Quote:
Originally Posted by Trolly McTrollson
What makes you think Kim Jong-Un isn't a rational actor?
I have little understanding of psychology but he is just a bit idiosyncratic, would you not say? Seriously, do you not think he is a little more likely than say France to do something irrational?
I understand he thinks Iraq was "regime changed" by America because Saddam didn't actually have large scale WMD to threaten America. But he has all the deterrence to America in actuality that he needs by being able to flatten Seoul conventionally and inflicting a million casualties.
The only thing that will cause an American first strike is the existential threat to our survival posed by him. That logic alone and his choice to peruse ICBMs make me believe he is irrational. Theater capable nukes with the threat to Seoul can prevent any large scale assault of his homeland
America isn't risking the slaughter of millions of South Koreans unless we are threatened at home.