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America & North Korea America & North Korea

04-14-2017 , 06:35 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DudeImBetter
So what's the ideal (while still being reasonable) outcome w/ N. Korea, assuming the relevant status quo foreign policy through Obama is maintained?

Asked another way, what eventually would happen before North Korea could gain the ability to use ICBMs to deliver nuclear weapons to their desired targets?
In my opinion, the United States would never allow them to obtain ICBMs. They would bomb that facility.
04-14-2017 , 09:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by awval999
In my opinion, the United States would never allow them to obtain ICBMs. They would bomb that facility.
The U.S. wouldn't just bomb one facility. They'd need to unleash a full arsenal against the Jong-un regime and all military installations imo. I say this b/c I believe if the U.S. bombs one N. Korean facility then N. Korea will strike Seoul in an all out assult. I don't see a gray area or middle ground in this spot.

Off topic: if I'm an international student, au pair, etc. in Seoul, I'm already out of that city.
04-14-2017 , 09:49 AM
What is the policy, justification, etc, that says we are allowed to say who and who can not have nuclear weapons, especially when we have hundreds. This is one thing that's always irked me about US foreign policy.
04-14-2017 , 10:25 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JPantz
What is the policy, justification, etc, that says we are allowed to say who and who can not have nuclear weapons, especially when we have hundreds. This is one thing that's always irked me about US foreign policy.
There is fairly broad consensus across the international community, not just in the US, that nuclear proliferation is dangerous and should be prevented. I think the base rationale is that the more nuke there are and the more people that have control of nukes, the greater risk of their use/ a nuclear war. I'm not really that informed though, that's just what I've gleaned over the years.
04-14-2017 , 10:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Namath12
Just give Pyongyang the next four Olympics, they'll be bankrupt soon enough.
Lol nice. What a way to find humor in such a grave mess of a situation
04-14-2017 , 11:20 AM
The non-fun part: The next winter Olympics 2018 are in Pyoengchang, South Korea.
04-14-2017 , 11:29 AM
*nuclear winter Olympics
04-14-2017 , 12:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fatal Checkraise
The non-fun part: The next winter Olympics 2018 are in Pyoengchang, South Korea.
And some people thought Rio was dangerous.
04-14-2017 , 01:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fatal Checkraise
The non-fun part: The next winter Olympics 2018 are in Pyoengchang, South Korea.
Maybe this is actually 28D chess by Trump. He's just trying to ramp up tensions until the Olympics have to be moved, then the US can graciously offer to host on short notice.
04-14-2017 , 03:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Money2Burn
There is fairly broad consensus across the international community, not just in the US, that nuclear proliferation is dangerous and should be prevented. I think the base rationale is that the more nuke there are and the more people that have control of nukes, the greater risk of their use/ a nuclear war. I'm not really that informed though, that's just what I've gleaned over the years.
And the theory always was the US and Russia could essentially be trusted not to do stupid **** with them.

So much for that.

Sent from my XT1650 using Tapatalk
04-14-2017 , 03:25 PM
Kim Jong-un orders evacuation of Pyongyang
Quote:
The Pravda report said that in accordance with the order, 600,000 people should be urgently evacuated.
600,000 WTF?!
04-14-2017 , 03:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fuluck414
And the theory always was the US and Russia could essentially be trusted not to do stupid **** with them.

So much for that.

Sent from my XT1650 using Tapatalk
Regarding the current tension on the Korean peninsula, China is the country holding all the cards and the levers to diffuse the situation. Have you asked yourself why they haven't already?
04-14-2017 , 03:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Money2Burn
There is fairly broad consensus across the international community, not just in the US, that nuclear proliferation is dangerous and should be prevented. I think the base rationale is that the more nuke there are and the more people that have control of nukes, the greater risk of their use/ a nuclear war. I'm not really that informed though, that's just what I've gleaned over the years.
It's been awhile since I read about this topic so take this with a grain of salt. I think you're basically right, though.

So on a nukes per country level the case against proliferation is geared more towards USA/Russia who have enormous, unnecessary stockpiles which (esp with Russia) are not very secure. So a decrease in that stockpile should also decrease the frequency of warheads going missing and being used by terrorists or being sold to shady nation-states.

Now the argument of whether nations should have the right to develop their own nuclear weapons is uh ongoing. In theory if you have nukes then MAD would ensure the nation's survival. Nukes are also a way onto the international stage. Deterrence (and to a lesser extant saber-rattling) is used as currency to negotiate better deals for more resources which theoretically should also lead to better lives for the people. So why is the US and others acting like *******s and keeping nations like Iran from protecting themselves or getting a seat at the table?

The reason most talked about is the perils of proliferation. If Iran gets nukes then other countries in the region will feel threatened and get nukes etc. Which is obviously a pretty good reason. But I also suspect that if Iran was culturally the Canada of the middle east and wanted to develop nuclear weapons the international community would let it slide and deal with the consequences later. But that's just my opinion.

Basically it's an argument between sovereignty/state's rights and theoretical proliferation/international instability. And right now it's in the US's best interest to be on the 'no more nations get nukes' side.
04-14-2017 , 03:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ligastar
Off topic: if I'm an international student, au pair, etc. in Seoul, I'm already out of that city.
But if you're a Korean student from Busan you stay?
04-14-2017 , 03:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
But if you're a Korean student from Busan you stay?
Be tough to leave your family/established life in your homeland.
04-14-2017 , 04:43 PM
Sorry, I mean a Korean student in Seoul from Busan. Like, there are plenty of non-international people in Seoul who could presumably get out of the city too.
04-14-2017 , 05:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Our House
I'm beginning to think this was a bogus story (I mean "fake news"...sorry, Donald). Not seeing Pyongyang evacuation reports anywhere else.
04-14-2017 , 06:36 PM
To be fair, if Trump is able to legit handle this **** without much damage he is gonna look like a boss. Last 3 prez did nothing and then he handles it within 3 months?
04-14-2017 , 06:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Onlydo2days
To be fair, if Trump is able to legit handle this **** without much damage he is gonna look like a boss. Last 3 prez did nothing and then he handles it within 3 months?
I already regret asking, but what is "handling it" in your opinion?
04-14-2017 , 06:45 PM
Gets rid of Kim with minimal damage

Obviously it is a longshot (or is it? I feel like the info about what NK can do is all over the place) but I'm just saying.
04-14-2017 , 07:04 PM
Trump sending Pence to South Korea to fix everything. Probably safe to close this thread now.
04-14-2017 , 07:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zipppy
I already regret asking, but what is "handling it" in your opinion?
Get China to deal with NK.
04-14-2017 , 07:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Onlydo2days
To be fair, if Trump is able to legit handle this **** without much damage he is gonna look like a boss. Last 3 prez did nothing and then he handles it within 3 months?
He will still get attacked and criticized by the left. You can guarantee that.

Last edited by BroadwaySushy; 04-14-2017 at 07:36 PM.
04-14-2017 , 09:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JPantz
What is the policy, justification, etc, that says we are allowed to say who and who can not have nuclear weapons, especially when we have hundreds. This is one thing that's always irked me about US foreign policy.
We're stronger than them so we can do what we want. That's the justification.

      
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