Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread - Page 2 - Sports Betting

I just reread the old wong thread I guess 2 team teaser at -110 havnt been doing too good? I might try to do more 3 teamed more w better odds. Oakline game also just cross in wongable.

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08-28-2010 , 02:53 PM

#27

Iowa!

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Quote:

Originally Posted by DonJuan

I just reread the old wong thread I guess 2 team teaser at -110 havnt been doing too good? I might try to do more 3 teamed more w better odds. Oakline game also just cross in wongable.

The required expected win rate(s) for a +EV bet is significantly lower 3 teaming at +180 than it is 2 teaming at -110.

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08-28-2010 , 03:06 PM

#28

DonJuan

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yes but the thread said since 2005 2 teamer at -110 haven't been doing as well since it been winning at a 70% clip not 72.37%. It wouldn't be a +Ev bet if it not winning at a rate it should be

. It could be variance but I rather have a +100 for two teamer then -110 just for a few extra edge. Probably won't stop me though since I am a degenerate gambler.

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08-28-2010 , 06:23 PM

#29

mulebennett

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A handful of opportunities today. I'm on Buffalo +8.5 and Tampa Bay +8.

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08-29-2010 , 02:27 AM

#30

MyTurn2Raise

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boom! headshot to the books tonight!

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08-29-2010 , 03:01 AM

#31

DonJuan

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won all my wong so far except for stupid cleveland give up two TD in 4 quarter at least it was a push.

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08-29-2010 , 01:04 PM

#32

Iowa!

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Now we just need Tebow to channel his inner Joe Webb.

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08-29-2010 , 01:29 PM

#33

gfxhjk

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Quote:

Originally Posted by DonJuan

yes but the thread said since 2005 2 teamer at -110 haven't been doing as well since it been winning at a 70% clip not 72.37%. It wouldn't be a +Ev bet if it not winning at a rate it should be

. It could be variance but I rather have a +100 for two teamer then -110 just for a few extra edge. Probably won't stop me though since I am a degenerate gambler.

just looking blindly at the #s is bad

i.e 2.5 -130/2.5 -110 one is good to tease other isn't

instead people should look at it like

if I have a line of 2.5 -130, what is % it covers 8.5 and is the boost in % enough to make the bet have positive expected value. also 2.5 on a total of 36 vs a total of 50 yield different results

don't always need to tease 6, 5.5/5 work in certain situations

same theory applies to other professional sports. there's profitable teasers in nba i've been using for a couple of years

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08-29-2010 , 02:04 PM

#34

MyTurn2Raise

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Originally Posted by Iowa!

Now we just need Tebow to channel his inner Joe Webb.

hell yeah. That play was beautiful after Childress passed up the FG about 2 minutes earlier.

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08-29-2010 , 02:05 PM

#35

MyTurn2Raise

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Quote:

Originally Posted by DonJuan

won all my wong so far except for stupid cleveland give up two TD in 4 quarter at least it was a push.

I'm running hot and placed my teasers at places and times that gave me Browns +8.5

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08-29-2010 , 02:21 PM

#36

DonJuan

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Originally Posted by rsigley

Thanks for the advice

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Originally Posted by MyTurn2Raise

I'm running hot and placed my teasers at places and times that gave me Browns +8.5

so sick....thought I had it cover until I realize I was short in winning and double check FU browns. Although I be very happy if denver cover

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08-29-2010 , 07:38 PM

#37

Poogs

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I got Browns at 8.5 too which was nice. I have a book that takes two teamers at +100 which is even nicer as well.

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08-29-2010 , 09:12 PM

#38

dawade

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PRE-SEASON WONGS!

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08-29-2010 , 09:51 PM

#39

DonJuan

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Originally Posted by Poogs

I got Browns at 8.5 too which was nice. I have a book that takes two teamers at +100 which is even nicer as well.

what book or is it local?

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08-29-2010 , 11:14 PM

#40

DonJuan

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Good start to my wong career

wish I had more books deposit to have done 3 team teaser o well.

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08-29-2010 , 11:26 PM

#41

MyTurn2Raise

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eat it books

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08-30-2010 , 07:18 AM

#42

luegofuego

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i don't know anything about am. football so i'm probably coming off pretty dumb here, but the way these work is that you take a +2.5 dog for -110, tease the line to +8.5 and get a different price? what does this "cost", odds wise? do all bookies offer this?

if the 3 and 7 are the important ones, why tease a +2.5 dog six points to 8.5 instead of five points to 7.5?

and is there a particular reason for playing these in parlays instead of just making individual bets on each game?

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08-30-2010 , 09:46 AM

#43

MyTurn2Raise

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luegofuego, here is a FAQ I put together for the Wong teases based on the smart posters at 2p2.

rsigley suggested earlier this week or the week before looking at 5 pt teases for +2.5. The problem is that those are not offered by very many sportsbooks, but it appears that, yes, there is some merit to doing it at the right price.

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08-30-2010 , 09:58 AM

#44

Peeig

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Thank you Tim Tebow for not f-ing up that hoooooge lead

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08-30-2010 , 10:00 AM

#45

MyTurn2Raise

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Thank you Dennis Dixon for being garbage

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08-30-2010 , 10:04 AM

#46

gfxhjk

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already got cut off by another local. 2 this pre season

wongggggggggggggggggggggggg

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08-30-2010 , 03:20 PM

#47

luegofuego

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Quote:

Originally Posted by MyTurn2Raise

thanks, but i don't think that answers my questions. maybe it does but i just didn't get it. why parlays?

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08-30-2010 , 03:22 PM

#48

hedgie43

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Quote:

Originally Posted by luegofuego

thanks, but i don't think that answers my questions. maybe it does but i just didn't get it. why parlays?

Because they don't offer 1 team teasers and if you buy points on a straight bet they charge you different amounts based on what numbers you are buying.

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08-30-2010 , 03:26 PM

#49

luegofuego

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another thing:

if points are priced linearly in teasers, i'm guessing it's just as linear in spread movement? which should mean chasing steam when the spread moves from 3 to 3.5 is much more profitable than chasing steam when it moves from, say, 4 to 4.5...?

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08-30-2010 , 03:27 PM

#50

luegofuego

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Quote:

Originally Posted by hedgie43

Because they don't offer 1 team teasers and if you buy points on a straight bet they charge you different amounts based on what numbers you are buying.

ah thanks, figures. that probably answers my other question too - they don't price spreads linearly when they move it from 3 to 3.5 etc?

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