2018 Midterms Gameday Thread UPDATE 15 Mississippi still WOAT - Page 3 - Politics and Economics

At what time can we expect the results to start coming? Like when the first races close for voting at 6 pm ET, at what time can we expect to know with decent certainty who won those?

11-06-2018 , 12:47 PM

#52

SenorKeeed

mew mew mew

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 37,478

ResistanceHole: Absolutely perfect: hero millennial announces he is here to cancel out deplorable grandmother's vote. GOOD DAY!

11-06-2018 , 12:49 PM

#53

suzzer99

Save the Cheerleader, Save the World

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 99,984

Keeeeeeeeeeeed

11-06-2018 , 12:50 PM

#54

jmakin

banned

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 30,120

Quote:

Originally Posted by Andro

At what time can we expect the results to start coming? Like when the first races close for voting at 6 pm ET, at what time can we expect to know with decent certainty who won those?

For california it could be weeks

11-06-2018 , 12:51 PM

#55

ScreaminAsian

For President

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 33,333

Place is more packed than I've ever seen it, even on a presidential

11-06-2018 , 12:56 PM

#56

SuperUberBob

Not interesting enough

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 48,217

You know deplorables are intentionally taking a long time to make voting more frustrating for Democrats and people who have lives. I guess they figure they can wait long enough and leave thousands unable to vote due to polls closing.

Malfunctioning voting machines is another interesting trick.

11-06-2018 , 12:58 PM

#57

LKJ

Smugly Contemptuous

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 95,982

Quote:

Originally Posted by Andro

At what time can we expect the results to start coming? Like when the first races close for voting at 6 pm ET, at what time can we expect to know with decent certainty who won those?

I have a hard time believing that we'll know the result of Indiana Senate in the first hour given how close the polling has been and given that some precincts will still be open during that first hour.

With Kentucky not having early voting, I'd be surprised if they could make a really quick call in KY-06 too, and if they do then I fear it would be bad news.

We could easily see strong signs in that first hour, but I doubt we get to "decent certainty" until at least the next set of states opens.

11-06-2018 , 12:58 PM

#58

jt217

veteran

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 2,020

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrWookie

The CA ballot is absurd. If I walked into the polling place without having looked at it before, and if I cared to think through the various issues, it could easily take an hour.

There was also a ton of bull**** on my ballot in TX. Both wordy props and a ton of non-partisan local races, would've easily taken 15-20 minutes if I hadn't looked at it beforehand.

11-06-2018 , 01:01 PM

#59

Namath12

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 55,849

Quote:

Originally Posted by SuperUberBob

When I was a student, frats at Univ of Alabama (dubbed “The Machine”) used to make their pledges stand in line during SGA elections to ensure one of theirs always won

11-06-2018 , 01:08 PM

#60

dth123451

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Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 15,502

Need Mason to tell me who is better for the POKER ECONOMY!

I mean I assume the people behind the kids in cages, but need confirmation.

11-06-2018 , 01:14 PM

#61

lycosid

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 2,806

Quote:

Originally Posted by Andro

At what time can we expect the results to start coming? Like when the first races close for voting at 6 pm ET, at what time can we expect to know with decent certainty who won those?

The insider trick in Virginia is to watch chesterfield county. It's a large conservative leaning bellwether that typically reports most precincts very shortly after polls close at 7. If it's close or D leaning, Kaine is a lock and results will likely be good for dems statewide. It's also a big chunk of the 7th district, so if Spanberger is winning by more than 5 she has a good shot at taking down Dave Brat, which would bode well for House dems broadly and wealthy suburban battlegrounds specifically.

11-06-2018 , 01:16 PM

#62

Andro

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Quote:

Originally Posted by jmakin

For california it could be weeks

Quote:

Originally Posted by LKJ

I guess it will be a long night then.

I just hope we get to see Ted Cruz crying after he loses to BETO.

11-06-2018 , 01:18 PM

#63

fxwacgesvrhdtf

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Quote:

Originally Posted by forum ferret

In before merge. Much better than Riverman's.

I’m not going to merge because that would push the op below the older posts i think. Good Job on the Op, Op.

11-06-2018 , 01:22 PM

#64

Fatal Checkraise

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Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 4,413

Is the Georgia governor election the only election of Senate/House/Governors where there is a run-off if no candidate reaches 50%+? I just googled and it seems like it, but maybe there's more

11-06-2018 , 01:23 PM

#65

champstark

aka starkwired

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 14,838

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fatal Checkraise

Is the Georgia governor election the only election of Senate/House/Governors where there is a run-off if no candidate reaches 50%+? I just googled and it seems like it, but maybe there's more

Mississippi Senate

11-06-2018 , 01:24 PM

#66

LKJ

Smugly Contemptuous

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 95,982

I've been hoping on IN-09 as being a potential upset, but if liberal Monroe County isn't turning out big (and someone in another thread said he had no wait in Bloomington) then it's tough to see that panning out. Tweet is from someone writing for the IU student newspaper, but it's mundane and specific enough to guess that he's getting an accurate number.

11-06-2018 , 01:26 PM

#67

fxwacgesvrhdtf

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Posts: n/a

My mother just voted, Long Island. Poll worker told her turnout is higher than 2016 so far.

11-06-2018 , 01:35 PM

#68

DWetzel

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Quote:

Originally Posted by LKJ

If I may boost your spirits, that county had 27,107 total votes cast in 2014 (the last midterm).

https://www.in.gov/sos/elections/201...on_Turnout.pdf

11-06-2018 , 01:39 PM

#69

bobboufl11

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What would be considered good turnout for a midterm? Google tells me 40% is average

11-06-2018 , 01:39 PM

#70

SuperUberBob

Not interesting enough

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 48,217

The question given these huge numbers is:

Are we seeing a blue wave? Or mass election rigging by deplorables?

11-06-2018 , 01:41 PM

#71

beansroast01

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Grunch, is there an actual chance of Dem House & Senate? I see PredictIt has it at about ~15%. Volunteered this morning for 3 hours.

11-06-2018 , 01:42 PM

#72

simplicitus

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Gonna be a lot of tears.

https://twitter.com/williamjordann/s...207838211?s=19

11-06-2018 , 01:42 PM

#73

SuperUberBob

Not interesting enough

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 48,217

Slim chance but a strong enough blue wave can make it happen.

Something like that would certainly restore my faith in the American people.

11-06-2018 , 01:43 PM

#74

LKJ

Smugly Contemptuous

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 95,982

Quote:

Originally Posted by DWetzel

If I may boost your spirits, that county had 27,107 total votes cast in 2014 (the last midterm).

https://www.in.gov/sos/elections/201...on_Turnout.pdf

Ah, that's good info, thanks. I guess with a baseline national average of ~40% at midterms, I was expecting that they were only turning out at slightly above average by 6:00.

Aside from the clear first-hour battlegrounds of Indiana Senate and KY-06, it does seem like IN-09 is the distant third option of something to follow during the first set of closings. 538 does give Liz Watson a 16.7% chance, though it's an awfully red district.

11-06-2018 , 01:44 PM

#75

Yuv

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 4,940

I don't know how long it takes to fill up a ballot, but the amount of **** you guys 'need' to vote on is ridiculous.
Just driving around NC this week and seeing the amount of signs is enough to know the system is ****ed. There's no way any civilian should be voting on Sheriff, DA or Judges or 90% of the **** in there.

It's hard enough to vote for Senators, house rep and governor.

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