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Old 09-12-2010, 07:55 PM   #101
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

wtf are you people talking about
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Old 09-12-2010, 07:57 PM   #102
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

The cake is a lie.
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Old 09-12-2010, 08:34 PM   #103
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

Baltimore +8 for a huge week 1 for wongs. One time baby!
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Old 09-12-2010, 09:21 PM   #104
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

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Originally Posted by z32fanatic View Post
Baltimore +8 for a huge week 1 for wongs. One time baby!
I'm tempted to bet NYJ simply because it would cause a huge loss for the public if they blow out the fightin' flaccos.
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Old 09-12-2010, 09:25 PM   #105
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

Biggest winning day ever for me and I don't even like teasers that much.
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Old 09-12-2010, 09:54 PM   #106
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

yeah, it's been ridic good this year including the 4 exhibition weeks and today

too bad I didn't meet my bankroll goals coming into football season
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Old 09-12-2010, 10:28 PM   #107
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

Had $80 in bets today on NFL
Won $76.32 back so far
Ravens cover +8 tomorrow night I win $92.27

Wondering if I should bet Jets -1 tomorrow night. Is there a formula to figure out optimal play in this situation? A 5 point middle seems like a lot. Any suggestions?

My noob logic says to put $50 on the Jets -1 and I would be guaranteed a minimum profit of at least $45 with a chance to middle
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Old 09-12-2010, 10:43 PM   #108
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gandolfandiari View Post
Had $80 in bets today on NFL
Won $76.32 back so far
Ravens cover +8 tomorrow night I win $92.27

Wondering if I should bet Jets -1 tomorrow night. Is there a formula to figure out optimal play in this situation? A 5 point middle seems like a lot. Any suggestions?

My noob logic says to put $50 on the Jets -1 and I would be guaranteed a minimum profit of at least $45 with a chance to middle
I am in the same boat
I also had texans/steelers/ravens.
Ravens were teased to +8.
i can get jets at -2 on bodog.
Is this a obvious play to bet the jets?
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Old 09-13-2010, 01:21 AM   #109
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

Trying to figure my best play. Currently +340.11 from Sunday Teasers with Baltimore(+8.5) still in play on a 4 team, 3 team, and two 2 teams. Five possible outcomes.

1.No other bets and Baltimore wins +776.93
2.No other bets and Baltimore loses + 15.11
3.Bet 440 on Jets(-1.5)/Jets lose +336.96
4.Bet 440 on Jets(-1.5)/Jets win +415.11
5.Bet 440 on Jets(-1.5)/Jets Middle +1196.00

Thoughts?
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Old 09-13-2010, 06:51 AM   #110
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

ferb, how well do you think Baltimore will cover with your 8.5 spread? if you are pretty sure, don't hedge the play. if you are not so sure about taking this play, ( I personally love the Jets but what do I know,I just lose money ) so I would bet 440 to hedge this play. actually, being +336.96Min. is very good, Hedge!
[IMG]http://www.********************.info/images/3e6ad89fe36086fb79126e36c659f5df.gif[/IMG]
[IMG]http://www.********************.info/images/d290dc6cabaffa37f5473eb33611607e.gif[/IMG]
[IMG]http://www.********************.info/images/9a86d531e19ec6f5937ad1373bb118bd.gif[/IMG]
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Old 09-13-2010, 10:50 AM   #111
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by ferb View Post
Trying to figure my best play. Currently +340.11 from Sunday Teasers with Baltimore(+8.5) still in play on a 4 team, 3 team, and two 2 teams. Five possible outcomes.

1.No other bets and Baltimore wins +776.93
2.No other bets and Baltimore loses + 15.11
3.Bet 440 on Jets(-1.5)/Jets lose +336.96
4.Bet 440 on Jets(-1.5)/Jets win +415.11
5.Bet 440 on Jets(-1.5)/Jets Middle +1196.00

Thoughts?
Hedging a four team teaser with one to play is similar to the thought process of "last hand, I'm up $1000 on the session, I'll lay down AA preflop here because I dont want to get outdrawn and blow my winnings this session."

