Quote:
Originally Posted by AllTheCheese
The (annual) deficit is the difference between what the federal government spends in a given year and what it collects in taxes in that same year. This number has been positive every year since 2000 (i.e. spending > collection). When you add up all the deficits from every year, treating a surplus like a negative deficit, you get the national debt, which is currently around 20 trillion dollars, about 4 trillion of which is held by Social Security.
Sam Brownback's disastrous experiment in Kansas was about "deficit funded tax cuts," in which one cuts taxes but does not cut spending correspondingly, because magic growth and Arthur Laffer will make up the difference. Of course, the spell did not work. Their government could not afford to pay for public education and their bond rating fell, among other disasters. This is what will happen on the national level when the GOP passes their federal tax cuts. No lessons learned.
It goes without saying these aren't disasters from a certain perspective. It's baked into a lot of high-level/elite-deplorable assumptions, sort of like a semi-bluff. They get two ways to win:
1. they get super lucky, all of their fantastical growth happens because of or in spite of their policies, so the public treasuries are still filled.
2. the predictable stuff happens, there are huge budget shortfalls as predicted, so public services (education, health, transit, public unions, welfare, etc.) bear all the costs and burdens and cuts. This is 'starving the beast' or whatever they call it, and they absolutely plan for this too.
It's win-win. They always pay less. One unlikely outcome is magic happens and everyone gets richer through promised growth. The more predictable outcome where the government budget becomes a disaster, and crushes people who are poor or rely on government services. What do they give a ****? They've been prattling on about how these are lazy mooching parasites who need to ween themselves from government and find their bootstraps anyway.
Stop assuming they didn't learn their lesson, that we share common desired outcomes. Government not being to afford to pay for things after their huge tax cuts is a totally acceptable outcome for them.
Now, let's veer into imagining what that world might look like: think of all the working and grovelling that normal people will have to do for capital owners, probably at some discounted rates without the government to fall back on. Imagine how were might fete and honor their ability simply to pay people for labor -- and their dynamic ability to literally create labor and roles. Think of all the lobbying capital owners will be able to do to allow monosopny and monopoly firms to buy things, hire, and sell stuff to people without much regulation or labor unions to worry about. Think of all the private solutions like schools they'll need. Think of all the consumer credit instruments and high-leverage finance normal people will need to keep up their old and imagined lifestyles, dreamed up by marketers. Maybe they'll need cool medicines to solve their back and body pain from labor, which might even create a whole new industry of addicted consumers they can get the government regulators to ignore, which won't be hard if they don't have money to operate anyway.
"This is what
will happen" -- my friend, my inner leftist says in a whisper here that 40 years of continued lurching into ever-more reactionary right-wing positions that the future isn't THAT far away, and not isolated just to really ****ty backwaters like Kansas.