Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread - Page 76 - Sports Betting

is there a rule regarding which team to side with on teasers?

For example, would you rather take GB for -2 and NE for -7.5 or the Gmen for +14 and Broncos +19.5?

I think i'd rather have the points but wanted to get people's take on this.

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01-11-2012 , 04:37 PM

#1877

bpb

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 1,380

Quote:

Originally Posted by ludawg23

I think there's a strong chance you can't read.

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01-11-2012 , 05:35 PM

#1878

wiper

still catching up

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 42,897

Quote:

Originally Posted by ludawg23

'wong' teasers are only when you can tease through the 3 and the 7.

for example, teasing down 8.5/8/7.5 to 2.5/2/1.5, or vice versa up.

the reason you're seeing people mention gb and baltimore this weekend is because you can tease them both down through the 7 and the 3.

asking any more question in a thread dedicated to these specific types of teasers is gonna get bad for you.

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01-12-2012 , 03:58 AM

#1879

THAKID

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 9,873

Ravens and packers both as -1.5 legs (-110)

Yay or nay?

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01-12-2012 , 04:11 AM

#1880

RickOSU

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 1,956

Quote:

Originally Posted by THAKID

Ravens and packers both as -1.5 legs (-110)

Yay or nay?

I think it's a good situation for it. Two home favorites (historically the best teaser legs). The moneylines on the these imply a win% of ~74%..more than enough for an acceptable leg. Additionally the total for the Balt game is very low which is beneficial for teasers.

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01-12-2012 , 04:12 AM

#1881

Poogs

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 4,501

You can get +300 for both dog MLs so yea.

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01-12-2012 , 12:49 PM

#1882

lumpy19

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 325

Quote:

Originally Posted by MyTurn2Raise

LSU wasn't a good leg.... so the alt spread markets tell me

so, either they were way off, or, the occam's razor answer is......

How do we know the alternate markets weren't off? I was surprised to see the prices on LSU alt market.

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01-13-2012 , 07:28 PM

#1883

Dustin D

grinder

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 592

Quote:

Originally Posted by THAKID

Ravens and packers both as -1.5 legs (-110)

Yay or nay?

My local gave me this same bet at +100. My first ever Wong teaser! Next year should offer some value since he's offering even money.

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01-13-2012 , 08:11 PM

#1884

NegativeZero

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 3,358

If anybody can get +140 or better odds on 3 team 7 point teasers, this week looks attractive (my %s):

NO +3.5 75.0%
GB -0.5 75.9%
BL -0.5 75.7%

Win 43.1% ~ +132

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01-20-2012 , 07:00 PM

#1885

DeezNuts

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,016

Let's see....I've missed with LSU/PIT/CIN in WC round.....then proceeded to donk it up with LSU/GB/BAL in DIV round.....so basically 1-5 for the playoffs which is basically a big oh-fer in teaser terms (although I did middle out of GB and BAL but not enough).

I guess the only thing to do in CHAMP wk is to play NYG +8.5/NE -1 this week for even more money!

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01-21-2012 , 11:03 AM

#1886

THAKID

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 9,873

Ne -1 when one leg pushing equals a loss at -110 is a good leg?

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01-23-2012 , 01:43 AM

#1887

DeezNuts

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,016

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeezNuts

Hedged a little on BAL +8.5 and SF -2...was almost golden but I'll take the push on the hedges and a win on the teaser after a horrible start to the playoffs.

Thank you Lee Evans and Cundiff.

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02-05-2012 , 02:21 AM

#1888

subz

journeyman

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 306

i was thinking of what plays to include in possible teasers on the superbowl especially if the lines moved a bit.

maybe memphis or loyola-chicago. which do u guys think is less bad. i get memphis is better but my work is lol bad on these.

also looking at the lines u can get NYG +7.5 -200 or +4.5 -150. i think + 7.5 -200 is better
and NE -8.5 ~ +233. or -9 ~ +247. i think -8.5 +233?

also, is there a way to hedge the 8 some?

i appreciate that every1 is busy, i need to switch off for a while too.

extra thanks for any help... GL 2+2 crew

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02-05-2012 , 06:34 AM

#1889

subz

journeyman

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 306

Quote:

Originally Posted by subz

also, is there a way to hedge the 8 some?

5d @ 46

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02-06-2012 , 12:51 AM

#1890

IchTheocracy

grinder

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 541

2 Team Teaser #?????????

Basketball - College Lines (Game) Point Spread

(561) Ohio State +½ Feb 04/12@02:00p

Teased 4.0 points

Final Scores

Ohio State 58

Wisconsin 52

Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread

@ Lucas Oil Stadium - Indianapolis, IN

SUPER BOWL XLVI

(101) New York Giants +9 Feb 05/12@06:30p

Teased 6.0 points

Final Scores

New York Giants 21

New England Patriots 17

Outcome: Win

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02-06-2012 , 12:53 AM

#1891

IchTheocracy

grinder

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 541

Quote:

Originally Posted by IchTheocracy

Hee haw (since I dunno what kinda sound a square makes)!

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02-06-2012 , 01:22 AM

#1892

MyTurn2Raise

Drug Free MVP

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

Quote:

Originally Posted by IchTheocracy

larussa.gif

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03-21-2012 , 09:37 PM

#1893

IchTheocracy

grinder

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 541

What about wongs for arena football? Just noticed that it's already week 3. I know the games are higher-scoring, which, I'm sure, makes wongs less juicy.

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03-21-2012 , 09:50 PM

#1894

DMMx69

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 1,680

i can't imagine this would work because:

1) as you said, the scoring is much higher
2) which means larger variance in scoring
3) and the significance of the 3/7 score differential is greatly diminished (or gone completely really as scoring is in 2/4/6, right?)

If you are still curious, get the score differentials for the last few years and see what percent the game ends at various spreads. If there are any high frequency numbers that you can cross with an x-pt teaser, it's possible. But, I think very unlikely.

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03-22-2012 , 12:14 AM

#1895

subz

journeyman

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 306

IMO, strictly -EV land... even for selling.

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03-22-2012 , 03:01 PM

#1896

gfxhjk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2005 Posts: 10,757

plus they miss like 99% of extra points and field goals but trailing teams do have an advantage where the clock doesn't run if the leading team doesn't advance the ball