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2018 Midterms Gameday Thread UPDATE 15 Mississippi still WOAT 2018 Midterms Gameday Thread UPDATE 15 Mississippi still WOAT

11-11-2018 , 10:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
The only not-insane candidate was Jeb!, but there's the small problem of his brother being a murderous war criminal. But you know, devil you know, I guess? He'd probably be my choice for President of the GOP primary contenders.
JFC, in 2018 a Jeb! presidency sounds almost as good as a Bartlett presidency.
11-11-2018 , 10:25 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zikzak
Fox reporting Rohrabacher won't concede.
Doug Jones didn’t concede either. IT doesn’t matter, Ronda will be the next congressman from California.
11-11-2018 , 10:29 AM
black is capitalized because..?
11-11-2018 , 10:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Grue
black is capitalized because..?
This is always a tell.
11-11-2018 , 11:43 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dlk9s
If there was 2+2 election, this would be a candidate for worst post in this thread, and that's saying something.
Ok, smart guy. Please help me post better and tell me what is so bad about it.
11-11-2018 , 11:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Grue
black is capitalized because..?
https://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/19/o...capital-b.html
11-11-2018 , 12:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
The only not-insane candidate was Jeb!, but there's the small problem of his brother being a murderous war criminal. But you know, devil you know, I guess? He'd probably be my choice for President of the GOP primary contenders.
Yeah, Jeb would have been the best option. I think Mitt > Jeb. I know Mitt didn't run, but I used to wonder if Mitt would have beaten Trump. He'd have had the full backing of the establishment and I think he's a lot better in front of the camera.

In retrospect, I think Trump was basically unstoppable. And in 2020 no one is going to primary him. But a third party run by a non-insane (or even less insane) high profile Republican (McMullin isn't going to cut it), would be enough to sink him.
11-11-2018 , 12:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by corvette24
Nelson now withing 12,000 votes of Rick Scott
FL ACLU guy said it's normal they may have not received my ballot yet if I mailed it postmarked Oct 28th but he'll follow up for me. So that's good I guess

Get there one time Nelson (and Gillum, but Nelson obv far more likely)

11,999 to go. Hopefully there are a ton of people in my situation, expats are overwhelmingly likely to be Ds as opposed to military where not so much

I'm hoping those sealed provisional ballot boxes from D counties contain a ton of Nelson votes, it seems like there's a high chance Nelson received the most votes, it's just a matter of whether Rick Scott can get away with not counting them this time
11-11-2018 , 12:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
The only not-insane candidate was Jeb!, but there's the small problem of his brother being a murderous war criminal. But you know, devil you know, I guess? He'd probably be my choice for President of the GOP primary contenders.
Eh, Pataki better than Jeb! tbh, or are we only considering candidates that made it to the prime time debate?
11-11-2018 , 01:03 PM
AZ UPDATE

Sinema lead widens to 29,832
Republican SOS candidate lead narrows to 2008 votes.
11-11-2018 , 01:13 PM
In another spot of good news, if Tuesday's House popular vote was instead a presidential popular vote, the below map would be the result:



Edit: This is based on 538 which also adjusted the unopposed house seats accordingly. 538 had Maine split, with 1 EV going to the repub, but that's because they didn't account for the ranked choice voting (which will be in effect for the 2020 presidential).
11-11-2018 , 01:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE
FL ACLU guy said it's normal they may have not received my ballot yet if I mailed it postmarked Oct 28th but he'll follow up for me. So that's good I guess

Get there one time Nelson (and Gillum, but Nelson obv far more likely)

11,999 to go. Hopefully there are a ton of people in my situation, expats are overwhelmingly likely to be Ds as opposed to military where not so much

I'm hoping those sealed provisional ballot boxes from D counties contain a ton of Nelson votes, it seems like there's a high chance Nelson received the most votes, it's just a matter of whether Rick Scott can get away with not counting them this time
11-11-2018 , 01:16 PM
So Florida had more votes for its D house members, but couldn't manage to get Gillum or Scott a win?
11-11-2018 , 01:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by eyebooger
So Florida had more votes for its D house members, but couldn't manage to get Gillum or Scott a win?
I think this is exactly the kind of plausibility weakness in Nate's models that goofball was referring to.
11-11-2018 , 01:36 PM
ZOMG ticket splitting is FRAUD

11-11-2018 , 01:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by forum ferret
zikzak confirmed masochist watching fox news in the morning.
lol no. It just showed up as a headline on google. Not only will I not watch cable news, I usually won't even click on links so I can avoid giving any of them a page view.
11-11-2018 , 02:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ligastar
So this means the gap will only narrow by approximately 3k between Dems and Repubs and even if every (30%) voter went Dem (obviosuly wrong) the vote will only narrow to about 2-3k?
11-11-2018 , 02:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jman220
In another spot of good news, if Tuesday's House popular vote was instead a presidential popular vote, the below map would be the result:



Edit: This is based on 538 which also adjusted the unopposed house seats accordingly. 538 had Maine split, with 1 EV going to the repub, but that's because they didn't account for the ranked choice voting (which will be in effect for the 2020 presidential).
That's even a majority of the states - thinking Senate.
11-11-2018 , 02:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bigt2k4
So this means the gap will only narrow by approximately 3k between Dems and Repubs and even if every (30%) voter went Dem (obviosuly wrong) the vote will only narrow to about 2-3k?
sounds about right. any news regarding those thousands of ballots stuck in the Miami-Dade USPS depot? what a clusterfk.
11-11-2018 , 02:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aarono2690
Are they aware they are this ignorant or blissfully unaware? Absolutely no understanding of political parties, positions, or even the candidates themselves?

I could spout more about random 6-7 Senate candidates than a majority of people that actually live in that state those candidates are seeking to represent. That’s not good. I don’t know much about NFL team lineups, but it also doesn’t impact my life. Your Senator/Rep/President have deep impacts on your life, yet it’s considered more normal to know your hometeam’s lineup.

I’m preaching to the choir, but it’s sad.
Apparently nothing riles this forum up as much as low-information voters. Everyone has the right to vote regardless of education or knowledge level. Full stop.

Also that was pretty lazy anecdotal reasoning from politico there. I am aware that for lower ballot races like judges it is a big advantage to have a white or generic sounding name instead of a foreign sounding name.

I am not aware of any such effect in a top of the ticket race like Beto vs. Cruz.
11-11-2018 , 02:47 PM

https://twitter.com/ddale8/status/1061684270626992130
11-11-2018 , 03:26 PM
The entire American voting and election system is awful. It can have no defence. I actually can’t think of a good part of its design. It’s near perfectly bad.

You could literally randomly put together a system from other democratic nations by pulling parts from a hat and it would far exceed the US system in every way.
11-11-2018 , 03:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Clovis8
The entire American voting and election system is awful. It can have no defence. I actually can’t think of a good part of its design. It’s near perfectly bad.

You could literally randomly put together a system from other democratic nations by pulling parts from a hat and it would far exceed the US system in every way.
The voting machines should all be required to have paper ballots and be auditable. There should be automatic registration, voting holiday, and universal vote by mail. The electoral college should be eliminated.

But, the whole process of having the elections administered by local officials and in the hands of citizens (high school kids, weirdos and retired people) is vastly superior to having the federal government in charge of it. Thank the imaginary Lord that voting officials do not have Trump at the top of their org chart.

Last edited by microbet; 11-11-2018 at 03:39 PM.
11-11-2018 , 03:37 PM
11-11-2018 , 03:38 PM
I mean, can you imagine if Trump were doing to the Department of Elections what he's doing to the EPA? And does anyone think he wouldn't do that?

      
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