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Brexit Referendum Brexit Referendum

11-17-2018 , 02:18 PM
OK, let me rephrase it so you can't slink away.

Why do you think the public will agree with your illogical assertion that if we have a Norway type agreement, which isn't a member of the EU, we will still be a member of the EU?

What evidence do you have, other than "feelings" aka wishful thinking?
11-17-2018 , 02:26 PM
Just because you interpret 'leaving the EU' as 'no longer being a member', doesn't mean everyone else interprets it that way. I'd say 'leaving the EU' for me is the point you can make trade deals, but I'd also think finally cancelling the so called 4 freedoms within the UK will be the final act of leaving.

Do you really think after 29th March, if we find ourselves stuck in this uncancellable arrangement, people wil think 'oh, that's all over, we've left!'?


Do you really think that? Really?
11-17-2018 , 02:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by diebitter
Just because you interpret 'leaving the EU' as 'no longer being a member', doesn't mean everyone else interprets it that way. I'd say 'leaving the EU' for me is the point you can make trade deals, but I'd also think finally cancelling the so called 4 freedoms within the UK will be the final act of leaving.

Do you really think on 29th March, if we find ourselves stuck in this uncancellable arrangement, people wil think 'oh, that's all over, we've left!'?


This all started on talking about BINO, and if this current trainwreck isn't BINO, I want to know what is.

Would you agree with me that removing membership but staying in every single way the EU will allow is BINO?
Can't wait to tell Norwegians they're members of the EU but don't have a vote.
11-17-2018 , 02:32 PM
lol you rephrase the argument that was about public perception to being about a dry technical definition cos you are wrong, and you know it

But, feel free to answer this:

Do you really think after 29th March, if we find ourselves stuck in this uncancellable arrangement, people wil think 'oh, that's all over, we've left!'?
11-17-2018 , 02:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by diebitter
Just because you interpret 'leaving the EU' as 'no longer being a member', doesn't mean everyone else interprets it that way. I'd say 'leaving the EU' for me is the point you can make trade deals, but I'd also think finally cancelling the so called 4 freedoms within the UK will be the final act of leaving.

Do you really think after 29th March, if we find ourselves stuck in this uncancellable arrangement, people wil think 'oh, that's all over, we've left!'?


Do you really think that? Really?
I said earlier I don't pretend to know what the public will think about it - isn't that why we had a referendum?

If you cancel your membership of the local gym and have to leave the board where you had a vote on policy, but still turn up to use it pay as you go, are you still a member of the gym? It's a simple question really, you should be able to manage this one.

Last edited by jalfrezi; 11-17-2018 at 02:42 PM.
11-17-2018 , 02:43 PM
Here's my view. This deal will not be perceived as delivering the referendum result by the majority of people.

Whats your view?

PS Interested in everyones view on this.
11-17-2018 , 02:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by diebitter
Avoiding again I see. So I'll ask you plain.

Here's my non avoiding view. This deal will not be perceived as delivering the referendum result by the majority of people.

Whats your view?

PS Interested in everyones view on this.
You're projecting again.

Just try to answer this:

Quote:
Originally Posted by jalfrezi
I said earlier I don't pretend to know what the public will think about it - isn't that why we had a referendum?

If you cancel your membership of the local gym and have to leave the board where you had a vote on policy, but still turn up to use it pay as you go, are you still a member of the gym? It's a simple question really, you should be able to manage this one.
11-17-2018 , 02:49 PM
If payg makes you a member, you're a member. If it doesn't, you are something else.

But if you said 'I'm leaving the gym' and keep going, then... You haven't left the gym, have you.

I don't think your trite analogy is working as well as you thought it would.

Last edited by diebitter; 11-17-2018 at 02:55 PM.
11-17-2018 , 03:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by diebitter
If payg makes you a member, you're a member. If it doesn't, you are something else.

But if you said 'I'm leaving the gym' and keep going, then... You haven't left the gym, have you.

I don't think your trite analogy is working as well as you thought it would.
By your line of reasoning we can certainly "leave" the gym by never returning, and using another gym instead. But clearly this option isn't available in the world of international affairs (unless you advocate no further trade with the EU, which I don't think even you are stupid enough to back).

Therefore "leaving" the EU is effected by cancelling our membership regardless if we still have trade agreements with it, which is exactly what the draft agreement does.

BTW I'm no fan at all of this agreement because it gives us less of what we have now possibly at a greater price, and with no accountability.
11-17-2018 , 03:06 PM
Still sticking to a trite analogy to avoid answering real questions?

And jamming the real world clumsily into your trite analogy to make it work?

You are persistent.
11-17-2018 , 03:08 PM
Where are you real questions?

All I see are attempts at deflection from you.
11-17-2018 , 03:19 PM
Sigh.

Again (some minor rephrasing to clarify and tone done the more emotive language):

Do you think after 29th March, if we find ourselves in the arrangement May has negotiated, people will think 'oh, that's all over, we've left'?


I thought you were suggesting earlier it is leaving and most people would see it as leaving too, but I may have misunderstood. Can you clarify your opinion for me please?


(and to repeat my own opinion here, I think most people would not see this as leaving the EU)

Last edited by diebitter; 11-17-2018 at 03:34 PM.
11-17-2018 , 03:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by diebitter
Sigh.

Again:

Do you think after 29th March, if we find ourselves stuck in this arrangement, people will think 'oh, that's all over, we've left!'?


