For those who are on top of polling technique, etc, will the polls be able to accurately capture Trump's depressed turnout as a result of this?

While some people will certainly flip to Clinton or a third party candidate, I think the biggest impact will be some Republicans who were going to tow the party line for Trump simply staying home. Will the polls be able to factor this in, or are most of their likely voter models based on stats from past elections?

I'm very curious in the next week or so how much the numbers move, because I think this could bring the House into play. Supposedly Clinton needs to be +6.5 to +7.5 to bring the House into play. If she can get to like +5 off of this, the Dems can change their strategy to target vulnerable GOP districts and key Senate races with their dream team of surrogates.

I haven't seen this mentioned itt yet, but Trump's decision to hire Roger Ailes onto his campaign after he was booted from Fox News over sexual assault allegations is going to come up tomorrow.

Trump: "Those remarks were 11 years ago."
Hillary: "You hired a sexual predator to advise you less than two months ago."

KO.

I agree. I assume if the Republican senators want to make it happen a nomination, "debate," and vote could happen fairly quickly.

Exclusive: Inside The $125 Million Donald Trump Sexual Assault Lawsuit
http://lawnewz.com/high-profile/excl...sault-lawsuit/

As much as people make fun of the LA Times poll, it's handy tool for looking at these day-to-day movements.

FOX News is really struggling to pivot away from the story, its amazing to watch when you understand how cable news works. They have been covering Hurricane Matthew like it's still a major threat, they also are so desperate to bring in the WikiLeaks dump.

He isn't.

What does oppo mean - Friend, operative, something more specific to politics?

Opposition Research.

cheers

Weather Authorities: "Hurricane Matthew has been reduced to category 1. Won't make landfall in Florida. Although the threat is not over, lives - not to mention millions of dollars in property damage - have been spared."

Everyone Else: "Phew! What a relief."

FOX News: "FU(K!!!!!11111"

The replies to ABC on Twitter about this are delightfully insane.

Same thing, right guys...?

Wisconsin Live:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dgVb3QdghIo

LOL this WI Congressman telling Trumpkins in the crowd "be respectful!"

You built this.

Tuned in for a second there to hear some guy ranting about McCain-Fiengold as an attack on the constitution and crickets from the audience. There's no constituency other than giant donors, their recipients, and a few authoritarian tool for unlimited money on politics.

I posted this in the betting thread but figure it applies here too, input appreciated. "400+ electoral votes is up to 19% yes on PredictIt. That's an easy fade right?"

What does MAGA mean?

MAGA=Make America great again

Make America garbage again.

WOWOWOW Read the transcripts of some of the WOAT things TRUMP has said on Stern's show over the years:

http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/08/politi....html?adkey=bn

Mexicans Aren't Good Americans.

Which side are you suggesting has the edge here? I think Hillary could very feasibly win as many as 470 EV now.

Men all grope, amen