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2017 "Tax Reform": They'll Screw This Up Too, Right? 2017 "Tax Reform": They'll Screw This Up Too, Right?

01-23-2018 , 02:55 PM
I really want the services industry people to revolt. Burn it down...


01-23-2018 , 03:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by stinkubus
Even if every single human being exhibited the maximum amount of ambition at all times some of them still wouldn't make the cut for promotions and the like. Inso's argument is a basic composition fallacy (what is true for an individual cannot necessarily be extrapolated to the population as a whole).
Well if people were maximally ambitious we have no idea what the world would look like. There might be new Amazons, googles, and microsofts.
01-23-2018 , 03:03 PM
There almost certainly would be, but that doesn't change the fact that even if everyone gives it the old college try some people still have to lose out.
01-23-2018 , 03:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DudeImBetter
Ambition is a thing that exists, and it's gonna look different person to person. Conceded.

There are structural barriers to success in the US that poor people face that make economic mobility challenging; something that's proven more true here than in other western nations, and it's been the case for at least 25 or 30 years. It's not controversial, but I'm not sure you'd concede that because it runs counter to your beliefs about poverty and upward mobility / bootstraps.
This is undoubtedly true for many, but I guess where you and I differ is that I don't automatically place the responsibility on society to simply throw money/resources at the people who aren't enjoying the good life right now. Success is a two-way street, and you have to give a little to get a little. If you're dissatisfied with your $11 job at Walmart, let's start with what are YOU going to do about it? Demanding that we confiscate money from the Walton family to facilitate a raise is certainly one solution, but you haven't solved anything. This person hasn't changed one bit. Their paycheck got bigger, sure, but the Waltons aren't going to just lay down and take it either. I get that prices aren't entirely elastic, but if we start artificially raising wages, there will be consequences. Just ask Seattle how that's working out for them.
01-23-2018 , 03:14 PM
Oh do tell. What's happening in Seattle?
01-23-2018 , 03:17 PM
So why can smaller union grocery stores pay artificially high wages but walmart cant without the dire consequences?
01-23-2018 , 03:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by stinkubus
Oh do tell. What's happening in Seattle?
Uhm, it currently, or did, have the most cranes in the world building things. All of the engineering firms I deal with are having to turn down work because of how busy they are (including work from me). Firms are having to import employees from other states because there isn't anybody left to hire.

We went to the Book of Mormon last weekend and the city was hopping.

All in all, looks like it's doing horribly!
01-23-2018 , 03:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by stinkubus
There almost certainly would be, but that doesn't change the fact that even if everyone gives it the old college try some people still have to lose out.
Which is why there will always be haves and have-nots. It's a noble pursuit to make the difference between the two categories smaller, but you have to maintain some economic freedom and liberty in there somewhere, too, or the whole thing falls apart. That's what has driven societal progress for millennia.

Well, that and slavery.
01-23-2018 , 03:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Inso0
Worse yet, you're claiming they're literally incapable of altering that future.
Just quoting this snippet because it invalidates the entirety of that drivel you wrote: no, we're not.

Since you quoted my post, among others, before writing that dumbass rant, let me again reiterate what I actually said:

You vote for the people who make it harder for others to change their situation. So **** you and your bootstraps rhetoric.
01-23-2018 , 03:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by stinkubus
Oh do tell. What's happening in Seattle?
Quote:
Originally Posted by fatboy8
Uhm, it currently, or did, have the most cranes in the world building things. All of the engineering firms I deal with are having to turn down work because of how busy they are (including work from me). Firms are having to import employees from other states because there isn't anybody left to hire.

We went to the Book of Mormon last weekend and the city was hopping.

All in all, looks like it's doing horribly!

WaPo has you covered.

Quote:
"On the whole, the study estimates, the average low-wage worker in the city lost $125 a month because of the hike in the minimum."
Quote:
Indeed, while employment overall did not change, that was because employers replaced low-paying jobs with high-paying jobs. The number of workers making over $19 an hour increased abruptly, while the number making less than that amount declined, Vigdor and his colleagues found.

