Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread - Page 26 - Sports Betting

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11-15-2010 , 04:03 PM

#626

Thremp

banned

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 36,452

Post Oak would advise putting them in the same teaser.

Quote

11-15-2010 , 04:07 PM

#627

gfxhjk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2005 Posts: 10,757

eurocup is starting tho. allen iverson gonna represent

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11-15-2010 , 04:32 PM

#628

ProfessorBen

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Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 9,897

Quote:

Originally Posted by rsigley

allen iverson gonna represent

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=exOxUAntx8I

Quote

11-15-2010 , 05:50 PM

#629

MyTurn2Raise

Drug Free MVP

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

thank you for mentioning the Titans Thremp. I was kind of sad face this morning about not doing the 6.5 pt ones with the Broncos. But, now I see the ones I stupidly missed were .500 and it's party time.

Quote

11-16-2010 , 12:22 AM

#630

kdog

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,864

Quote:

Originally Posted by That Foreign Guy

Only in the most basic terms - each point is worth a certain amount of cover %, you need the multiplied cover %s of the two games to be greater than the break even percentage given the odds you're getting.

I'm not sure how to deal with the shaded lines on Pinny part of the equation though. Do I assume the shading is on the original (pre-tease) lines and that I adjust the cover % there (so instead of covering -3 50% of the time a team that is -3 -130 covers 52% or whatever) then add the value of each point?

Then why not use Pinny's drop down and calculate from there? Not ideal for all lines obv but it should get you pretty close.

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11-18-2010 , 04:09 PM

#631

Lego05

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 24,916

Bears +7.5
Steelers -1.5
Jets -1
Titans -1
Browns +7.5

How does that look? Only gonna tease the ones including the Bears today.

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11-18-2010 , 04:19 PM

#632

Pwn_Master

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 8,766

Chiefs -2?

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11-18-2010 , 04:32 PM

#633

Lego05

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 24,916

I only have money on BetJamaica (probably should get money on a few other books) right now and they have it at -3 right now. Where is it at -2?

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11-18-2010 , 05:09 PM

#634

Pwn_Master

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 8,766

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lego05

I only have money on BetJamaica (probably should get money on a few other books) right now and they have it at -3 right now. Where is it at -2?

Bodog.

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11-18-2010 , 05:10 PM

#635

shipontilt

self-banned

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 12,209

I had Chiefs at -2 earlier in the week on legends, I have not logged in since Tuesday though.

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11-18-2010 , 05:17 PM

#636

Lego05

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 24,916

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pwn_Master

Bodog.

Ah.

And Bears just went to +8.5.

Quote

11-18-2010 , 08:05 PM

#637

vetiver

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 7,757

Say you're looking to clear a bonus so looking for closest to 0ev you can find. What's the approximate house edge on a two-team teaser where both teams are -7.5 market but +100 teaser gives -2 each game?

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11-18-2010 , 08:52 PM

#638

atrainpsu

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 1,840

A true 7.5 is still +EV for the player at -2

Quote

11-18-2010 , 09:30 PM

#639

vetiver

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 7,757

Quote:

Originally Posted by atrainpsu

A true 7.5 is still +EV for the player at -2

Cool thank you

Quote

11-18-2010 , 10:23 PM

#640

Lego05

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 24,916

Quote:

Originally Posted by atrainpsu

A true 7.5 is still +EV for the player at -2

By "true" do you mean a -110 2 team teaser?

Quote

11-18-2010 , 10:37 PM

#641

Iowa!

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 1,615

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lego05

By "true" do you mean a -110 2 team teaser?

Think he means a team that is -7.5 -110 as opposed to -7.5 +104.

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11-19-2010 , 01:01 AM

#642

PICKAPEPPA

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 390

I read it as he is saying +100 5.5 pt teasers are +EV.

Quote

11-19-2010 , 11:52 AM

#643

Poogs

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 4,501

Locked into a lot of 3 and 4 teamers after last night. Ill probably hedge last minute like a little girl though.

Quote

11-19-2010 , 02:06 PM

#644

atrainpsu

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 1,840

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lego05

By "true" do you mean a -110 2 team teaser?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Iowa!

Think he means a team that is -7.5 -110 as opposed to -7.5 +104.

This, basically.

Quote:

Originally Posted by PICKAPEPPA

I read it as he is saying +100 5.5 pt teasers are +EV.

Reasonably true, as long as you cross the 3 and 7. I probably wouldn't do -8.5 to -3, or +1.5 to +7.

Quote

11-20-2010 , 04:16 PM

#645

PICKAPEPPA

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 390

Quote:

Originally Posted by atrainpsu

Reasonably true, as long as you cross the 3 and 7. I probably wouldn't do -8.5 to -3, or +1.5 to +7.

Thanks. Is the breakeven between -105 and -110?

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11-21-2010 , 05:39 PM

#646

Lego05

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Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 24,916

Ahh, would won 15X more $ if Titans had covered -1.

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11-21-2010 , 06:23 PM

#647

Malekai

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 271

Same here. Slight loser due to middle bet.

Quote

11-21-2010 , 06:42 PM

#648

DeezNuts

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,016

Damn you Titans. Won a tiny bit bc I didn't RR TEN in my CHI teasers.

Quote

11-21-2010 , 07:09 PM

#649

Peeig

adept

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 894

Titans have ****ed with teasers all year........I not sending Jeff Fisher a xmas card

Quote

11-22-2010 , 12:58 AM

#650

MyTurn2Raise

Drug Free MVP

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lego05

Ahh, would won 15X more $ if Titans had covered -1.

yep

5 of 6 NFL legs = small gain

so close to a "make it rain" moment

Quote

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