Quote:
Originally Posted by RightAngle
Hate replying to the bettingresource shill, but others have wrongly suggested that we do not win at sides, with one going as far as to say we "lose badly" at $5000 limit stuff.
CBB full game sides last year 67-61 (52.3%)
CBB full game sides last 8 years 702-579 (54.8%)
CFB full game sides last year 8-5 (61.5%)
CFB full game sides last 8 years 104-86 (54.7%)
We do much better on totals, as should be expected, but contrary to some opinions here, we've demonstrated a long term edge on sides as well. We've had losing years on sides, but have never "lost badly" on them over a reasonable sample size.
Also in response to the questioning of our motives for higher volume last year, you have to realize that our offerings on the service have changed significantly from year to year. Last year's CBB was the first time ever that we did full game sides, full game totals, 2h sides, and 2h totals from start to finish in a season. We had 450 or more plays three different years without any 2nd half plays, so getting to 529 plays with 176 second half plays last year was not unusually high volume at all.
Not shilling anything. I have tried many services including yours years ago and I settled on the ones that worked for me.
Now lets analyze your record:
CBB full game sides last year 67-61 (52.3%)
CBB full game sides last 8 years 702-579 (54.8%)
52.3% that is basically break even but losing for clients who paid thousands every year. Not to mention that when i was your client, you always release the best possible line that are not widely available before the market settles. There is a reason you release the pick at 11am before the big books remove the overnight limits.
The CBB record over the last years at 54.8 is not that bad but once again clients cannot get lines on most of your picks. You pat yourself in the back claiming that you line moves but majority of the picks are on no name small conference teams that are small betting market with small limits. Any time you tried a slightly larger market you would get crushed and sometimes the line would move against you.
Finally, winning% means nothing without the odds played and the the yield. Even though you release point spread and count the spread as the standard -110, many times you have released the spread when the odd on that spread was -110 to -120 at release time. So even though the 54% win rate is not bad, it doesn't translate well in terms of Yield
Overall for those who tailed you in all the full game sides in the last 8 years, its break even at best if they managed to get all your lines. Many are down. But you still get some clients because there are bettors who pick their spots to bet your games. Once of the best way to make money on from your picks is to wait for the sheeps that follow you to move the line and if some of the line moves back to original line, then your pick is toast over 60% of those times in those situations.
But now a days its not profitable to bet with line moves because line moves back and forth all the time. Situational handicapping is the way to go now.
If you want to call yourself a real winner and want to be talked in threads such legit top sports bettors, try to beat much bigger markets in multiple sports consistently.
Your attempt to get suckers for NFL pre-season (another small market)is a joke. This way you can claim you moved the lines and release bad lines to pad your stats.