Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread - Page 5 - Sports Betting

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Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread

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09-12-2010 , 07:55 PM

#101

Sabaneta

adept

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 1,175

wtf are you people talking about

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09-12-2010 , 07:57 PM

#102

Thremp

banned

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 36,452

The cake is a lie.

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09-12-2010 , 08:34 PM

#103

z32fanatic

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 4,671

Baltimore +8 for a huge week 1 for wongs. One time baby!

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09-12-2010 , 09:21 PM

#104

loosekanen

USA#1, Oh Yeah!

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 27,836

Quote:

Originally Posted by z32fanatic

Baltimore +8 for a huge week 1 for wongs. One time baby!

I'm tempted to bet NYJ simply because it would cause a huge loss for the public if they blow out the fightin' flaccos.

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09-12-2010 , 09:25 PM

#105

ImStillBen

banned

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,790

Biggest winning day ever for me and I don't even like teasers that much.

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09-12-2010 , 09:54 PM

#106

MyTurn2Raise

Drug Free MVP

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

yeah, it's been ridic good this year including the 4 exhibition weeks and today

too bad I didn't meet my bankroll goals coming into football season

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09-12-2010 , 10:28 PM

#107

Gandolfandiari

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 11,422

Had $80 in bets today on NFL
Won $76.32 back so far
Ravens cover +8 tomorrow night I win $92.27

Wondering if I should bet Jets -1 tomorrow night. Is there a formula to figure out optimal play in this situation? A 5 point middle seems like a lot. Any suggestions?

My noob logic says to put $50 on the Jets -1 and I would be guaranteed a minimum profit of at least $45 with a chance to middle

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09-12-2010 , 10:43 PM

#108

kordoISback

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 1,785

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gandolfandiari

I am in the same boat
I also had texans/steelers/ravens.
Ravens were teased to +8.
i can get jets at -2 on bodog.
Is this a obvious play to bet the jets?

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09-13-2010 , 01:21 AM

#109

ferb

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 454

Trying to figure my best play. Currently +340.11 from Sunday Teasers with Baltimore(+8.5) still in play on a 4 team, 3 team, and two 2 teams. Five possible outcomes.

1.No other bets and Baltimore wins +776.93
2.No other bets and Baltimore loses + 15.11
3.Bet 440 on Jets(-1.5)/Jets lose +336.96
4.Bet 440 on Jets(-1.5)/Jets win +415.11
5.Bet 440 on Jets(-1.5)/Jets Middle +1196.00

Thoughts?

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09-13-2010 , 06:51 AM

#110

elomeyn

banned

Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 63

ferb, how well do you think Baltimore will cover with your 8.5 spread? if you are pretty sure, don't hedge the play. if you are not so sure about taking this play, ( I personally love the Jets but what do I know,I just lose money

) so I would bet 440 to hedge this play. actually, being +336.96Min. is very good, Hedge!

[IMG]http://www.********************.info/images/3e6ad89fe36086fb79126e36c659f5df.gif[/IMG]
[IMG]http://www.********************.info/images/d290dc6cabaffa37f5473eb33611607e.gif[/IMG]
[IMG]http://www.********************.info/images/9a86d531e19ec6f5937ad1373bb118bd.gif[/IMG]

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09-13-2010 , 10:50 AM

#111

arcdog

veteran

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 2,361

Quote:

Originally Posted by ferb

Hedging a four team teaser with one to play is similar to the thought process of "last hand, I'm up $1000 on the session, I'll lay down AA preflop here because I dont want to get outdrawn and blow my winnings this session."

Life is one long poker session, and one long series of individual bets. Either the Jets -1.5 is a good bet or it isnt.

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09-13-2010 , 11:15 AM

#112

Clhouse8

centurion

Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 193

Id skip the hedge

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09-13-2010 , 12:13 PM

#113

ferb

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 454

Jets line at -1 at Bodog now. Am I dreaming thinking this game can middle? I would need Jets to win between 2-8.

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09-13-2010 , 12:19 PM

#114

kordoISback

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 1,785

Quote:

Originally Posted by ferb

Jets line at -1 at Bodog now. Am I dreaming thinking this game can middle? I would need Jets to win between 2-8.

did u have a 4 team teaser on bodog? I only found 3 games that were wongable at the time of my bet.

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09-13-2010 , 12:23 PM

#115

ferb

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 454

Quote:

Originally Posted by kordoISback

did u have a 4 team teaser on bodog? I only found 3 games that were wongable at the time of my bet.

I threw Philly in with Baltimore,Pitt,Houston for .25u.

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09-13-2010 , 12:25 PM

#116

ferb

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 454

Quote:

Originally Posted by arcdog

Ya I'm a newb sports bettor trying to bank a winning week hoping I can lucka*s my way into a big week if the Jets win by 2-8.

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09-13-2010 , 01:22 PM

#117

MyTurn2Raise

Drug Free MVP

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

Quote:

Originally Posted by ferb

I'm pretty sure you can do the estimated growth calculations, right?

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09-13-2010 , 01:52 PM

#118

Thremp

banned

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 36,452

Quote:

Originally Posted by arcdog

Terrible analogy and terrible post.

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09-13-2010 , 02:10 PM

#119

MyTurn2Raise

Drug Free MVP

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

yep

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09-13-2010 , 02:51 PM

#120

F1shRapeMe

centurion

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 196

Quote:

Originally Posted by MyTurn2Raise

I'm pretty sure you can do the estimated growth calculations, right?

Can you please expand on this for us noobs. I am in the same boat as others in this thread and contemplating hedging my bet.

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09-13-2010 , 02:53 PM

#121

Peeig

adept

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 894

Quote:

Originally Posted by F1shRapeMe

Can you please expand on this for us noobs. I am in the same boat as others in this thread and contemplating hedging my bet.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/handicappe...on-part-i.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/handicappe...n-part-ii.html

These should help

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09-13-2010 , 03:10 PM

#122

kordoISback

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 1,785

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peeig

http://forum.sbrforum.com/handicappe...on-part-i.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/handicappe...n-part-ii.html

These should help

ahhhh so much info,
thanks for the links, will run it before deciding to hedge,

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09-13-2010 , 04:58 PM

#123

ImStillBen

banned

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,790

Quote

09-13-2010 , 05:02 PM

#124

Peeig

adept

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 894

Quote:

Originally Posted by ImStillBen

haha....alright.....good point.

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09-13-2010 , 05:33 PM

#125

ProfessorBen

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 9,897

I wish I could get a spoon. I've looked at a bunch of sources including the ones linked above and tried to derive the growth manually and am failing pretty hard.

I have 4.4% to win 9% of my bankroll on ravens +8 which I estimate at 77.88% given current lines. What do I put on a hedge/middle? Someone plz teach me. TY in advance.

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