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2016 Presidential Election Thread: TRUMP vs. Hillary SMACKDOWN 2016 Presidential Election Thread: TRUMP vs. Hillary SMACKDOWN
View Poll Results: The 45th President of the United States of America will be
Hillary
332 46.63%
TRUMP
190 26.69%
In to watch it burn
161 22.61%
Bastard
73 10.25%
im tryin to tell you about ****in my wife in the *** and youre asking me these personal questions
57 8.01%

11-01-2016 , 04:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by WichitaDM
If two years ago or whenever this mess started Hillary would have just said "look I messed up, got bad advice, etc. and transmitted classified emails over my private server" and turned everything over immediately this would all be long since over by now. That is the insane part to me. The cover-up or at least the appearance of the cover up is drastically worse optics than just admitting the mistake in the beginning. It is frustrating because it is costing her some equity.
There is no scenario in which the right leaves Hillary CLINTON alone about anything. To argue otherwise is to completely ignore over 2 decades of precedence.
11-01-2016 , 04:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by master3004
I'm totally a liberal guys, I swear

Edit: stupid ****ing app. That was supposed to be HD's Huma post
The app just knows we'd much rather read one of the GOAT 2p2 posts ever than anything Dan has to say.
11-01-2016 , 04:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by WichitaDM
NV is worse also. How in the world are states like PA, AZ, CO around 25-30c on predictit. I am strongly considering maxing these all out plus maxing hillary out at 69c. Seems like insane value.

Several people in this thread have been touting early voting as a reason the election is over but early voting looks worse in the states that really matter (NH/NV) so I don't understand what adanthar and others have been talking about in thread for the last week really.
This only shows party affiliation, so there is no way through that chart alone to tell how the non-affiliated votes are falling.
11-01-2016 , 04:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NxtWrldChamp
Seems super strange that Bovada has Hilldog at -275 and Pinny has her at -300
Probably good news for Hill as pinny is like roughly infinity times sharper than bovada.
11-01-2016 , 05:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by champstark
jesus christ man
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dids
I've gone through like 5 attempts to quantify how much garbage is contained in this ****ing take and can't really get there. It's awful, you're awful. Grow some ****ing empathy.
huma seems like an amazing woman, but to pretend like she bears no responsibility in who she decides to marry and settle down with is pretty lol

he has a reputation for being a humongous jackass who yells at and berates everybody in his offices, and is a sexual deviant. ya, sucks for her, but use better judgment next time maybe. they're two political insiders who got married in july and had a child in december- call me callous or whatever but i can't help but read into that a certain way.
11-01-2016 , 05:00 PM
This 'Records' account is up and running after a year inactive.

First:


There's all sorts of internal policy guides, there's a tweet on the Baltimore Protests of last year, and the most recent tweet is about the Clinton Foundation.



Headscratching all around.
11-01-2016 , 05:01 PM
538 publishes an article claiming that NV is almost at game over status and says that Trump has a 9% chance if he loses Nevada

But yeah lets keep standing behind that Trump 29% topline number

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...r-polls-there/
11-01-2016 , 05:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by WichitaDM
I mean I get this but if the betting markets are remotely accurate Trump has like a roughly 30% chance to be president elect in 7 days. So either betting markets are way way off and we should be maxing Hillary here with every dollar we have or they are accurate and freaking out is appropriate. Trump seems to have a ton of momentum in both the polls and the betting markets and I don't see EMAILZ going away in the next week
Alex Wice showed up post-Comey saying he wanted 250k of action on Trump at -275 and got plenty of takers, seems like that's what interested gamblers are doing.
11-01-2016 , 05:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by simplicitus
(((Harry Enten))) ‏@ForecasterEnten 32m32 minutes ago
SurveyUSA: Trump +7 in North Carolina


Spoiler:
23% of registered dems voting drumpf

Spoiler:
ya right
11-01-2016 , 05:07 PM
clearly hacked by some trolls.
11-01-2016 , 05:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by HastenDan
Do you think that maybe she is going to be "dragged through so much public bull****" because of her actions and not just because of her race and name?
I'm sure Tim Kaine will be accused of being a Muslim Brotherhood sleeper agent any day now.

loldan
11-01-2016 , 05:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dids
I've gone through like 5 attempts to quantify how much garbage is contained in this ****ing take and can't really get there. It's awful, you're awful. Grow some ****ing empathy.


