15% for Senate and if Dems win that the House is automatic. That 15% is mainly padding/uncertainty, as too many not 50/50 things need to happen for Dems to win, ie, hold MO, win TX, hold ND, hold IN, win AZ, win NV.

One thing I noticed about gerrymandering is it becomes less effective toward the end of the census cycle as people move around.
Make it more difficult to buy votes if the voter selling his vote can't prove to the buyer who she voted for. This made more sense in the pre selfie era.

Arizona: All I'm really hoping for is Sinema win and enough of an inroad into GOP margins compared to past elections that we let them know we're here.


https://twitter.com/azcapmedia/statu...32309644320768

so much for abrams

Shocker: widespread problems at urban precincts in Atlanta. 3+ hour lines, shortage of machines, etc.

JFC - Georgia:

I'm about to go vote for Abrams in Atlanta. Not sure what to expect as my area's pretty urban/diverse but the white people nearby seem like they could be pretty Republican besides the younger recent grads and transplants.

EDIT: Now after recent posts I'm hoping mine seems Republican so I actually get to vote

https://twitter.com/washingtonpost/s...37147132321794

Vote and/or die

Voting kills

I think Shaun King wrote an article like a week ago saying that Abrams shouldn't concede if she loses because of all this ****, sounds like it's even worse than we predicted.

He's 100% correct.

I know it's not gonna happen, but theoretically, is it even possible for the FBI or someone to investigate, and if they find evidence of intentional behavior behind these "coincidences", for people to face criminal charges?

Like if people are stupid enough to email or text their workers to "forget" to include power cords to voting machines to District X or whatever.

They had their hands full caring for seven children, and Griffith said his mother-in-law never voted because her husband, before his death a decade ago, always worried that the couple would get called for jury duty and “not be able to make ends meet.”

[...]

“She was very proud,” Griffith said. “She wanted to drain the swamp. She voted straight-ticket Republican.”

Of course.

Rest in pain, dumbass.

The FBI was ALREADY investigating Georgia over elections. lol

so when do we start getting exit polls?

Good. A deplorable bites the dust. Now the rest of the olds need to **** off and die too.

These reports are absolutely enraging.

Is there anything someone can do who already voted? Should I show up to a precinct tonight and bring food or drinks or anything?

You know she voted straight R just to **** everyone on the way out

Dems can lose ND if they pick up TX and TN, and I'm calling it now. They are winning both.

Say what you want about comey--he's got some balls knocking on democratic doors lol. Luckily for him odds are he might not hit anyone who immediately knows who he is and what he did.

I don't think we get them until 7pm or whatever time the polls are scheduled to close. I believe its considered unethical to release them before that. They still come in handy for those first few moments before actual vote totals begin to roll in.

538 has 87% chance of Dems take the house, 20% they take the senate. I wonder what the odds were in 2016. I think it was like 65% hillary or something like that.

"Hi, I'm James Comey. I helped rig the 2016 election and I'm here to tell you to vote Democrat!"

**** off.

No guarantees that exit polls are being taken in many places.

Yeah but it was like 75% till the day before then they just went oh **** it's really not that high and lowered it overnight. Nothing new came out they just realized trumpism had more support than others and that model did.

538 odds are just a rough guideline. That fact is something others get right but he keeps his ego because most of his critics usually flunked math class and are as dumb as hell.

Even in his model he's like hurp durp he doesn't really know saying 20% odds of a range completely outside dem +2 and R+5 in the senate.

Kudos to him for still not being ignored like he and the rest of them deserved after 2016.