The 2018 Senate midterm elections & predictions thread - Page 4 - Politics and Economics

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The 2018 Senate midterm elections & predictions thread

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03-07-2018 , 01:00 AM

#76

wobbles

banned

Join Date: Jan 2018 Posts: 5

Laugh out loud at the people who think the Ted Cruz, Beto O'Rourke contest will be close.

Prediction: Ted Cruz will prevail by double digits.

03-07-2018 , 01:00 AM

#77

wobbles

banned

Join Date: Jan 2018 Posts: 5

Quote:

Originally Posted by ScreaminAsian

dem won bama

Not relevant.

03-07-2018 , 01:12 AM

#78

fuluck414

veteran

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 3,281

Quote:

Originally Posted by wobbles

Not relevant.

Scoreboard

03-07-2018 , 02:35 AM

#79

chuckleslovakian

LYNCH DURRON597

Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 35,894

Skeptical side of me still thinks Cruz wins...

But I would snap snap take Beto +10. That race is going to be HUGELY contested with a ton of money put into it.

03-07-2018 , 02:36 AM

#80

chuckleslovakian

LYNCH DURRON597

Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 35,894

I mean Hill-Trump in Texas was

52.2 Trump
43.2 Hill

03-07-2018 , 02:39 AM

#81

goofyballer

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 70,719

Quote:

Originally Posted by wobbles

Laugh out loud at the people who think the Ted Cruz, Beto O'Rourke contest will be close.

Prediction: Ted Cruz will prevail by double digits.

I'll take O'Rourke +10 for a wager (obv you have to escrow)

edit: fu chuckles stop killing my action

03-07-2018 , 03:04 AM

#82

StimAbuser

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 8,822

So how important is voter turn out for the primaries? Anyone got an opinion from the numbers today in Texas?

03-07-2018 , 04:06 AM

#83

cuserounder

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 8,217

So Ted Cruz released an ad with a jingle accusing Beto O'Rourke of changing his name (Roberto) to fit in. Never mind that Beto has a picture of himself as a toddler in a Beto sweatshirt...

Ted Cruz's real name is Rafael Edward Cruz.

03-07-2018 , 04:11 AM

#84

goofball

Beat Nate Silver

Join Date: Oct 2003 Posts: 20,424

Imagine being Ted Cruz's mother

03-07-2018 , 04:27 AM

#85

chuckleslovakian

LYNCH DURRON597

Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 35,894

Quote:

Originally Posted by goofball

Imagine being Ted Cruz's mother

I can't imagine having JFK's killer as my spouse and the Zodiac killer as my son

03-07-2018 , 06:04 PM

#86

stringbettor

grinder

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 425

Quote:

Originally Posted by StimAbuser

So how important is voter turn out for the primaries? Anyone got an opinion from the numbers today in Texas?

Cruz odds on PI jumped from 70% to almost 80% since the numbers came out. No impact on the Senate control market.

03-07-2018 , 08:52 PM

#87

Huehuecoyotl

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 29,257

Quote:

Originally Posted by StimAbuser

So how important is voter turn out for the primaries? Anyone got an opinion from the numbers today in Texas?

Cruz will probably get reelected. There are just too many Republicans even with increased Democrat turnout. Cruz got more votes than all the Democrats combined. Most likely is Texas will pick up a few more Democrat state reps, in places that previously weren't competitive

03-07-2018 , 09:08 PM

#88

StimAbuser

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 8,822

What about nationally? Are the big increase in democratic turn out a good sign? About as expected? Lower than expected? Anything positive to take away?

03-07-2018 , 09:14 PM

#89

ScreaminAsian

For President

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 33,333

Quote:

Originally Posted by wobbles

Laugh out loud at any TV talking head who thinks the Democrats have a shot in the dark at retiring Republican Senator Thad Cochran of Mississippi Senate seat.

Prediction: Republican by double digits.

bold af. gl bro

03-09-2018 , 10:51 AM

#90

stringbettor

grinder

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 425

Why was wobbles banned? Previously banned poster?

03-09-2018 , 11:43 AM

#91

MrWookie

Don't Call Me Meredith

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 94,159

Quote:

Originally Posted by stringbettor

Why was wobbles banned? Previously banned poster?

He's woot, the op, who had been exiled.

03-15-2018 , 01:57 AM

#92

microbet

Solar Powered

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 56,471

03-23-2018 , 10:27 AM

#93

stringbettor

grinder

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 425

I thought Manchin was done this cycle but now it looks like the most likely Republican candidate served time in prison for killing a bunch of coal miners? Lol.

03-23-2018 , 10:32 AM

#94

Huehuecoyotl

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 29,257

That's not a big disqualifier unfortunately

03-23-2018 , 11:04 AM

#95

Namath12

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 55,849

Rather see this guy win than any other

03-23-2018 , 11:26 AM

#96

samsonh

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 3,535

Blackburn is going to lose in TN. Wealthy Republicans in her district do not even like her.

Latest poll has her down to Bredesen

03-23-2018 , 11:30 AM

#97

simplicitus

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 10,840

Blackburn would be scrumptious.

03-23-2018 , 11:30 AM

#98

eyebooger

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 58,681

Quote:

Originally Posted by Namath12

Rather see this guy win than any other

Can't really agree here. I'd take any close senate seat over that. Difficult to overstate how vital it is to get the majority power away from Mitch McConnell.

03-24-2018 , 05:30 PM

#99

Dominic

Tripod

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 74,258

Sources: US Rep. Costello to drop out of PA-6 race before May primary

Some had speculated that Costello would drop out after the U.S. Supreme Court declined to hear the GOP challenge to the state’s new congressional districts. Many observers say the new Sixth District, in the highly competitive Philadelphia suburbs, is even more favorable for Democratic candidates – last month, Costello called for the impeachment of the state Supreme Court Justices involved in that decision. A bruising Republican loss in this month’s PA-18 special election also sent shockwaves across the national GOP landscape and is generally seen as an ill omen for upcoming midterms across the country.