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2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums! 2018 Primaries - Get Ridda Da Bums!

08-14-2018 , 10:20 PM
Is she a viable presidential candidate?
08-14-2018 , 10:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Louis Cyphre
Is she a viable presidential candidate?

Maybe. She's the epitome of the "oh goosh jeeez you betcha" Minnesota stereotypes, but she gets **** done. My gut tells me she's built for Minnesota politics (we don't like people who rock the boat, but we'll tolerate a loud mouth if they are a populist) but there's a reason everyone loves her.

I think people would find the Fargo cliches endearing, but if she went up another Republican candidate running the populist grift like Trump did I think they would drown her out.

Last edited by aarono2690; 08-14-2018 at 10:29 PM.
08-14-2018 , 10:26 PM
1st Muslim women in Congress? That is the winner in the 5th district in MN which a Republican has zero chance at winning
08-14-2018 , 10:38 PM
Watch MN-8th.

This district has trended to the Republicans in recent elections. It used to be represented by Jim Oberstar who was a conservative Democrat. He stood with Dems on labor/social safety net issues, but was adamantly pro-life. He was eventually wiped out by Chip Cravaak in one of the recent Republican wave elections and died shortly after. Chip Cravaak served one term and was beat by Rick Nolan who is now running for Lt. Gov with Lori Swanson.

I'd say this district is like West Virginia. They LOVE most everything the Democrats offer, but will throw the baby out with the bath water over issues like abortion or whatever bull**** Republicans offer up. The BIGGEST issue in this district is mining/environment. It's a huge area for copper/iron ore mining and shipping via the Great Lakes, but it also contains the Boundary Waters Canoe Area which is an environmentalists wet dream. I believe the issue is there have been environmental issues in the past with mining companies who screwed up royally and went belly-up leaving Minnesota to cover the clean up. A lot of the mining operations are inching closer to the Boundary Waters and critical watersheds to there is fear that copper-nickle mining will pollute these pristine waters.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bounda...rea_Wilderness

If the Democratic nominee is strongly behind mining I can see them pulling off the win in this Republican-trending district. Otherwise Duluth's environmentalists/other dyed in the wool union Democrats CANNOT carry it for much longer. Republicans are starting to gain the reputation in this area as "jobs party". Republicans are seen as the party who will allow mining and to the union folks who constantly endure the business cycles of the mining industry it's highly appealing. This is in addition to the expanding boundaries of the district which constantly absorb more of the Twin Cities exurbs which are heavily Republican.

Last edited by aarono2690; 08-14-2018 at 10:45 PM.
08-14-2018 , 10:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CheckRaise
1st Muslim women in Congress? That is the winner in the 5th district in MN which a Republican has zero chance at winning
Rasheeda Talib (sp?) won in John Conyers district in Michigan last week. So they will be tied for first, with maybe more to come idk.

Both are progressive Justice Democrats btw.
08-14-2018 , 11:52 PM
Walz won.

Joe R. won in MN 8th.

Both I think have VERY good shots at winning their races. Another beautiful thing is that Tim Pawlenty lost his primary bid to Jeff Johnson.
08-15-2018 , 12:03 AM
Tim Pawlenty is still a thing?
08-15-2018 , 12:35 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by eyebooger
Tim Pawlenty is still a thing?
Not after tonight.
08-15-2018 , 03:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aarono2690
Klobochar is pretty much political gold in Minnesota. Everyone loves her, even Republicans. Look at past races and find the map that shows which counties she won - she crushes.

Here's a fun one:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United...innesota,_2012
Way back when Al Franken just barely beat Norm Coleman to be elected Senator, there was a recount that lasted a long, long time. For several months Amy Klobuchar was our only Senator. During that time one of the local radio DJs suggested that since Klobuchar was twice as smart as both of them put together, she should just be given two votes and be done with it. Seemed like a good idea to me.

Quote:
Originally Posted by CheckRaise
1st Muslim women in Congress? That is the winner in the 5th district in MN which a Republican has zero chance at winning
Ilhan Omar:

I didn’t vote for her in the primary, but I definitely will in November. Just by being who she is, she sends a nice message to Trump.