I mean a sizeable number btw. Put percentages on if you like, but I'd settle for an actual answer rather than some silly deflection.
No. They won't. But that is the fault of Brexitards for demanding the impossible. If May's deal passes in the Commons -- and at present that does not seem likely -- we will go into a transition period. This will inevitably have to be extended, because you can't conclude such a complex free-trade deal in the short time allowed. But this is what Brexitards voted for. It is all that can be done. The fact that they voted for such a stupid and pointless scheme, which will inevitably leave all of us worse off (except the 1% like May's husband, a hedge-fund manager who is making many millions by betting against sterling), is their fault and nobody else's. It was always going to be this way.
11-17-2018 , 03:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jalfrezi
Conservative Lord Lilley says Theresa May "should go", likening the situation to when Churchill replaced Chamberlain in World War Two "to get the best outcome".

I'll be so glad when these posturing old farts are all gone and we don't have to listen any more to the terrible cliched WW2 metaphors they wheel out every time there's a disagreement with Europe.
Isn't it extraordinary how people wheel out the nazis every time they're making a a really bad case?
11-17-2018 , 03:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by diebitter
This isn't discussion, it's just silly contradiction.
no it isn't
11-17-2018 , 03:35 PM
This was about Churchill, not the Nazis.

Nice try though.
11-17-2018 , 03:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by diebitter
Sigh.

Again (some minor rephrasing to clarify and tone done the more emotive language):

Do you think after 29th March, if we find ourselves in the arrangement May has negotiated, people will think 'oh, that's all over, we've left'?


I thought you were suggesting earlier it is leaving and most people would see it as leaving too, but I may have misunderstood. Can you clarify your opinion for me please?


(and to repeat my own opinion here, I think most people would not see this as leaving the EU)
I've said twice already I don't know. I don't even know why people voted for Brexit in the first place, other than a general kick in the direction of people they couldn't get at any other way (metropolitan elites, foreigners, bankers), and inchoate anger at neo-liberal policies that will turn all of us into paupers eventually.
11-17-2018 , 03:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dereds
The platform is obviously going to be about the provision of public services, public ownership and the rest of the manifesto I'm not suggesting making it a single topic election
I agree it wont be single topic but brexit will suck up so much of the oxygen.

Quote:
but the fact remains that if May's government falls before Brexit and Labour win Labour will have to address Brexit.
Indeed but Labour have a big say in how this plays out and Labour needs to avoid being outmanouvered by May - if she can't get her deal through parliament then she will be delighted to fight a GE on her deal vs JC's extend and renegotiate.
11-17-2018 , 03:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jalfrezi
This was about Churchill, not the Nazis.

Nice try though.
Nah it's all the same thing. Churchill, Chamberlain. he's talking about appeasment & hitler ain't he.
11-17-2018 , 03:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by diebitter
Here's my view. This deal will not be perceived as delivering the referendum result by the majority of people.

Whats your view?

PS Interested in everyones view on this.
No sane country -- and that category does not include us -- would ever allow such a disruptive and potentially catastrophic constitutional change to be decided by simple majority, let alone such a slim majority as 52/48. It should simply never have been allowed to happen. And the Leave campaign is now under criminal investigation, and that investigation could well go as high as Theresa May, who as Home Secretary allegedly blocked a previous investigation. (May's husband, as an investment manager, may have profited from the Leave result, for the same reasons that hedge fund manager Crispin Odey has kindly explained -- this is 'disaster capitalism'.)

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/i...odey-sr3zqf5hz

Again, the public are now majority Remain, by at least 54-46, in repeated polls over many months.

And again, Switzerland held two referendums on EFTA membership: one on whether to apply, and another on whether to proceed with the actual deal agreed with the EU.
11-17-2018 , 03:47 PM
Per usual, loads of words from bitterballs and all of them nonsense.

Trade deals + end 4 freedoms ÷ no more stinking immigrants = bigots paradise.
11-17-2018 , 03:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BOIDS
these are nice soundbites and i'm sure they do well at momentum rallies, but are obviously ~meaningless and basically a function of ukip/lib dem collapse

the other side of the coin:

blair bludgeoned the tories down to 30%, vs JC they're at 42%
I think it's missing the point which is that JC was the unelectable man becaue people simply wouldn't vote for left wing policies.

40% voted for Labour. Yes there are specific facts about the last ge (not all favourable) but it proves that the unelectable stuff is bollocks. Voters will vote for him.


Quote:
Originally Posted by BOIDS
i just think the tories are there for the taking, labour led by a normal candidate could put them out of power for 15 years

a repeat of the days where they spent all their time arguing with themselves over europe, led by hopeless shambles such as IDS and did you threaten to overrule him
Yeah 15 years followed by a few years of tories and in total the country has got far worse and moved further to the right. Fan-bloody-tastic!

Plus if we're lucky we can join trump in some marvelous wars and balls up the economy.
11-17-2018 , 03:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chezlaw
I think it's missing the point which is that JC was the unelectable man becaue people simply wouldn't vote for left wing policies.

40% voted for Labour. Yes there are specific facts about the last ge (not all favourable) but it proves that the unelectable stuff is bollocks. Voters will vote for him.
Versus Corbyn, the Tories, despite running the worst campaign in history (with May deliberately and suicidally attacking their core pensioner vote), scored their highest vote share since Thatcher v Foot in 1983.
11-17-2018 , 03:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LostOstrich
no it isn't
11-17-2018 , 03:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 57 On Red

Again, the public are now majority Remain, by at least 54-46, in repeated polls over many months.
you do know what the remain-leave poll stats were just before the real referendum, right?

      
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