2018 Midterms Gameday Thread UPDATE 15 Mississippi still WOAT - Page 7 - Politics and Economics

Happy election day - here's a super handy cheat sheet that captures all the different key votes across the country and will be updated as the night wears on. http://whatsontheballot.com/

11-06-2018 , 04:19 PM

#152

BOIDS

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Quote:

Originally Posted by econophile

saw this on my FB feed: Let Christians Vote as Though They Were Not Voting

not sure what it means

ive crunched the numbers, turns out that it means a lot of america is ****ing dumb as a box of rocks

11-06-2018 , 04:20 PM

#153

LKJ

Smugly Contemptuous

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 95,986

Porter County has a population over 160,000 and is the 9th-biggest county out of 92 in the state. So not massive, but could still be very consequential in a close race. Glad to see they're taking measures to get voters in. Anyway, they'll still be voting on Indiana Senate until 9:30.

11-06-2018 , 04:21 PM

#154

stuff they say

enthusiast

Join Date: Jun 2018 Posts: 93

KOGO 600AM Election Day Traffic Update: There is large America Flag attached to a metal pole blocking the center lane of the north 163. Hopefully this does not slow down any Scott Peters or Susan Davis voters!

11-06-2018 , 04:21 PM

#155

fxwacgesvrhdtf

Guest

Posts: n/a

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hamish McBagpipe

Despite this, I'll stick to my one rock-solid lock of the century prediction carefully formulated after more than 20 years of watching elections in several different countries and listening to the same pre-election bull**** time after time. ....

Young people ain't gonna do sheeeeeeeeeeiiiiiit.

Never have, never will.

Haven't made an impact on any election that I've paid attention to that wasn't overwhelmed by another voter bloc. At least the hype of Al Capone's vault was just once, ffs, this is every single time. "The youth vote is gonna be the difference THIS time, we're mad as hell!" Sure thing, junior, how come it never happens?

I hope for the sake of America that I'm wrong this time.

If it's an as forecast slim Dem win then we can look at the numbers down the road. It would have to be a fairly massive win to see the fabled youth turnout being something historical.

These numbers are meaningless unless we also know how many of those states changed their early voting laws since 2014. IIRC there has been a huge expansion of early voting laws nationally in the past decade.

11-06-2018 , 04:25 PM

#156

Nonfiction

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getting a lil nervous

11-06-2018 , 04:26 PM

#157

goofyballer

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As always, LOL Michael Tracey

11-06-2018 , 04:27 PM

#158

suzzer99

Save the Cheerleader, Save the World

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 99,984

Quote:

Originally Posted by BOIDS

here for nyt needle

11-06-2018 , 04:34 PM

#159

LKJ

Smugly Contemptuous

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 95,986

Quote:

Originally Posted by UsedToBeGood

It's been awhile since I've heard any of it, but Bush's rhetoric for 2000 would be absolutely shocking in today's Republican world in terms of how tame it is. Pretty sure there was some strong non-interventionist type language or approach. 9/11 changed everything.

11-06-2018 , 04:34 PM

#160

well named

poorly undertitled

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 78,077

Turnout at the NM precinct I'm monitoring on Pace to be ~50% higher than 2016. Small rural district, heavily Hispanic. A noticeable number of young women voting. Not sure if that will hold, but it's been steady. Pretty cool experience so far.

I had to train the poll workers to give provisional ballots to people in the wrong place but they're on it now.

11-06-2018 , 04:34 PM

#161

wheatrich

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Remember we elected the guy who had to make sure his wife was gonna vote for him president.

11-06-2018 , 04:35 PM

#162

simplicitus

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Hamish McBagpipe

Yup. The young won't help much, but the women will.

11-06-2018 , 04:36 PM

#163

JonnyA

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 2,664

Quote:

Originally Posted by jman220

The site has total early voting so you can compare young voters to total:

MI 120% △ - 29% total increase
FL 148% △ - 62%
MT 151% △ - 65%
OH 160% △ - 51%
WV 203% △ - 76%
AZ 215% △ - 40%
MN 313% △ - 168%
GA 361% △ - 122%
IN 382% △ - 186%
PA 396% △ - 120%
NV 410% △ - 120%
TX 465% △ - 150%
NJ 502% △ - 179%
TN 663% △ - 282%
WI 808% △ - 289%
ND 2496% △ - 26% (this one seems odd as in 2014 they have 22% of the early vote as not allocated to any age - compared to only 4% in 2018 vote - but likely a decent portion of those were 18-29)

One other note I saw looking at these, but pretty uniformly the biggest % increase was 18-29, next biggest 30-39, and then smallest 65+.

