Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread - Page 75 - Sports Betting

If you really want to get in a teaser then yeah Pitt and Cin is the best 2 team teaser right now. I'd rather wait and see where steam moves on the Cin and Atl games first. Actually, you may even get New Orleans -8.5 considering how steam has moved against them the past few weeks.

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01-02-2012 , 11:47 PM

#1852

kdog

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,864

Not sure which way the NO line will go after Detroit's secondary got torched by a backup QB yesterday but I would be absolutely shocked to see 8.5. No way that gets into teaser range.

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01-03-2012 , 01:46 AM

#1853

weirdchess1

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,474

It's unlikely but definitely a reasonable possibility. Games like Sea/Stl, Bal/Jax, etc this year were spreads of >10 that at one point dropped to 8.5

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01-03-2012 , 01:50 AM

#1854

MyTurn2Raise

Drug Free MVP

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

If you can find an out where you can add LSU...

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01-03-2012 , 02:44 PM

#1855

kdog

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,864

Quote:

Originally Posted by weirdchess1

It's unlikely but definitely a reasonable possibility. Games like Sea/Stl, Bal/Jax, etc this year were spreads of >10 that at one point dropped to 8.5

No ****ing way this line is moving to where there is a middle opportunity that encompasses the 3, 7 & 10. You'd even see juiced 9's before that happened.

Quote

01-04-2012 , 02:27 AM

#1856

Your Mom

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2003 Posts: 13,451

Quote:

Originally Posted by MyTurn2Raise

If you can find an out where you can add LSU...

been plannin on that for weeks

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01-04-2012 , 11:51 PM

#1857

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,563

I have this dream where both LSU and Bama turn into +ev teasers at various books.

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01-04-2012 , 11:54 PM

#1858

Poogs

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 4,501

I can get +1.5 and pk at two different books.

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01-05-2012 , 12:01 AM

#1859

calm

banned

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 2,087

Damn Poogs that's some groundbreaking **** right there.

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01-05-2012 , 12:04 AM

#1860

Poogs

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 4,501

get back in your well

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01-05-2012 , 12:14 PM

#1861

Poogs

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 4,501

Thinking about teasing Pit -2.5 and Houston +3.5

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01-06-2012 , 01:46 PM

#1862

DeezNuts

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,016

Quote:

Originally Posted by MyTurn2Raise

If you can find an out where you can add LSU...

LSU +2 now @ Bookmaker. I know the game had a super low total for ncqa but is this really a viable leg?

Quote

01-06-2012 , 06:50 PM

#1863

MyTurn2Raise

Drug Free MVP

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeezNuts

LSU +2 now @ Bookmaker. I know the game had a super low total for ncqa but is this really a viable leg?

well, you can wait until the alternative lines to bet are out and get a better estimate, but my numbers say it has a little over 1% edge on the leg

not only is it a low total, but the ratio of FGs to TDs expected is more aligned with a NFL game

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01-08-2012 , 07:21 AM

#1864

THAKID

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 9,873

So it is good for above reasons

But only 1% edge

???

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01-08-2012 , 12:40 PM

#1865

greg nice

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 9,990

PIT -2 vs DEN
BAL -1.5 vs HOU

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01-08-2012 , 12:51 PM

#1866

MyTurn2Raise

Drug Free MVP

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

Quote:

Originally Posted by THAKID

So it is good for above reasons

But only 1% edge

???

1% edge on that leg

and the expected number of plays in the game in addition to the previously listed reasons

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01-08-2012 , 04:03 PM

#1867

subz

journeyman

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 306

thanks MT2R, hope u run well.

bookmaker is looking OK for the Pitt if any1 is looking.

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01-08-2012 , 05:28 PM

#1868

gehrig

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 8,241

lol apparently diamond got mad after week 17

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01-09-2012 , 12:05 PM

#1869

anonn12345

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 3,886

Bet you guys made out real well with your teasers when Pitt got into Wong range.

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01-09-2012 , 09:13 PM

#1870

stoffmakers

adept

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 1,154

Bama by 2-8 gogogo

Quote

01-10-2012 , 08:37 AM

#1871

subz

journeyman

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 306

Quote:

Originally Posted by jdock99

Bet you guys made out real well with your teasers when Pitt got into Wong range.

very poor taste

people with a life don't do this, so i suppose i should feel sorry for u.

Last edited by subz; 01-10-2012 at 08:45 AM.

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01-10-2012 , 10:01 PM

#1872

THAKID

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 9,873

Lsu+8.5

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01-10-2012 , 11:57 PM

#1873

DeezNuts

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,016

thought i was smart by pairing LSU +8 w/ BALT -1.5 and GB -2.

guh.

Quote

01-11-2012 , 12:26 AM

#1874

MyTurn2Raise

Drug Free MVP

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

LSU wasn't a good leg.... so the alt spread markets tell me

so, either they were way off, or, the occam's razor answer is......

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01-11-2012 , 01:05 AM

#1875

greg nice

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 9,990

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeezNuts

thought i was smart by pairing LSU +8 w/ BALT -1.5 and GB -2.

guh.

same here

(((((((((((

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