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2018 Midterms Gameday Thread UPDATE 15 Mississippi still WOAT 2018 Midterms Gameday Thread UPDATE 15 Mississippi still WOAT

11-08-2018 , 04:33 PM


This is getting ridiculous
11-08-2018 , 04:33 PM
Wow @ those numbers Kornacki posted
11-08-2018 , 04:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by synth_floyd
Yeah you can request to do mail in ballot without needing a special reason or excuse. And once you're on the mail in ballot list, they send you your ballot every election unless you specifically opt out of it later on.

It's a good way to vote.

NARRATOR: It is not, apparently, a good way to vote.
11-08-2018 , 04:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dominic
Watching Kemp attempt to steal the election in real time is really something maddening
fyp
11-08-2018 , 04:37 PM
Is this really happening?!?!?!?!
11-08-2018 , 04:38 PM

https://twitter.com/CoreyRobin/statu...01895184347136
11-08-2018 , 04:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Namath12
Mail-in voting is such a **** show in most states, I can't believe I was such a big advocate for it.

Who the hell is verifying voters' signatures? I assume in most states it's not Rick "let me get my buddy in here he knows a lot about handwriting" Harrison-types and the number of people working as county election officials who are cross-trained in handwriting analysis approaches zero. So the fate of a state/nation resides in the hands of some slapdick olds who need magnifying glasses to figure out which pills to take each morning or what?
Honestly, this shouldn't be that difficult to solve without needing handwriting analysis.

Where I live (Denmark), each citizen eligible for voting (essentially everyone aged 18+, we don't have to register to vote) gets sent a 'voter card' by mail to their address 3 weeks prior to the election. It's basically just a piece of paper with your info on it and some unique things on it that make it difficult to fake.

If you vote by mail, you send the voter card along with it. If you go to the voting station, you also need to bring the voter card and hand it in.

I can never remember a single case of any sort of voter fraud or doubt about legitimacy of votes. That's despite voter turnout being 85-90 % at general elections. This is one way to solve the whole issue that works perfectly fine here. I'm it's possible to create other ways or make this way even more efficient.

It's incredible to see from across the pond how the US is such a ****show when it comes to voting.
11-08-2018 , 04:39 PM
The results of the midterms appear to be "too soon to call".
11-08-2018 , 04:42 PM
Fully agree that provisional ballots are a scam. While requirements differ, in some states people have to do things like to a courthouse within 3 days, which ain't happening in 99% of cases. Without a presumption of validity they are essentially a meaningless "solution" that resolves whatever discrepancy there was by sweeping it under the rug.
11-08-2018 , 04:42 PM
Where's Drake Sabitch and Mike Donnelly when you need them?
11-08-2018 , 04:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dominic


This is getting ridiculous
The Escondido mayor flipping would actually be really big. Everyone in that town knows Sam Abed is a crook, but maybe the Dem GOTV machine got it done this time.
11-08-2018 , 04:43 PM
I mean, let's do the purple thumb dye already.
11-08-2018 , 04:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Andro
Honestly, this shouldn't be that difficult to solve without needing handwriting analysis.

Where I live (Denmark), each citizen eligible for voting (essentially everyone aged 18+, we don't have to register to vote) gets sent a 'voter card' by mail to their address 3 weeks prior to the election. It's basically just a piece of paper with your info on it and some unique things on it that make it difficult to fake.

If you vote by mail, you send the voter card along with it. If you go to the voting station, you also need to bring the voter card and hand it in.

I can never remember a single case of any sort of voter fraud or doubt about legitimacy of votes. That's despite voter turnout being 85-90 % at general elections. This is one way to solve the whole issue that works perfectly fine here. I'm it's possible to create other ways or make this way even more efficient.

It's incredible to see from across the pond how the US is such a ****show when it comes to voting.
This is all fair but I think you are missing the point. All of the breathless hand-wringing about fraud is total pretense, total hysteria, done in total bad faith, and most of the chaos you reference is also sort of baked into the system, and done intentionally to disenfranchise voters.

They're features, not bugs. We're not missing consultants to show us an efficient way to vote, I mean yes America is full of idiots but we get it, it could obviously be done smarter and better, but in most places, it is absolutely by design that obstacles are put in place to confuse and irritate voters because cynical *******s that create this mess know that the kind of people who will cry uncle and disengage first are more likely to vote for Democrats.