Do you actually know the details? He gets caught sexting tons of pics to other women. He resigns and she stays with him. Okay that's fine whatever. Then he tires to make a comeback into politics and again he gets caught doing the same thing and AGAIN she stays with him. Then it gets revealed that one of the people he was sexting might have been underage and then finally she leaves him. Rep lol is obvious being an ******* but she was pretty stupid to stay with this lunatic.
11-01-2016 , 05:09 PM
BREAKING NEWS CHUCK TODD IS STILL A GIANT STEAMING USED DOUCHE
11-01-2016 , 05:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by WichitaDM
Probably good news for Hill as pinny is like roughly infinity times sharper than bovada.
Yeah that is why I thought it was strange. Normally Bovada lines are worse than Pinny on both sides of the bet, can't recall too many times where Bovada is offering a cheaper line.
11-01-2016 , 05:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by WichitaDM
Yikes NC looks bad from this compared to 2012. I'm assuming thats why predictit went crazy. NV also worse. Complete opposite from what has been getting reported in this thread. This can't be right can it? That or I'm dumb and don't realize what I am looking at.
Obama won NV by 7 points in 2012, so still looks like HRC will take it unless there's a huge R push.
11-01-2016 , 05:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BAIDS


Spoiler:
23% of registered dems voting drumpf

Spoiler:
ya right
Uh, this is absolutely cause for alarm. Southern states still have tons of conservative Democrats who never bothered to switch parties. And Survey USA is a very good pollster.
11-01-2016 , 05:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Biesterfield
538 publishes an article claiming that NV is almost at game over status and says that Trump has a 9% chance if he loses Nevada

But yeah lets keep standing behind that Trump 29% topline number

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...r-polls-there/
Yeah, numbers look close to 2012 when Obama won by 7 AND Hispanic turnout is up massively nationwide.
11-01-2016 , 05:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by +rep_lol
maybe she shouldn't have gotten knocked up by a complete ****ing moron. then maybe she shouldn't have decided to keep the moron's child and marry him.
11-01-2016 , 05:25 PM
http://origin-nyi.thehill.com/blogs/...anana-republic

How Trump and Comey are turning the US into a banana republic, and how Judge Curiel did what Comey should have.
11-01-2016 , 05:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Anarchist
do we think this costs trump more than 1.5 polling points or prolly nah


Holy crap
11-01-2016 , 05:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by master3004
Holy crap
Horrible stuff but this is dated June 2016. Has zero effect unfortunately.
11-01-2016 , 05:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
Hey, people freaking out:

1. Go to 270towin.com
2. Click Wisconsin twice to make it blue and click New Hampshire twice to make it blue (for extra fun, click Nevada twice also)
3. Start breathing again
Another exercise: calculate the EVs in states where Hillary has led in the polls since June 8th according to fivethirtyeight

CA - 55
CO - 9
CT - 7
DE - 3
DC - 3
HI - 4
IL - 20
ME - 2
ME1 - 1
MD - 10
MA - 11
MI - 16
MN - 10
NJ - 14
NM - 5
NY - 29
OR - 7
PA - 20
RI - 4
VT - 3
VA - 13
WA - 12
WI - 10

Total Votes: 268

As a matter of fact if you do the same with Trump, here's your map:



Trump has to run the table with NV, AZ, IA, OH, FL, NH, NC, GA and get both the second district of ME and the second district of NE to win outright (though he could win the states and one district and then win in the House).

Not gonna happen folks. Not gonna happen.

Last edited by SuperUberBob; 11-01-2016 at 05:47 PM. Reason: thanks goof for the correction
11-01-2016 , 05:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by vixticator
pretty sure nothing i said was a false statement
11-01-2016 , 05:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
Uh, this is absolutely cause for alarm. Southern states still have tons of conservative Democrats who never bothered to switch parties. And Survey USA is a very good pollster.
its a 650 person poll, probably about 250 dems, of which 60 odd say they are voting drumpf

their most recent poll before this one had about 90% NC Ds voting hill

everything on a national level has had about 90% of Ds going hill

either emailghazi part 500000 changed everything or they got a duff 250 person sample imo
11-01-2016 , 05:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by plzd0nate
Do you actually know the details? He gets caught sexting tons of pics to other women. He resigns and she stays with him. Okay that's fine whatever. Then he tires to make a comeback into politics and again he gets caught doing the same thing and AGAIN she stays with him. Then it gets revealed that one of the people he was sexting might have been underage and then finally she leaves him. Rep lol is obvious being an ******* but she was pretty stupid to stay with this lunatic.
Entirely possible that she doesn't care about him sexting, but has a problem with criminal activity. That doesn't make her stupid.

      
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