The 2018 Senate midterm elections & predictions thread - Page 7 - Politics and Economics

If someone asked you whether you would vote to impeach Trump would your answer be that you are currently not a member of or candidate for the House of Representatives?

Every Dem candidate needs to stay away from answering the impeachment question. If they or the DNC campaign on impeachment, it will hurt their chances to win.

04-23-2018 , 08:22 AM

#152

simplicitus

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 10,840

https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/sta...984920064?s=19

04-23-2018 , 08:23 AM

#153

simplicitus

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 10,840

Just as an aside: be an independent thinker or tow the party line and cash 30k checks?

04-23-2018 , 09:12 AM

#154

Namath12

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 55,849

lol @ even crossing the street to hear Gutfield whine from behind a podium, never mind shelling out $30k to hire him to do so.

04-23-2018 , 03:31 PM

#155

+rep_lol

banned

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 14,900

Wtf is a gutfield

Also never thought the answer would be "bob corker" if somebody asked me which republican in congress i respect the most (full disclosure: i respect none of them)

04-24-2018 , 06:03 AM

#156

simplicitus

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 10,840

It's a special election day. The AZ seat is in a Trump +21 district with a +17 GOP/DEM registration advantage. Home to Joe Aripo and full of old white people.

Quote:

But Tuesday’s special election in Arizona’s 8th Congressional District — which Rep. Trent Franks vacated in December after reportedly offering one of his staffers $5 million to carry his child — is expected to have a very different outcome from last month’s Democratic upset in Pennsylvania’s 18th District.

I think a reasonable over/under is GOP +7%. Apparently, AZ does heavy mail and early voting, so may be a call at about 8pm PST. Apparently, 150k votes ahve been cast, with voters being 50% registered Republicans.

The Dem candidate is a photogenic Indian (Asian) ER doctor. The Republican is some standard-issue deplorable lady.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...cial-election/

Quote:

President Trump carried it 58 to 37 percent in 2016; Mitt Romney won it 62 to 37 percent in 2012. According to FiveThirtyEight’s preferred method for calculating a district’s default partisanship — we call it a district’s “partisan lean”1 — the 8th District is 25 percentage points more Republican-leaning than the nation as a whole.

ugh.

Last edited by simplicitus; 04-24-2018 at 06:12 AM.

04-24-2018 , 09:00 AM

#157

Namath12

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 55,849

Quote:

Originally Posted by +rep_lol

Wtf is a gutfield

Foxnews slappy who thinks he's funny in a Nick DiPaolo sort of way but is actually unfunny in a Rita Rudner sort of way

04-24-2018 , 09:08 AM

#158

Namath12

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 55,849

The Repub in AZ is gonna win today, and will transition from candidate to congressperson under investigation for campaign law violation. Nothing but swamp people on the GOP side of that district apparently.

04-24-2018 , 09:13 AM

#159

+rep_lol

banned

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 14,900

has anybody itt ever actually been to arizona? between driving through the corner of it on the way to/from vegas and spending a week in phoenix visiting a childhood friend who is now in prison for meth-related crimes, i'm pretty confident in stating it's one of the worst states in the entire union. just disgusting all around- heat, no grass, leathery dirtbag looking skin and ****ty tattoos on just about everybody you see, tons of motorcycle bros and fox racing bumper stickers, and of course joe arpaio.

decency was always drawing dead. **** arizona. i swear that heat warps peoples' brains.

04-24-2018 , 12:05 PM

#160

Namath12

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 55,849

Flagstaff is pretty cool

04-24-2018 , 12:07 PM

#161

Namath12

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 55,849

loooooooooooooool swamp

04-24-2018 , 12:15 PM

#162

Huehuecoyotl

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 29,257

Things are looking fine in the Republican primary against Tim Kaine

Quote:

We refer to last week’s debate in Lynchburg between the three candidates seeking the Republican nomination for the U.S. Senate and the right to run against Tim Kaine this fall.

