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Old 06-05-2018, 09:49 AM   #51
Namath12
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

Newsome wants to be President I suspect. Guy has a few skeletons, fewer than Trump obviously but it remains to be seen if he's held to a different standard than Trump.
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Old 06-05-2018, 11:14 AM   #52
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

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Originally Posted by Namath12 View Post
Newsome wants to be President I suspect. Guy has a few skeletons, fewer than Trump obviously but it remains to be seen if he's held to a different standard than Trump.
lolwut

of course he would be.
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Old 06-05-2018, 11:36 AM   #53
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

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lolwut

of course he would be.
I was talking about with primary voters. Of course he'd be vilified by the derposphere no matter what.
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Old 06-05-2018, 02:34 PM   #54
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

Good article about Kevin de Leon's challenge to Dianne Feinstein ahead of today's primary

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De León grew up in a downscale Latino neighborhood in San Diego called Logan Heights, sharing a one-room apartment with a single mother who cleaned other people’s houses for a living. He worked in immigrant and labor organizing before entering political office. “Whether you’re white, Latino, African-American, Asian-American, [or] racially mixed, poverty is poverty,” he told me. “Everyone wants an opportunity for their kids to succeed.”

De León decided to run, he said, when he saw Feinstein appear before the Commonwealth Club of San Francisco last August and appeal for patience with Donald Trump. “The question is whether he can learn and change,” she said. “If so, I believe he can be a good president.”

To de León, that represented Feinstein’s position of privilege and an ignorance of the threat of Trump, particularly to immigrant families.
You wouldn’t expect Feinstein, as de León did at a press conference in San Jose last Friday, to describe the separation of immigrant families at the border as abduction and kidnapping. “It demonstrated to me the huge disconnect between her world and the world that she travels in and the world of hard-working families that have suffered and will continue to suffer greatly under this president,” de León said.
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Running statewide in California is equivalent in population to running for president of Canada, with a much thinner political culture and media covering it. People are either deep in their own socio-economic struggles, or in the rarefied air of high-dollar fundraisers and national politics. Even de León, with a high-profile position like state Senate leader, isn’t well-known across the state.
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Old 06-05-2018, 03:06 PM   #55
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

president of Canada?
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Old 06-05-2018, 03:13 PM   #56
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

I suspect they had to invent one since you don't directly vote for PM?
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Old 06-05-2018, 04:09 PM   #57
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/...95933540044800
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Old 06-05-2018, 05:21 PM   #58
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

So we getting hyped for todays primaries? Just finished voting. De Leon, Chaing, 8th District Marge Doyle who will be running against incumbent republican Paul Cook who crushed her last time. Interested to see how they both finish.
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Old 06-05-2018, 05:35 PM   #59
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

Dunno if there's any other big races on local ballots (CA state ballot measures are pretty boring) but a few interesting things are happening in SF:

- the mayoral election, obviously - the 3 candidates most likely to win are a Korean-American woman, a gay man, and a black woman (news coverage will tell you that there's a fourth prominent candidate, but I refuse to believe the person who tweeted this can win here) - all of them would represent firsts among SF mayors*, yet it's been a very issue-focused campaign, Jane Kim prob the most progressive and London Breed prob the most technocratic. Also of note is the use of ranked choice voting in this election, go SF!
- prop E: banning sale of flavored tobacco in the city, tobacco industry spending a ton of $$ against this, tons of billboards and radio ads and phone calls/text messages about it
- prop F: to provide lawyers for evicted tenants, a pet project of DSA types around here
- prop H: sneaky attempt by SF police officers to give themselves more latitude to use tasers against people

Last edited by goofyballer; 06-05-2018 at 05:47 PM. Reason: *realized this needs a disclaimer - Breed was briefly acting mayor after Ed Lee's death
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Old 06-05-2018, 05:49 PM   #60
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

Over/Under on democratic congressional lock outs in CA?

0.5?
1.5?

Only 2nd place market I see on predictit is 48th, giving slight edge to Rouda the Democrat.

the other interesting CA markets:

GOP locked out of Governor: yes 15/no 85
GOP locked out of Senator: yes 85/no 15
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Old 06-05-2018, 10:23 PM   #61
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

I want to know how someone named "Fagg" is leading in the Montana Republican Senate primary. PROBABLY A BUNCHA SNOWFLAKE LIBS VOTING IN THE REPUBLICAN PRIMARY.
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Old 06-05-2018, 10:29 PM   #62
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

Mail in/early voter only exit polling, 11K sample (skews more conservative than total electorate):

http://capitolweekly.net/exit-polls/

NEWSOM 35
COX 22
ALLEN 12
VILLARAIGOSA 9
CHIANG 8


FEINSTEIN 41
DE LEON 10
BRADLEY 6
CRUZ 4
TAYLOR 3
everyone else 2 or below lol gop
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Old 06-05-2018, 10:33 PM   #63
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

JFC Feinstein. Seriously? She is garbage.
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Old 06-05-2018, 10:33 PM   #64
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

Antonio not being in second place already has me questioning your advice, Cali bros.
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Old 06-05-2018, 10:52 PM   #65
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

apparently, 118k voters names were missing from ballot rolls in LA County. rut roh.

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Old 06-05-2018, 11:14 PM   #66
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

Orange County on the ball with it's early voting #s

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Old 06-05-2018, 11:17 PM   #67
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

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Originally Posted by MrWookie View Post
Antonio not being in second place already has me questioning your advice, Cali bros.
Why?
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Old 06-05-2018, 11:26 PM   #68
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

And a potential disaster looming in CA-10:

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Old 06-05-2018, 11:38 PM   #69
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

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Antonio not being in second place already has me questioning your advice, Cali bros.
He's not even close.
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Old 06-05-2018, 11:46 PM   #70
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

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He's not even close.
LA County won't come in until 3 or 4 am probably. but these numbers don't look good enough.
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Old 06-05-2018, 11:55 PM   #71
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

So the districts to be sweating is CA-39 and CA-48 right?
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Old 06-05-2018, 11:55 PM   #72
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

Top two GOP governor candidates have 42% at the moment, seems like results so far are pretty R-skewed.

SF not reporting anything yet, need mayor results plz
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Old 06-05-2018, 11:55 PM   #73
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

Not liking any of these numbers so far.
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Old 06-05-2018, 11:57 PM   #74
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Old 06-05-2018, 11:58 PM   #75
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Re: 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

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I STILL WANT A NEEDLE
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