an American, my main concern is whether this Brexit thing will have any influence on Jeremy Clarkson returning to Top Gear.

06-23-2016 , 10:57 AM

#681

diebitter

Grotesquely Handsome

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 65,711

So brexit at 1.22 is 81% on current odds? That doesn't sound right...

06-23-2016 , 11:00 AM

#682

plexiq

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 2,554

That are the odds for remain, ie chance of brexit would be at 19%.

06-23-2016 , 11:09 AM

#683

fredd-bird

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 19,337

Quote:

Originally Posted by Trolly McTrollson

As an American, my main concern is whether this Brexit thing will have any influence on Jeremy Clarkson returning to Top Gear.

Nothing will bring him back. Clarkson, Hammond, and May are doing a show on Amazon called The Grand Tour.

06-23-2016 , 11:10 AM

#684

diebitter

Grotesquely Handsome

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 65,711

Quote:

Originally Posted by plexiq

That are the odds for remain, ie chance of brexit would be at 19%.

OK ta. That makes sense.

06-23-2016 , 11:54 AM

#685

Lawless45

newbie

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 36

06-23-2016 , 12:02 PM

#686

TrollyWantACracker

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 4,184

Don't really follow UK politics but seems like there should be some compromise option. Like you guys submit to the EU Monday through Friday but get to spend the weekends as a real country. Seems win/win to me but idk.

06-23-2016 , 12:29 PM

#687

Lawless45

newbie

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 36

Quote:

Originally Posted by KennyJPowers

I voted to stay of course like any sane minded person who knows they are born would.

Media hype much? Go watch your lying snivelling poster boy osborne get torn a new one by Andrew Neil. That was hilarious. The remain camp is so woolly and wannabe fashionable it's a joke. People are allowed to think for themselves and come to a different conclusion from you, get over yourself.

06-23-2016 , 12:39 PM

#688

57 On Red

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 5,774

Quote:

Originally Posted by TrollyWantACracker

We kind of have that already. We get a massive rebate on our subscription, we're not in the euro, we're not in the Schengen open-border zone and we're not in the federal 'ever closer union' thing.

06-23-2016 , 12:42 PM

#689

davmcg

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2003 Posts: 2,535

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rooksx

Guardian says Remain is four points ahead. Telegraph claims polls show it's too close to call. Don't think there's an exit poll yet

"Private" was the key word in his post, billions at stake in the markets, so private polling going on. British media don't publish any exit polls until voting stops (don't know if that is law or convention).

06-23-2016 , 01:11 PM

#690

chezlaw

Limey Bastard

Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 46,890

Quote:

Originally Posted by TrollyWantACracker

That's pretty close to voting to stay. Still married but with all the opt outs it's an open marriage.

The real scandal is there's no 'reclaim the colonies' option. Growing a new King George is looking like a waste of time.

06-23-2016 , 01:14 PM

#691

57 On Red

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 5,774

Quote:

Originally Posted by Trolly McTrollson

As an American, my main concern is whether this Brexit thing will have any influence on Jeremy Clarkson returning to Top Gear.

Not really on, due to his contract with Amazon to present the Grand Tour show. He and May made a short video for Remain because it would become a bureaucratic nightmare to film their show, crossing all those visa and customs barriers and hurdling the work-permit and film-permit regs, if we weren't in the EU.

Meanwhile:

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/...ns-in-pictures

06-23-2016 , 01:21 PM

#692

Rooksx

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 5,478

Quote:

Originally Posted by davmcg

As I understand, there can't be proper exit polls for this vote because there's no reference point. Exit polls compare the current vote within a consituency to previous votes and analyse the swings. But there's nothing to compare to with this referendum.

06-23-2016 , 01:22 PM

#693

Elrazor

losing momentum

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 13,803

Quote:

Originally Posted by 57 On Red

We get a massive rebate on our subscription, we're not in the euro, we're not in the Schengen open-border zone and we're not in the federal 'ever closer union' thing.

I'm at a loss why Europe never listens to us on important issues....

06-23-2016 , 01:34 PM

#694

TrollyWantACracker

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 4,184

Quote:

Originally Posted by chezlaw

Was going to make a joke about you drinking this early again, then I realized the pubs close at like 7 or something so I guess you better get it down while you can.

06-23-2016 , 01:55 PM

#695

[Phill]

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 52,717

Voted.

Remain and leave boxes should have been subtitled as "the right choice" and "why are you still reading?"

06-23-2016 , 02:36 PM

#696

diebitter

Grotesquely Handsome

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 65,711

Drat this pesky democracy with its different options.

06-23-2016 , 02:51 PM

#697

chezlaw

Limey Bastard

Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 46,890

Quote:

Originally Posted by TrollyWantACracker

Was going to make a joke about you drinking this early again, then I realized the pubs close at like 7 or something so I guess you better get it down while you can.

I voted twice, I think.