Hi!

NOT BEING CIVIL

In and out in 10 minutes as usual. I skipped all the judges. Micro I voted for the reclaim water thing.

Sounds like the only race that matters will be GA. If they're really rigging this blatantly, the future of the country depends on whether or not we let them get away with it. And we probably will.

Comey's attempt to stay relevant are LOL. He def needs to **** off.

I wrote myself in for Solicitor General and something like Soil and Conservation Secretary. I know for sure I would conserve soil really well. I had to look up what a Solicitor General does.

Well it's hard to disprove that Hillary didn't have a 71.4% chance of winning. It's a one time event that can never be re-run. He didn't say "HILLARY WILL WIN" he said "she has a 28.6% chance of losing" and 1 out of 4 times she will lose in that scenario, which is what happened.

Graph showing it was a few days before instead of literally the day before isn't exactly pwning a lib here.

Drove by 5-6 signs for republican state senator, 4 Abrams, 1 Kemp, 1 or 2 for another more local democrat. No wait in line. Seemed like mostly younger people voting at the same time as me. One of the poll workers said before work and during lunch break times were busier. My computer seemed to work well enough. Helps to be in a polling location where the average home is worth over $600k

People were roasting Nate Silver for being that down on Hilary's chances, people thought he was trying to make it look closer. Anything involving numbers and you realize that most Americans have no idea how probabilities work.

Hence why so many of us numbnuts on this forum have at one time or another made a living from poker.

It was John "Lower Taxes" Leow. How could that not be a meathead and/or deplorable?

I used votersedge.org. It had a handy comparison page for the candidates. There, I first looked at the organizations that endorsed them, which made it pretty easy.

Ended up having to do some cyberstalking for Cho vs Hancock(?)--asian dude vs black woman--because both seemed to be endorsed by pretty liberal organizations--though he had a lot more endorsement--but she ended up getting my vote because defender > prosecutor and woman > man.

For the props I generally voted to spend money. The rent is too damn high. F* the dialysis price-gougers. EMTs have lots of downtime so they can eat their burger on the way to the call.

The ongoing graph indicates that it was more of a slow trend showing an increasing likelihood of Trump winning (getting up over 30% just prior to November before lurching back under it in the last couple of days) rather than this odd story you told of Nate Silver just waking up one day and putting his thumb on the scale.

During the last few weeks before that election, Access Hollywood wore off, Comey happened, and somebody finally got Trump to shut up for a prolonged period of days, which I was under the impression caused polls to tighten from where they were.

Admittedly I'm not inclined to conduct a research project into all of the late state polling, etc., but I do take Silver at his word that his model spits out what it spits out and that he's not just arbitrarily shifting numbers to project sudden gut feelings or whatever it is you think happened here.

Obviously probabilities by their very nature don't outright promise results of any individual one-time outcome. That doesn't mean that people should stop building predictive models.

In for a hopeful blue wave.

****ing Kemp.

Went over lunch. No line. No stickers

Moved to Texas in 2016 and did not vote then. Neither did the wife, and she voted this AM before work. Also convinced her dad, who’s voted R forever, to at least mark Beto- although he loves Greg Abbot for some reason. Her mom refuses to vote for anything.

Still think Beto is gonna get crushed, but at least I won’t feel as guilty this time.

NO STICKERS!????@?!!ONE!!eleven!!?

WTF

lol, check out 1:03 here:

Wondering which party bad weather and turnout favours? Probably the GOP or will it just make the suburban racist whites not show up and favour the Dems?

It's just a residual artifact from previous times. I remember when taking a photo in a casino would get you kicked out - and you might go out the door without your camera. Things change.

MM MD

In, in, in. Let's gooooo

Lol, that guys is probably a deplorable. The deplorables had McConnell more than the dems do.

Maybe a curve representing wisdom * life expectancy, otherwise, we end up with Kanye/Ariana Grande running the country. Also, multipliers for male (0.5), white (0.6), female (2.0), and black (1.4).

I voted in MA this morning, for Dems at the top, and Greens for Secretary of State and Treasurer. Very anti-climactic end to two years of engagement and activism.