Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread - Page 31 - Sports Betting

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12-16-2010 , 05:27 PM

#751

ProfessorBen

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Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 9,897

yay for having lots of san diego teasers.

Quote

12-16-2010 , 05:28 PM

#752

Peeig

adept

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 894

Quote:

Originally Posted by ProfessorBen

yay for having lots of san diego teasers.

I saw it on tuesday at a few shops, should've gobbled some up then

Quote

12-16-2010 , 05:32 PM

#753

gehrig

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Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 8,241

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peeig

I saw it on tuesday at a few shops, should've gobbled some up then

i play bad too

Quote

12-16-2010 , 05:43 PM

#754

ProfessorBen

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Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 9,897

i have 6.5 pters from monday and last night. had to take some 7 pt 3 team +150 today which is pretty marginal, but was fine cause it's an ok price, cards low total, eagles i got +10.

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12-17-2010 , 06:44 PM

#755

ProfessorBen

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Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 9,897

let's see if this works again.

yay for having lots of st. louis teasers.

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12-18-2010 , 03:42 PM

#756

DeezNuts

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,016

Playing:
KC +9
NO -1.5
AZ +9
CHI -1.5
HOU +7.5
OAK -1.5 (not too sure about this one)

Debating PHI +9.

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12-18-2010 , 08:47 PM

#757

That Foreign Guy

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 1,985

Looks like I have been cut off (LOL $5 limits) from my former favourite euro book's teaser lines that offer me an extra point or two on a number of bets. I'll try again tomorrow morning in case they just don't like taking NFL bets while asleep or something, but it may be the end of the golden weeks.

This makes me very sad.

Quote

12-18-2010 , 09:06 PM

#758

Achrilles

grinder

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 478

Quote:

Originally Posted by That Foreign Guy

you mind sharing which book?

Quote

12-18-2010 , 09:41 PM

#759

bjornb

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 4,937

Quote:

Originally Posted by Achrilles

you mind sharing which book?

+1

Euro books are SO bad at the NFL.

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12-19-2010 , 12:05 PM

#760

ProfessorBen

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 9,897

1. my bankroll increased about 20%+ overnight because i click buttons like a champ. my first thought was: YAY SILVER JERSEY. 2nd: OMG NEED TO PUT DOWN MORE ON WONGS. <3 KELLY. it was really fun to reenter alot of teasers instead of going to bed.

2. dear bengals/browns line: plz pick a side in the next 2 hours. ties are guys behind sexy rexy. preferably a large move, or even both sides.

Last edited by ProfessorBen; 12-19-2010 at 12:15 PM.

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12-19-2010 , 02:21 PM

#761

Lego05

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Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 24,895

Eagles +9
Saints +8
Raiders -2
Cardinals +8.5
Chiefs +9

Did I mess anything up this week? (Other than missing the Cowboys as the regular line went from -7 to -10 in the few hours before kickoff. And I could only get Bears -3.)

Quote

12-19-2010 , 04:43 PM

#762

DeezNuts

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,016

cmon backdoor cover by AZ and HOU(not likely)!

Andy Reid killed PHI....what was that no-challenge??!?!

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12-19-2010 , 04:50 PM

#763

ProfessorBen

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 9,897

guys, we have a problem. in poker we call it too many outs syndrome.

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12-19-2010 , 05:09 PM

#764

Poogs

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 4,501

****ing houston

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12-19-2010 , 05:09 PM

#765

Lego05

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 24,895

Haha ..... was looking pretty bad. Now it's looking like I'll be able to root for the Raiders for a sweep for me. Can't get it on TV though, boo.

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12-19-2010 , 05:09 PM

#766

gehrig

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 8,241

undefeated wong shula just cracked open some champaign

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12-19-2010 , 05:21 PM

#767

Lego05

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 24,895

It's too late but for my own learning if someone has time. I had 6 teaser combos that would win if Raiders covered -2. I could get Broncos +7.5.

Should I have bet enough on the Broncos to cover what I would lose if Raiders didn't cover -2 and hope for the middle? How do you determine that?

Quote

12-19-2010 , 05:25 PM

#768

ProfessorBen

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Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 9,897

dunno what u guys are complaining about. at 1 point i had marked down 3 lox losses. and u guys probably didn't have rams. really looked like we were gunna get scooped at certain points. i am very content.

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12-19-2010 , 05:34 PM

#769

Parlay Slow

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Join Date: Nov 2003 Posts: 8,122

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lego05

kelly criterion

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12-19-2010 , 06:12 PM

#770

Lego05

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 24,895

Quote:

Originally Posted by Parlay Slow

kelly criterion

Plus figuring the % it ends up in the middle too I assume?

Ah, I probably can't do that kelly criterion math anyway.

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12-19-2010 , 08:18 PM

#771

DeezNuts

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,016

congrats to those that didn't have the stupid Texans in their RR.

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12-19-2010 , 08:55 PM

#772

z32fanatic

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 4,671

Bodog not having the Chi/Min line up this morning is really tilting me. Having Chi -2 looks so good with Webb starting for Min.

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12-19-2010 , 10:06 PM

#773

Parlay Slow

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Join Date: Nov 2003 Posts: 8,122

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lego05

Plus figuring the % it ends up in the middle too I assume?

Ah, I probably can't do that kelly criterion math anyway.

yeah determine the the % each outcome occurs and use excel solver or something to maximize the log of your bankroll

Quote

12-19-2010 , 10:13 PM

#774

subz

journeyman

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 306

pretty good - now to work out if i need to hedge some of tomorrow's or not....

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12-20-2010 , 01:09 AM

#775

ProfessorBen

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 9,897

i thought i was gunna lose 1/3-1/2 of whatever i put down today, but may have finished up on everything. hit so many sick backdoors today.

saints +8/+8.5, ravens -1.5
browns +7, bungles -1
cowboys -2.5
cards +9, panthers ML
eagles +9

almost surprised i didn't get there on rams/chiefs, texans/titans, raiders, broncos middlez.

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