2018 Midterms Gameday Thread UPDATE 15 Mississippi still WOAT - Page 8 - Politics and Economics

It is funny for him to get upset about people being told to vote. Voting is not ideological. I would never chastise anyone for telling people to vote regardless of their audience.

Voting is anti-GOP though and their biggest enemy though, so they have to frame people being encouraged to vote as a democratic conspiracy.

11-06-2018 , 05:01 PM

#178

simplicitus

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https://twitter.com/FiveThirtyEight/...99223271923712

11-06-2018 , 05:04 PM

#179

simplicitus

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You know you want it.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...?module=inline

https://twitter.com/EDoggTheRed/stat...99504709771264

11-06-2018 , 05:04 PM

#180

Matty Lice

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Join Date: Aug 2017 Posts: 3,438

I like how he made that graph to look like a giant LOL.

11-06-2018 , 05:11 PM

#181

oscark

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Join Date: Dec 2002 Posts: 670

Betting markets have moved in Republicans favor (FL and AZ among others), which is depressing. However, the daytime election markets have been wrong for just about as far back as I can remember, so there is that.

11-06-2018 , 05:14 PM

#182

fxwacgesvrhdtf

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Quote:

Originally Posted by oscark

Counterpoint: Predictit: I have money on GOP to have less than 217 seats in Congress, that has been improving and inching in the dems favor all day. I also have money on Heller to lose, that has also been inching against heller all day. Unrelated: I also have 100 shares of Roger Stone to be indicted by the end of the year, for some reason that is also moving in my favor gradually all day (previously it did not have much volume).

11-06-2018 , 05:16 PM

#183

synth_floyd

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Do the betting markets have any information that we don't?

11-06-2018 , 05:21 PM

#184

champstark

aka starkwired

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 14,838

Predictit went nuts in 2016--I remember it swinging violently for Trump and then when Florida early votes came in it swung violently back for Hillary even though it did not look good for her overall.

It's really not very reliable as an indicator in any sense.

11-06-2018 , 05:22 PM

#185

markksman

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This is what I get for following Jill Stein. FM

11-06-2018 , 05:23 PM

#186

fxwacgesvrhdtf

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Quote:

Originally Posted by champstark

So I’m going to go robusto?

11-06-2018 , 05:26 PM

#187

champstark

aka starkwired

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 14,838

Quote:

Originally Posted by jman220

So I’m going to go robusto?

if you buy/sell at the right times, anything good happen good sir

11-06-2018 , 05:28 PM

#188

synth_floyd

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I remember during the poker boom there was a site like predictit where you made bets on a percent basis (or whatever their system is called) but they had it for sports games. So during the game the odds for a game would change and you could buy and sell at any time. Fun stuff.

11-06-2018 , 05:30 PM

#189

Money2Burn

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There hasn’t been a single minority to vote at my polling location all day.

11-06-2018 , 05:32 PM

#190

wheatrich

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A precinct in detroit didn't have any voting machines for a little bit. Good news we figured out it's in the locked closet.

Bad news--we don't have the key.

https://www.wxyz.com/news/voters-tur...nct-in-detroit

11-06-2018 , 05:37 PM

#191

champstark

aka starkwired

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 14,838

11-06-2018 , 05:37 PM

#192

cuserounder

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After dropping off my canvassing materials to a staging office for Democrats in PA-01 (swing district, 538 had the Dem at 40-50% yesterday), I overheard one side of a phone call that *sounded* like it was about some early internal exit polls... but who can be sure? It's hearsay but I figured it would be of interest here...

I heard, "Really??? Democrats are WINNNING????"

11-06-2018 , 05:38 PM

#193

Jack Bando

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In for the needle and in for old people who laughed at young people being upset and crying to be upset and crying.

11-06-2018 , 05:40 PM

#194

prana

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In for some sort of ham Rove type meltdown.

11-06-2018 , 05:40 PM

#195

fxwacgesvrhdtf

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Quote:

Originally Posted by cuserounder

Except exit polls are like always horrifically wrong on the top line numbers. I worked for the DNC election protection project during the 2004 elections and i went home thinking that Kerry had it based on all the exit poll numbers everyone kept talking about.

11-06-2018 , 05:44 PM

#196

Money2Burn

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Lol, text I just got:

Quote:

Florida polls are closing in a few hours. VOTE NOW while lines are short. Don't let Corrupt Socialist Politician Andrew Gillum turn Florida into Venezuela. VOTE RON DESANTIS now. RIGHT NOW!

11-06-2018 , 05:45 PM

#197

champstark

aka starkwired

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 14,838

Quote:

Originally Posted by jman220

We all did, that Ohio exit poll had him up like 5-7 or something right?

Speaking of that, people do forget that if he had won Ohio, he would have won the whole thing.

11-06-2018 , 05:45 PM

#198

El_Timon

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Quote:

Originally Posted by well named

Turnout at the NM precinct I'm monitoring on Pace to be ~50% higher than 2016. Small rural district, heavily Hispanic. A noticeable number of young women voting. Not sure if that will hold, but it's been steady. Pretty cool experience so far.

I had to train the poll workers to give provisional ballots to people in the wrong place but they're on it now.

Is this in NM-2? I hope there's good Hispanic turnout there, in particular outside of the Las Cruces area.