The highlight — if you want to call it that — of that debate was Nick Freitas calling out Stewart for what were deemed “ethnic jokes” about Freitas’ surname. Specifically, one campaign worker for Stewart had posted on Facebook: “Freitas…… Sounds more like a [sic] item from Taco Bells dollar menu then a Senate candidate.” Another post by the same campaign worker, William Totten of Smyth County, also claims questions had been raised about whether Freitas is a legal citizen. (He is.)

“My daughter came over to me one day and asked, ‘Daddy, what is wrong with our last name?’” Freitas said, then challenged Stewart more directly: “I fought for my country. I am every bit as much a citizen as you are, Corey Stewart, and I don’t appreciate it when my kids have to ask me that question in this country.”

To which Stewart responded: “I pledged to run a vicious and ruthless race against Tim Kaine in November. You know why? Because he’s going to run one against us. And if all it takes is to make a little bit of fun of your name by some supporters out there of mine, if that’s all it takes to get under your skin, you’ve got some major problems if you were ever to get this nomination.”

Quote:

The third candidate in the debate, E.W. Jackson, hit the point exactly: ““Folks, if we’re already arguing about ethnicity — already — I’m glad I’m not involved in that. How in the world are we going to reach black and Hispanic voters who we’re going to need on Nov. 6 in order to win?” Jackson is African-American, so he has his own perspective on this, but what he said is exactly what white Republicans ought to be saying.

For some reason, Stewart and his followers don’t seem to grasp this. After a story about the exchange in the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Totten posted: “Just made the Richmond times over a butt hurt candidate who couldn’t handle a [sic] old redneck repeating/making a few jokes months ago about his last name . . . Nothing sadder then a Republican candidate who needs a safe space from bad words.”

http://www.roanoke.com/opinion/edito...1ada8e5b5.html

04-24-2018 , 07:20 PM

#163

AllTheCheese

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 11,898

Going full deplorable is a good strategy in VA. It worked really well for Ed Gillespie and Donald Trump who both won VA by -- oh wait, am I remembering this right?

04-24-2018 , 07:31 PM

#164

m_reed05

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 8,611

Are republican primaries everywhere insane? Here in rural Ohio they are. Mostly for small positions like State House but also governor. My mailbox, radio, and to a lesser extent TV is getting blanketed with candidates trying to out deplorable each other. I never remember these races getting much attention at all, but there must be some money being thrown at them now. Most of it is going through PACs. It may be early battles of Kasich/Trump wings of the party. Hopefully Rs bloody each other up enough that Ds can pick off a few, but Ohio really seems to be going the wrong way on that spectrum.

In true R swamp fashion, there are two main alliances in the state house in Ohio. One centered around a speaker who was just forced to resign because he's under investigation by the FBI. And one around a former speaker who was forced to resign years ago in scandal, but is now back in the house and trying to take the speakership back.

04-24-2018 , 08:15 PM

#165

master3004

Revisionist Historian

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 56,419

Quote:

Originally Posted by samsonh

Blackburn is going to lose in TN. Wealthy Republicans in her district do not even like her.

Latest poll has her down to Bredesen

This is going to be my champagne popper on election night. That woman needs to be as far away as possible from national politics.

The blue areas (and even some of the rural reds) really liked Bredesen as Governor, I can see a 3-4 point win for him.

04-24-2018 , 08:18 PM

#166

eyebooger

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 58,676

When do we get THE NEEDLE for Arizona 8?

04-24-2018 , 08:36 PM

#167

goofyballer

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 70,719

There is no NEEDLE tonight because it's mostly mail-in ballots or something

04-24-2018 , 08:38 PM

#168

JonnyA

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 2,664

Quote:

Originally Posted by eyebooger

When do we get THE NEEDLE for Arizona 8?

04-24-2018 , 08:45 PM

#169

dth123451

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 15,502

Ohio confirmed terrible. The GOP is constantly trying to out-deplorable itself. The Democrats are a bad combination of corrupt and inept. Somehow the Columbus economy is booming; the rest of the state continues to bleed population and any semblance of hope.