Don't know if this really means anything, but looks like it could be a positive sign.

11-06-2018 , 04:36 PM

#164

dth123451

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Pretty damn nervous. On the plus side, Gallup poll out today was D+11 generic ballot.

11-06-2018 , 04:38 PM

#165

alazo1985

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 333

Quote:

Originally Posted by Victor

the tweet is rediculous. young first time voters are not entirely braindead. it doesnt take 30 minutes to read the damn ballot. theres nothing confusing about it.

Sc law gives you only 3 minutes and I’m pretty sure tons of other states can as well

11-06-2018 , 04:41 PM

#166

goofyballer

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That's wild. It took me 5-10 minutes to fill out my CA ballot and I came prepared with a cheat sheet of everything I planned to vote for.

11-06-2018 , 04:42 PM

#167

simplicitus

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https://twitter.com/CharlizeAfrica/s...58542708936704

11-06-2018 , 04:42 PM

#168

JordanIB

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Quote:

Originally Posted by JonnyA

The site has total early voting so you can compare young voters to total:

MI 120% △ - 29% total increase
FL 148% △ - 62%
MT 151% △ - 65%
OH 160% △ - 51%
WV 203% △ - 76%
AZ 215% △ - 40%
MN 313% △ - 168%
GA 361% △ - 122%
IN 382% △ - 186%
PA 396% △ - 120%
NV 410% △ - 120%
TX 465% △ - 150%
NJ 502% △ - 179%
TN 663% △ - 282%
WI 808% △ - 289%
ND 2496% △ - 26% (this one seems odd as in 2014 they have 22% of the early vote as not allocated to any age - compared to only 4% in 2018 vote - but likely a decent portion of those were 18-29)

One other note I saw looking at these, but pretty uniformly the biggest % increase was 18-29, next biggest 30-39, and then smallest 65+.

Don't know if this really means anything, but looks like it could be a positive sign.

This was discussed in another thread. The %'s are nice to look at but don't tell a story. The 18-29 base from 2014 is tiny, so of course gains will be significant. Meanwhile, the 65+ base from 2014 is much larger, and a smaller % increase could absolutely mean more absolute votes this time around.

11-06-2018 , 04:43 PM

#169

Matty Lice

veteran

Join Date: Aug 2017 Posts: 3,438

Quote:

Originally Posted by wheatrich

Remember we elected the guy who had to make sure his wife was gonna vote for him president.

I always thought of that picture meaning Trump didn't know how to vote and was looking over to see how to do it. You know a numbnut like him isn't sure if he should color in the oval or just put an X through the one he wants.

11-06-2018 , 04:47 PM

#170

fxwacgesvrhdtf

Guest

Posts: n/a

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonnyA

Agreed that with the second set of numbers this looks more real, except for ND which has to be off.

11-06-2018 , 04:50 PM

#171

alazo1985

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 333

Quote:

Originally Posted by goofyballer

That's wild. It took me 5-10 minutes to fill out my CA ballot and I came prepared with a cheat sheet of everything I planned to vote for.

It’s stressful. 17 selections on an ill-calibrated touchscreen in 3 minutes and several write-ins. Didn’t have time to stop and think at all.

11-06-2018 , 04:51 PM

#172

+rep_lol

banned

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 14,900

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dominic

On the few judges races in Nevada I didn't know, I just voted for the woman, if there was one. Not the smartest plan, I'm sure...

lol texas is such a joke that every single judge race was partisan R v D (v L) with one exception being R v L with no D where i ticked the box for the L candidate out of spite

11-06-2018 , 04:51 PM

#173

13ball

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Quote:

Originally Posted by jman220

I don't think anything changed in Tennessee.

11-06-2018 , 04:53 PM

#174

markksman

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Quote:

Originally Posted by jman220

I think early voting in Texas has been around for a while now. Not sure it has changed much here. Not sure but I think some rules are county based.

I know when I lived in Tarrant county early voting was county wide but I live in a different county now and just went to polling place, didn’t know if they had county wide early voting or not, I would guess the answer is yes, but laughing at anything being taken for granted anywhere let alone Texas.