Quote:
Originally Posted by DonJuan
yes but the thread said since 2005 2 teamer at -110 haven't been doing as well since it been winning at a 70% clip not 72.37%. It wouldn't be a +Ev bet if it not winning at a rate it should be . It could be variance but I rather have a +100 for two teamer then -110 just for a few extra edge. Probably won't stop me though since I am a degenerate gambler.
just looking blindly at the #s is bad
i.e 2.5 -130/2.5 -110 one is good to tease other isn't
instead people should look at it like
if I have a line of 2.5 -130, what is % it covers 8.5 and is the boost in % enough to make the bet have positive expected value. also 2.5 on a total of 36 vs a total of 50 yield different results
don't always need to tease 6, 5.5/5 work in certain situations
same theory applies to other professional sports. there's profitable teasers in nba i've been using for a couple of years