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Bayes' Theorem Suggests Obama Won The Election Bayes' Theorem Suggests Obama Won The Election

11-12-2012 , 10:11 PM
Nate Silver gave Obama a 90.9% chance of winning on election day, but he did not update this probability. However, the probability that Obama would win given that Obama was reported by all major new sources to have won many more electoral votes than Romney would be close to 100%. Therefore, I believe it is very likely that Obama did in fact win the election.
11-12-2012 , 10:12 PM
11-12-2012 , 10:30 PM
Voted 5 stars.
11-12-2012 , 10:38 PM
Still an outside chance for ROGUE ELECTORS to vote for RON PAUL.
11-13-2012 , 12:20 AM
Don't bring your demon math into this! They're still counting in Arizona! Checkmate, Obamatards.
11-13-2012 , 12:22 AM
Funny, but locked!