Vigdor said that restaurateurs in Seattle -- along with other employers -- responded to the minimum wage by hiring more skilled and experienced workers, who might be able to produce more revenue for their firms in the same amount of time.

That hypothesis has worrisome implications for less skilled workers. While there those with more ability might be paid more, junior workers might be losing an opportunity to work their way up. "Basically, what we’re doing is we’re removing the bottom rung of the ladder," Vigdor said.
I'm sorry, I just don't have the time today to go full out on the back and forth for the wage issue, but the poor and unskilled people of Seattle aren't having as much fun as you'd think given the new minimum wage standard.

Actions have consequences, often of the unintended variety.
01-23-2018 , 03:31 PM
The study referenced, per the article itself, has not yet been peer reviewed. For all we know it's complete junk.
01-23-2018 , 03:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
You vote for the people who make it harder for others to change their situation.
Well, I think you're the one voting for people who all but guarantee that poor people never escape their current situation. Giving them enough to survive, but predicating that continued support on them NOT improving their situation seems a little disingenuous at best.

That's a pretty important point to disagree on. Not sure where to start, honestly.
01-23-2018 , 03:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by stinkubus
The study referenced, per the article itself, has not yet been peer reviewed. For all we know it's complete junk.
Maybe.

WaPo also published this article which cites research from Berkeley stating everything is fine, nothing to see here, move along.

I can't help but feel that if it were as rosy as you'd like to think it is, we'd have no shortage of media outlets singing the praises of that minimum wage hike and similar ones in other liberal utopias on the coasts.
01-23-2018 , 03:39 PM
[QUOTE=Inso0;53392961]WaPo has you covered.

'Very Credible' non-peer reviewed study that disagrees with a lot of other studies.

Got it, thanks.
01-23-2018 , 03:40 PM
Why would the media be singing its praises? They represent companies who do not stand to benefit from increasing the minimum wage.
01-23-2018 , 03:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Inso0
I'm sorry, I just don't have the time today to go full out on the back and forth for the wage issue, but the poor and unskilled people of Seattle aren't having as much fun as you'd think given the new minimum wage standard.
This is a hilarious post (ignoring for the moment what others have said about its peer review status) from someone who not long ago was furious that we supposedly refused to consider the ability of real human beings to change their situation. Come on, Inso0, Seattle has (according to your link) MORE high-paying jobs now! Why aren't these low-wage workers grabbing their bootstraps and taking them? That's how it works, right?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Inso0
Well, I think you're the one voting for people who all but guarantee that poor people never escape their current situation. Giving them enough to survive, but predicating that continued support on them NOT improving their situation seems a little disingenuous at best.
I agree that wherever there are incentives in place such that not working is better for your situation than working (though I don't trust you in the slightest to have any clue how prevalent that sort of thing really is), that's not good and that's not how welfare should work.

But the difference between mismatched-incentive welfare vs. strong welfare that also encourages work is approximately 1% as large as the difference between having welfare and throwing people to the ****ing wolves if things don't work out for them, which is what you vote for. So again, **** you and your bootstraps rhetoric.
01-23-2018 , 03:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
I agree that wherever there are incentives in place such that not working is better for your situation than working (though I don't trust you in the slightest to have any clue how prevalent that sort of thing really is), that's not good and that's not how welfare should work.
On further reflection, actually, joke's on me for even buying into this disingenuous bull**** of yours. You don't give a **** about having welfare even if we did change the aspects of it you don't like!
01-23-2018 , 04:28 PM
Not for nothing but the US did throw a lot of money at the Walton family via their inheritance and through their social and familial ties and they all seemed to turn out fine. Otherwise it's a pretty amazing coincidence that all the Walton heirs managed to become multi millionaires via pure bootstrapping.
01-23-2018 , 04:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tien
In Canada we have free healthcare and free education. We figured this stuff out 50 years ago. We are to the far left of Bernie Sanders and doing pretty well.

I don't think people should have to boot strap their way through American level prices for these items, added to their debt, which holds back whatever invesments they decide to make in life.

At the same time, even with these free big ticket items, there are still poor people here and those dumb enough not to take advantage of free university.

