Could Alabama GOP Withdraw Roy Moore As [Their] Senate Candidate?
http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/201...hdraw_roy.html
Keep in mind that this is pure speculation, as there is quite a bit of uncertainty as to what is - and is not - "Alabama law" at the present time. This situation is unprecedented. Nobody knows where this train is headed - or where this could wind up. If the Alabama GOP were to withdraw Roy Moore's nomination and he "won" the election regardless, (only to have the Secretary of State promptly declare the election "null and void"), there would almost certainly be lawsuits. I could envision both Roy Moore (and Doug Jones!) filing lawsuits contesting the Secretary of State's decision. If that happens, we could have Alabama's version of "Bush versus Gore 2000" with our senator being picked by a court decision!
To avoid these [possible] complications, what I suspect is going to happen is: First, enormous pressure will be exerted on Moore to withdraw from the race. If Moore says "To hell with all of you - I'm staying in the race! Period!" the pressure will shift to Governor Kay Ivey. (I have my doubts that Roy Moore will stay in. He virtually admitted in the Shaun Hannity interview that more women are likely to come forward with more accusations, so this mess is only likely to get worse for Roy Moore - and the Alabama GOP.) Second, if Moore stays in, Governor Ivey will be under tremendous pressure from both within (and outside) Alabama to postpone the election and give the Republicans more time to ease Moore out.
Nationally, Republicans want Roy Moore out. They do not want to go into the 2018 mid-term elections having to answer questions concerning "their position" on Roy Moore - the "pedophile candidate" for Alabama senator - and they certainly don't want to see Roy Moore seated in the Senate. Kay Ivey, a Republican, is running for election to a full term as Governor of Alabama. Republicans like Mitch McConnell (and many others) will make it clear to Kay Ivey, privately not publicly, that if she doesn't do everything in her power to short circuit Roy Moore; she can look forward to lots of outside money flowing into the coffers of her strongest [Republican] opponent. Kay Ivey probably feels, right now, that she has the best shot at getting elected Governor, but she also knows that in politics there is no sure thing. Roy Moore is a headache she doesn't need.
So my "guess" is that Roy Moore is on his way out - he will not be our next Senator. However, before any of you declare me a genius and an astute observer of Alabama politics, keep in mind that my previous attempts at predicting political outcomes have not been that extraordinary ... As an unrepentant librul, my "hope" is that Doug Jones will be our next Senator. My "fear" is that Republicans (both inside and outside of Alabama) will figure out a way to make sure that doesn't happen. (I also think there's a good chance this imbroglio is going to wind up in court - regardless of what happens.)