Quote:
Originally Posted by SenorKeeed
Akin unperformed RMoney by 15 points, got 39% of the vote. Trump got 62% in Alabama. I agree, I think he loses if he fights it out.
Using Akin's performance as a guide, 39/54 * 62 implies 45% for Moore. And I think Moore's supporters could be more sticky compared to Akin's because:
(a) Lolabama
(b) Moore was already doing poorly, meaning there could be fewer people remaining who might switch sides
(c) There's no audio like with the "legitimate rape" comment, which was played a million times
I'm optimistic, too, and said as much earlier today. Conditions favor democrats right now in a way they didn't in 2012, so that has to be part of the calculus too. But I still think Moore is the favorite.
Last edited by JoltinJake; 11-10-2017 at 12:23 AM.