[X] Female
[X] Muslim
[X] Immigrant
[X] Brown skin
[X] Democrat
08-15-2018 , 03:28 PM
Bernie won the Dem primary then decided (again) to become an independent
08-15-2018 , 04:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by simplicitus
url]https://twitter.com/politico/status/1029550910450683904[/url]

Forgot that Iron Stash will no longer be facing Paul Ryan.
Yeah, this is bad.

Spoiler:
For Iron Stache...
08-15-2018 , 09:58 PM
Kris Kobach wins republican nominee for gov in Kansas.

In other words Kris Kobach is gonna be governor of Kansas.

Hopefully none of you live there.
08-16-2018 , 12:52 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wheatrich
Kris Kobach wins republican nominee for gov in Kansas.

In other words Kris Kobach is gonna be governor of Kansas.

Hopefully none of you live there.
Any chance of him losing or are Kansans really this level of mouth breather?
08-16-2018 , 01:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aarono2690
Any chance of him losing or are Kansans really this level of mouth breather?
i think they are that level of mouth breather, but he is disliked enough to give dems the best shot in a LONG time to maybe eek it out.

while him being the governor is worse for humanity, him being the candidate is better for the dems.
08-16-2018 , 03:56 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Slighted
i think they are that level of mouth breather, but he is disliked enough to give dems the best shot in a LONG time to maybe eek it out.

while him being the governor is worse for humanity, him being the candidate is better for the dems.
It hasn't even been that long since Kansas had back to back Dem governors, although one was taking over from Lt Gov to Governor when Kathleen Sebelius was appointed director o HHS. But she won twice, including by a wide margin for re-election.

2014
Brownback (R) 49.8%
Davis (D) 46.1%

2010
Brownback (R) 63.3%
Holland (D) 32.2%

2006
Sebelius (D) 57.9%
Barnett (R) 40.4%

2002
Sebelius (D) 52.9%
Shallenburger (R) 45.1%

I don't know what conclusions to draw there, but my guess is that if the Dems focus their campaigns on Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, healthcare reform, etc, they should have a shot. If the race becomes about Trump, race issues, immigration, etc, Kobach probably wins. Kobach is obviously going to try to make it about immigration/race, so the Democratic nominee needs to pivot aggressively.
08-16-2018 , 02:32 PM
My mom and stepdad live on the KS side and are 100% typical suburban KC.

Kobach vs. random Democrat is going to be a real Sophie's Choice for them. On the one hand you have a Trump (who they hate)-aligned scumbag. But on the other hand Democrats like to gleefully torture 3rd trimester babies, before chopping them into pieces.

So yeah, tough call.
08-28-2018 , 07:39 PM
Ron Desantis (Trumpstain who reads Trump fanfic to his kids at bedtime) is absolutely wafflecrushing the stablishment guy Adam Putnam so far. Panhandle precincts aren't closed yet but there are way more rednecks there so this looks like a beatdown.

Andrew Gillum is running a surprising second on the Dem side, I wouldn't mind seeing him take it but I think Graham pulls it out. lol Levine and especially Greene the Mar A Lago member
08-28-2018 , 08:07 PM
Ron Deeznuts?
08-28-2018 , 08:12 PM
Gillum only 12k down now with 71% in, wow
08-28-2018 , 08:13 PM
GOP nom called for De****less
08-28-2018 , 08:16 PM
Probably the only night I'll be happy for the existence of sheriff joe if he siphons enough votes off kelly ward to sink her
08-28-2018 , 08:17 PM
Looking at all time record turnout in a FL primary for both parties
08-28-2018 , 08:17 PM
I thought McSally, as the most moderate, is the most unfavorable matchup for Sinema in the general?
08-28-2018 , 08:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
I thought McSally, as the most moderate, is the most unfavorable matchup for Sinema in the general?
Yeah, Arpaio would be best for Dems. Yes, everyone said that about Trump, but it's not the same for a number of reasons.

Ward would be second best. McSally is the worst in terms of our prospects.
08-28-2018 , 08:36 PM
Hey Namath, your man Gillum looking pretty good.

      
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