I think it's fine and fair to think we're stupid, but it's too kind, we just have a huge part of the country and a powerful political faction that is ultimately undemocratic and really is almost gleeful about it. To chalk that up to stupidity or mass irrationality is to misunderstand the situation. They can't waltz onto TV and be like "yeah you know what, voting is really inconvenient for us, we're going to cheat" so they've resorted to intentional systemic obsolescence and disorder as their next best available option.
11-08-2018 , 04:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by eyebooger
From that link:


Wait, what? SIX HUNDRED THOUSAND? Is that right? That's like a fourth of the total votes.
Yup. They count super slow in Arizona. It hasn't been an issue in the past because they haven't had elections this close.
11-08-2018 , 04:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Johnny Truant
I mean, let's do the purple thumb dye already.
nah just have an app that lets people vote on their phones
11-08-2018 , 04:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by simplicitus
Fully agree that provisional ballots are a scam. While requirements differ, in some states people have to do things like to a courthouse within 3 days, which ain't happening in 99% of cases. Without a presumption of validity they are essentially a meaningless "solution" that resolves whatever discrepancy there was by sweeping it under the rug.
Right. If they said "you can't vote," you might riot or throw rocks at them or be a pain in their ass, so voters are give you a faux provisional ballot that will never be counted, Republicans have a whole fleet of lawyers to descend into courts to make sure of that, it's just a different tentacle of the voter suppression scheme.
11-08-2018 , 05:07 PM

https://twitter.com/FactTank/status/1060639362155798528

BTW, as has been discussed before, people don't get more conservative over time. There are a lot of causal factors here, such as the decline of evangelicalism, but I think a significant case is that people under 40 live and work in a different world than the olds came up in and the republican view of the economy and life in general no longer broadly applies.

There are few well-paid jobs (especially in urban/suburban areas) for people without college degrees, and college these days means a significant debt burden. Also, homes in urban/suburban areas in blue states is expensive. Further, the frequency of job changes and more "gig" based employment means the employer-provided health insurance is much less common and a significant expense to cover.

As the party concerned mainly with ensuring the have's keep on having, the GOP has failed to adjust to the new world.

Last edited by simplicitus; 11-08-2018 at 05:15 PM.
11-08-2018 , 05:07 PM
I am not a lawyer, but... There is about a 25K undervote in Broward County and Nelson is behind by 17K votes (and dwindling) as they continue to count votes from Nelson-favorable areas. If that undervote was random and not targeted, Nelson stands to gain a net of 8-9K votes during a hand recount based on the margins he ran up in Broward County. If it was targeted, he's already in the lead once they're counted.

We are far from dead in this thing.

That's based on the real undervote being like 3K instead of 25K, and counting 22K additional votes.

DISCLAIMER: I AM NOT A LAWYER OR AN ELECTION-LAW SPECIALIST.
11-08-2018 , 05:11 PM
Also, in Arizona, I was seeing talk last night that we'd know by 7pm PST tonight whether it is legitimately too close to call, lean McSally or lean Sinema. Supposedly, Maricopa will be updating the totals around that time.
11-08-2018 , 05:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by master3004
Suburbs going red to blue is a HUGE deal.
I think this is less about people switching parties and more about the demographics of "suburbs" changing.

At least in the metropolitan areas I am familiar with that trend has been:

-80s though 90s upper and upper middle class married couples buy houses in suburbs to raise families.

-'00s-present: young people marrying and having kids later. Also placing more value on living close to employment and walkability of neighborhoods so they move to the city.

Property values in and around urban core skyrocket. New condos everywhere.

Working class people are pushed out to the suburbs where property values are decreasing.

Not that there aren't still super rich and predominately white suburbs but as a whole suburbs are less homogenous.
11-08-2018 , 05:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
Right. If they said "you can't vote," you might riot or throw rocks at them or be a pain in their ass, so voters are give you a faux provisional ballot that will never be counted, Republicans have a whole fleet of lawyers to descend into courts to make sure of that, it's just a different tentacle of the voter suppression scheme.

https://twitter.com/darrensands/stat...37259681140736
11-08-2018 , 05:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cuserounder
There is a huge undervote in Broward County. 538 has moved that Senate race from Likely Republican to Lean Republican.



https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/st...11294183804928

THIS IS NOT OVER!!!!!!!!!!
Evidently the ballot was confusing in Broward County.
11-08-2018 , 05:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by simplicitus

https://twitter.com/darrensands/stat...37259681140736
**** THESE MOTHER****ING *********** PIECES OF ****ING ****!!!!!!!!

They're probably going to get away with jobbing Gillum, but not Nelson. It's going to get very interesting, though, to see how much the Nelson recount tightens Gillum's race if they're also confirming THOSE votes.

Lawyers, is that a thing? Or will the Senate recount be solely focused on the Senate race?

Like, does a hand count in Broward get to benefit both, or would Gillum need to fight for a similar hand count? (I know there was no undervote on the governor's race in Broward.)
11-08-2018 , 05:21 PM
Nelson now up to 25% on Predictit. I keep buying No and praying I lose.
11-08-2018 , 05:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Money2Burn
Evidently the ballot was confusing in Broward County.
And apparently a Dem was in charge of designing it.

Because we root for literally the most incompetent party in modern history.

      
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