Life is one long poker session, and one long series of individual bets. Either the Jets -1.5 is a good bet or it isnt.
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Old 09-13-2010, 11:15 AM   #112
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

Id skip the hedge
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Old 09-13-2010, 12:13 PM   #113
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

Jets line at -1 at Bodog now. Am I dreaming thinking this game can middle? I would need Jets to win between 2-8.
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Old 09-13-2010, 12:19 PM   #114
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by ferb View Post
Jets line at -1 at Bodog now. Am I dreaming thinking this game can middle? I would need Jets to win between 2-8.
did u have a 4 team teaser on bodog? I only found 3 games that were wongable at the time of my bet.
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Old 09-13-2010, 12:23 PM   #115
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

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Originally Posted by kordoISback View Post
did u have a 4 team teaser on bodog? I only found 3 games that were wongable at the time of my bet.
I threw Philly in with Baltimore,Pitt,Houston for .25u.
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Old 09-13-2010, 12:25 PM   #116
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by arcdog View Post
Hedging a four team teaser with one to play is similar to the thought process of "last hand, I'm up $1000 on the session, I'll lay down AA preflop here because I dont want to get outdrawn and blow my winnings this session."

Life is one long poker session, and one long series of individual bets. Either the Jets -1.5 is a good bet or it isnt.
Ya I'm a newb sports bettor trying to bank a winning week hoping I can lucka*s my way into a big week if the Jets win by 2-8.
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Old 09-13-2010, 01:22 PM   #117
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by ferb View Post
Trying to figure my best play. Currently +340.11 from Sunday Teasers with Baltimore(+8.5) still in play on a 4 team, 3 team, and two 2 teams. Five possible outcomes.

1.No other bets and Baltimore wins +776.93
2.No other bets and Baltimore loses + 15.11
3.Bet 440 on Jets(-1.5)/Jets lose +336.96
4.Bet 440 on Jets(-1.5)/Jets win +415.11
5.Bet 440 on Jets(-1.5)/Jets Middle +1196.00

Thoughts?
I'm pretty sure you can do the estimated growth calculations, right?
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Old 09-13-2010, 01:52 PM   #118
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by arcdog View Post
Hedging a four team teaser with one to play is similar to the thought process of "last hand, I'm up $1000 on the session, I'll lay down AA preflop here because I dont want to get outdrawn and blow my winnings this session."

Life is one long poker session, and one long series of individual bets. Either the Jets -1.5 is a good bet or it isnt.
Terrible analogy and terrible post.
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Old 09-13-2010, 02:10 PM   #119
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

yep
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Old 09-13-2010, 02:51 PM   #120
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by MyTurn2Raise View Post
I'm pretty sure you can do the estimated growth calculations, right?
Can you please expand on this for us noobs. I am in the same boat as others in this thread and contemplating hedging my bet.
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Old 09-13-2010, 02:53 PM   #121
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by F1shRapeMe View Post
Can you please expand on this for us noobs. I am in the same boat as others in this thread and contemplating hedging my bet.
http://forum.sbrforum.com/handicappe...on-part-i.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/handicappe...n-part-ii.html

These should help
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Old 09-13-2010, 03:10 PM   #122
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

ahhhh so much info,
thanks for the links, will run it before deciding to hedge,
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Old 09-13-2010, 04:58 PM   #123
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

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Old 09-13-2010, 05:02 PM   #124
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

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haha....alright.....good point.
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Old 09-13-2010, 05:33 PM   #125
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re: Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

I wish I could get a spoon. I've looked at a bunch of sources including the ones linked above and tried to derive the growth manually and am failing pretty hard.

I have 4.4% to win 9% of my bankroll on ravens +8 which I estimate at 77.88% given current lines. What do I put on a hedge/middle? Someone plz teach me. TY in advance.
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