But still, society should give people a clean slate to pursue their dreams, not tack on a massive 100k debt just to get an undergraduate piece of paper.
I wouldn't call our secondary education system free, but here's a good article.
http://higheredstrategy.com/canadas-...on-inequality/

Quote:
Broad access, strong community colleges and polytechnics, and a university system where excellence is not confined to a tiny elite. It’s not a complete recipe for success, but it’s a good start, and one we should acknowledge more publicly
01-23-2018 , 05:01 PM
http://www.mcgill.ca/undergraduate-a...s/yearly-costs

Look what an American has to pay to go to this university compared to what a native would.

Multiply that over 4 years and that's a MASSIVE advantage right out of the gate.
01-23-2018 , 05:05 PM
What's available to you in the US will vary wildly depending where you live. My brother was able to do his entire undergrad in the Cal State system for less then what I paid for one semester of a private college.
01-23-2018 , 08:23 PM
Inso: "I condemn your views that many poor people are unable to change their circumstances, I just believe they're all lazy ****s who choose not to."

Who is the ****ing ******* here, *******?
01-24-2018 , 02:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Inso0
If I were God-Emperor I'd hand out all sorts of free passes for minor offenses that had the potential of derailing someone's life, but we're still a society of laws. If you decide the rules don't apply to you after getting away with the first one, you've lost my sympathy. Take some personal responsibility for your actions and deal with the consequences.

If your mom gets sick and can't provide for herself, she's a prime candidate for the social safety net and we as a society should handle it. This isn't a controversial opinion among any conservative I know. If you're suggesting that we should pay the living expenses for both of you so you can quit your job to take care of her? Now we're stepping into problem territory. There are innumerable ways to game that system given how inept our government has shown itself to be at oversight for things like this.

Milwaukee had a large problem with fraudulent daycare businesses years back. Many millions of dollars were being paid for in-home daycare businesses in which people would supposedly watch each others' children. In reality, no kids ever switched houses, and they were just cashing the checks.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Inso0
This is undoubtedly true for many, but I guess where you and I differ is that I don't automatically place the responsibility on society to simply throw money/resources at the people who aren't enjoying the good life right now. Success is a two-way street, and you have to give a little to get a little. If you're dissatisfied with your $11 job at Walmart, let's start with what are YOU going to do about it? Demanding that we confiscate money from the Walton family to facilitate a raise is certainly one solution, but you haven't solved anything. This person hasn't changed one bit. Their paycheck got bigger, sure, but the Waltons aren't going to just lay down and take it either. I get that prices aren't entirely elastic, but if we start artificially raising wages, there will be consequences. Just ask Seattle how that's working out for them.
What you don't seem to understand is that personal responsibility vs. welfare is a false dichotomy.

The best advice to any individual poor person is absolutely take personal responsibility, work within the reality you are given, focus on improving your situation and not on changing government policy.

Government policy, on the other hand, should be focused on a realistic state of the world, which is that many such people will be either unable or unwilling to improve their situation significantly. Whether the best advice to them would be "take personal responsibility" has little to do with what the proper government policy is.
01-24-2018 , 08:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Inso0
This is undoubtedly true for many, but I guess where you and I differ is that I don't automatically place the responsibility on society to simply throw money/resources at the people who aren't enjoying the good life right now. Success is a two-way street, and you have to give a little to get a little.
Ok, so you demonstrate to me how this is predominantly a problem that's independent from societal influences; that there's something unique about the American poor that makes them inherently less ambitious than the poor of the developed western world.

This should be a great read! Please don't disappoint with anecdotes, send me studies and reading material for review. Show me how you substantiate this view.
01-25-2018 , 05:37 AM
So that paper that hasn't been peer reviewed did not include large companies, i.e., the ones required to pay $13.50 (McDonald's) vs. $11.00 (Mom's Diner). So we're looking at employment of people making $11.00 at Mom's Diner at the same time a Burger King across the street offers $13.50. Conclusion: low-wage workers have disappeared!

Fortunately, the Berkeley shop did the methods right and found the same **** all of the other studies find since Card and Krueger: small increase in wages, no decrease in total employment.

      
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