NY-27 is Chris Collins, right? I'm sure this has been asked before, but what happens when he goes to jail? And likewise for Duncan Hunter.

Yes it’s Collins. The answer is a special election where the republican wins easily, those are very conservative districts. The only reason they were this competitive is because the candidates were under indictment.

lol’d at Jefferson Davis Presidential Library

Not my president

fwiw as someone from the south this confederate hat thing doesn’t seem to be much of an issue. From reading headlines I assumed she was wearing a baseball hat with the stars and bars on it which while semi common among rural deplorables , would raise eyebrows in the suburbs. However wearing a historical battle hat in a museum isn’t moving the needle at all in the south IMO. Her hanging comments are orders of magnitude more deplorable.

Cindy's only debate was on tonight, bits were err difficult for her, lol.

yeah, the "party of fiscal responsibility" voted to hold two expensive special elections within the next year. LOL

They're calling it for McAdams in Utah.

No Love, I guess

Hyde-Smith is one ugly ass ghoulish looking human. She looks ill. Even if she was a liberal Democrat I’d have to stare at her and evaluate if I should reward such unremarkable genes with a vote of confidence.

That Facebook post from the museum is from 2014, I assume this is a new episode of her wearing a hat

I lol'd. Wp.

to the thread title update.

I’m beginning to doubt her commitment to Sparkle Motion.

From someone very good at handicapping these things.

But I mean...how many more ballots are there?

CATargetBot's earliest tweet I can find has Valadao 44,326, Cox 41,882 on 11/13 (R+2444). Eight days later, it's Valadao 52,312, Cox 51,343 (R+969). Cox can definitely get there but it requires there to be, like, 12,000 more votes left to count. Are there?

I hope a lot cuz what the **** kind of turnout is that? 100k votes out of over 300k eligible voters?

Good point - that would be an extraordinarily low figure, comparing to other districts in the state. An uncompetitive Los Angeles district that featured an incumbent D versus a green party candidate got 130k votes. The only other districts in 100k territory were CA-40, which like the above district had incumbent D vs green party, and CA-41 around Riverside, which was not that competitive (final result D+23).

That said, CA-21 is very rural and doesn't have any large cities in it, so it fits the profile of a district I'd expect to have low turnout.

I swear on Monday Kornacki had Mia Love up by like a thousand votes with 100% reporting

I think your reasoning is backwards on that. Congressional districts are all roughly the same size population wise (about 710,000 people except for the tiny states with only 1 CD), and rural voters turn out at a much higher rate than urban ones. Also rural districts tend to have a lot more registered and eligible voters than urban ones (as urban districts have a higher proportion of immigrants, etc.).

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/...82462874890240

Wow, interesting. Worth noting that district crosses 4 counties (only one full county and portions of 3 others), and 3 of those counties (or at least the parts of them in this district) went red, including Fresno (the county that added votes in the above update).

Kern county is the only one that went blue. And the last Kern update is the one that sent Valadao's margin from over 2,000 to under 1,000.

It seems like the updates from Kings/Tulare counties are mostly extending Valadao's lead by small numbers, while the dumps from Fresno/Kern (Kern in particular, but they've only been updating once a week, most recently two days ago) are adding big numbers for Cox.

Anyone know what congressional district had highest/lowest voter participation?

I’m assuming one of MN’s districts is top 5.

100% reporting does not mean 100% of votes

What's the difference? I had always assumed these to be equivalent.

100% reporting means 100% of precincts reporting, or at least that’s my understanding.