Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread - Page 74 - Sports Betting

or so worse than blindly doing teasers at bad odds

so if i'm correct:

basic strat teasers at regular odds and non shaded lines has +EV
6.5/7 pt teasers against shaded lines has -EV
spots jdock likes 6.5/7 pt teasers against shaded lines has -EV

tho i guess technically by not including houston/cin you're saving yourself money since you're not throwing as much away on horrible teasers

Meh, you can keep your Sklansky bucks. I am gonna go spend the money I just won on my bad teasers.

Also, your conclusions are only correct if I am blindly doing teasers, which I am not. I pick my spots.

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01-01-2012 , 08:28 PM

#1827

kaboshedx

adept

Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 1,076

Quote:

Originally Posted by jdock99

No, just less profitable. I actually handicap my teasers instead of blindly doing them. (For example this week I didn't do Cincinnati or Houston cause I didnt like the spots) so my expectation much higher.

Wow, horrible turnover by Pitt. Ugh. If he doesn't do that guaranteed win IMO.

It really is amazing that you can spend so much time interacting with 2p2 yet still have no idea how to gamble.

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01-01-2012 , 08:32 PM

#1828

Your Mom

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2003 Posts: 13,451

well, that was fun!

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01-01-2012 , 08:32 PM

#1829

MikeyObviously

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 3,266

Yes just shula'd so nice

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01-01-2012 , 08:33 PM

#1830

DeezNuts

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,016

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeezNuts

On:
CHI +8
HOU +7.5
CIN +9
NO -1
NYJ +9
SEA +9
PHI -2

Put SD +9 and DAL +9 in a couple of large teasers as well...gamboooool!

Hopefully won't lose the past few weeks worth of wins.

This deserves a Wong Shula picture!!!!

Hedging out of some of these DAL legs (only added for gambooool purposes) with NYG -115....

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01-01-2012 , 08:36 PM

#1831

Jerome Mittleman

banned

Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 109

week 17 has been money all the time and people like jdock99 mess it up lol

its so amazing that the most basic concept ever that has printed money every year has people who mess it up week after week

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01-01-2012 , 08:39 PM

#1832

lumpy19

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 325

Quote:

Originally Posted by MyTurn2Raise

11 different legs -- only got 10 of them in fully -- make or break for season, eh?

I got 10 in and missed detroit...nice way to start the new year, SWEEP

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01-01-2012 , 08:42 PM

#1833

anonn12345

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 3,886

Man, I guess I am the only one who put in Detroit, cause everyone else went perfect.

I had Bears, Eagles, Falcons, Seahawks, Lions, Chargers, Chiefs, Jets, Steelers, and Saints, so obviously Detroit screwed my Shula.

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01-01-2012 , 08:43 PM

#1834

B00T

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 5,246

Everyone else personally handicapped Detroit out.

You could see the issues with that game a mile away.

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01-01-2012 , 08:50 PM

#1835

MyTurn2Raise

Drug Free MVP

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

Wooooooooooooooooooooott!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

10 of 11 is a good start to the new year.

2012... making enough to enjoy a lil' bit before the world ends.

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01-01-2012 , 08:54 PM

#1836

anonn12345

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 3,886

Quote:

Originally Posted by B00T

Everyone else personally handicapped Detroit out.

You could see the issues with that game a mile away.

Matt Flynn against a Detroit team that needed to win? I'll take my chances.

They got boned on a couple bad calls too (such as the called back touchdown in 2nd quarter).

Meh.

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01-01-2012 , 08:56 PM

#1837

Jerome Mittleman

banned

Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 109

still one bet pending though - whether or not poogs local pays him. poogs getting stiffed would complete the shula week

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01-01-2012 , 09:11 PM

#1838

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,563

Quote:

Originally Posted by MyTurn2Raise

Wooooooooooooooooooooott!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

10 of 11 is a good start to the new year.

2012... making enough to enjoy a lil' bit before the world ends.

Bah. 9-1 + Cinci for the poosh. I knew I shoulda handicrapped the Lions game.

I guess as long as the Mayans lose we're all winners.

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01-01-2012 , 11:12 PM

#1839

Your Mom

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2003 Posts: 13,451

cincy +8.5 in all my legs ftmfw

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01-01-2012 , 11:20 PM

#1840

weirdchess1

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,474

All my Cin legs were Cin +8 but otherwise a scoop for me. New record for me, +5 figures. Should've bet more.

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01-02-2012 , 12:11 AM

#1841

vetiver

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 7,757

realized after early games that i had way too many cincy +9 legs, hedged it with bal -3 & a little -7.5. epic middle. thank you 2011-12 season teasers, you have been so good to me.

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01-02-2012 , 12:55 AM

#1842

THAKID

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 9,873

Chargers and texans and bears

Oh my

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01-02-2012 , 01:04 AM

#1843

greg nice

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 9,990

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01-02-2012 , 04:42 AM

#1844

siccjay

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 10,037

If all I have is money on Bodog, I should probably be wonging all the +3 (with heavy juice) spreads that are widely available at 1.5-2.5 shouldn't I?

I had 4 teams wongable and won them all. More would have been awesome!

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01-02-2012 , 05:21 AM

#1845

MyTurn2Raise

Drug Free MVP

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

Quote:

Originally Posted by siccjay

think about it this way
would you like +9 on a team when you know +7.5 is +EV?

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01-02-2012 , 12:20 PM

#1846

siccjay

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 10,037

Of course, I have wonged a couple high juice ones, but I've been lazy this year. FML I wonder how much I cost myself. hahaha

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01-02-2012 , 05:28 PM

#1847

DeezNuts

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,016

I know it's early, but what are people thinking about CIN +9/PIT -2 this wknd (low totals although PIT road fave)? I don't think the line will shade more than PIT -8, as it is -9 in a lot of spots.

I am staying away from ATL +9 and will probably be on NYG -3 as a straight bet. Handicapping ftl.

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01-02-2012 , 05:40 PM

#1848

weirdchess1

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,474

CIN +9 is not a good leg right now.

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01-02-2012 , 06:48 PM

#1849

kdog

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,864

Quote:

Originally Posted by weirdchess1

CIN +9 is not a good leg right now.

No but with a total of 38 it's not utterly horrible and for anyone who does not have a book that allows open legs it is the best selection to put with Pittsburgh.

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01-02-2012 , 07:03 PM

#1850

Daliman

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 14,911

Had an OK year in these, including only one game loss last 3 weeks, but didn't win as much as I should have because I suck at picking non-teaser games and was following Fezzik's picks for the year

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