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Old 12-24-2018, 10:39 AM   #1
Steention
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Trump Exit 2019 Odds

What odds will you give me? Vegas only. Must be reputable and willing to escrow. Looking to put about 5k down.
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Old 12-24-2018, 07:33 PM   #2
Honcho
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

Well you have 7 posts. I will give you the benefit of the doubt though and ask what are the parameters and specifics to your wager. You think DJT is not going to be POTUS on Jan 1 2020? Lay it out for me
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Old 12-24-2018, 09:34 PM   #3
Steention
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

I’m sure we have mutual acquaintances if you’re in Vegas. If Trump is not USA president at 12 a.m. EST, January 1, 2020 for any reason, I win. That is the bet I am looking to make.
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Old 12-24-2018, 09:41 PM   #4
Steention
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

Actually we don’t need to trust each other if someone can provide me liquidity on Fairlay.com
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Old 12-25-2018, 02:25 PM   #5
NYC_Jon
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

If this is just some unconventional marketing for Fairlay, congrats, you got me.
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Old 12-25-2018, 03:08 PM   #6
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

lol wtf is this?
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Old 12-27-2018, 01:36 AM   #7
Steention
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

Nah, I just wanna wager, I already got down the little liquidity they had. There aren't any Trump supporters up in here?
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Old 12-27-2018, 08:37 AM   #8
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

Quote:
Originally Posted by Steention View Post
Nah, I just wanna wager, I already got down the little liquidity they had. There aren't any Trump supporters up in here?
Why would being a Trump supporter have any relevance to this bet?
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Old 12-27-2018, 11:36 AM   #9
Steention
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

Oh, I forgot, people are “sharp” here.
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Old 12-28-2018, 03:03 PM   #10
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

I'll offer -5000.
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Old 12-29-2018, 07:26 PM   #11
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

what do you want to bet on exactly?
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Old 12-29-2018, 11:26 PM   #12
Steention
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

I would like to wager Trump exit 2019 at 20:1. My 5k, your 100k.
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Old 12-30-2018, 12:27 PM   #13
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

sounds legit. sure lemme tie up 100k for a year, stranger from the internet.
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Old 12-30-2018, 01:02 PM   #14
Sabaneta
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

Quote:
Originally Posted by Steention View Post
I would like to wager Trump exit 2019 at 20:1. My 5k, your 100k.
So you want +2000 on something various markets and books have at around -350 on the other side. gl
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Old 12-30-2018, 02:44 PM   #15
OnTheCharge
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

I was gonna say, in my mind, -300 was probably fair odds at the time of the post. Probably some bias baked into my line there, I think it’s still probable but a bit less likely now after nothing came of the Mnuchin/Powell firing rumors
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Old 12-31-2018, 09:08 PM   #16
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

Quote:
Originally Posted by Steention View Post
Oh, I forgot, people are “sharp” here.
Bit sharper than your dumb arse.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sabaneta View Post
So you want +2000 on something various markets and books have at around -350 on the other side. gl
Lol
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Old 01-01-2019, 02:37 PM   #17
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

If this random seriously thinks fair odds is +2000 then he's probably worn out his 20th MAGA hat. Or looking to hedge out of some other stupid bet.
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Old 01-01-2019, 04:33 PM   #18
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

Trump still POTUS in 1 year is -350? Lemme go max the sh!4 outta that.
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Old 01-02-2019, 07:19 AM   #19
somigosaden
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

Quote:
Originally Posted by NajdorfDefense View Post
Trump still POTUS in 1 year is -350? Lemme go max the sh!4 outta that.
My guess is that it's people getting confused reading a line for something like "Trump to be impeached in 2019," which would just mean that the House of Reps voted to impeach, at which point it would go to the Senate for a vote, where it would almost certainly be quashed.
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Old 01-02-2019, 11:25 AM   #20
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

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Originally Posted by Sabaneta View Post
So you want +2000 on something various markets and books have at around -350 on the other side. gl
Is that right? You can bet that trump will still be the president by 2020 at -350? That seems absolutely ridiculous to me. Where?
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Old 01-03-2019, 01:35 PM   #21
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

As an sidebar to this bet - what about setting odds on the reason he would be out of office? Impeachment versus quitting versus some incapacitated etc.
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Old 01-04-2019, 05:56 PM   #22
NajdorfDefense
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

Odds probably less than 1 in 5000 that Trump quits, c'mon.

How many Presidents have quit? Right.
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Old 01-04-2019, 05:56 PM   #23
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

Quote:
Originally Posted by somigosaden View Post
My guess is that it's people getting confused reading a line for something like "Trump to be impeached in 2019," which would just mean that the House of Reps voted to impeach, at which point it would go to the Senate for a vote, where it would almost certainly be quashed.
Yeah -350 he's not impeached I can agree with.
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Old 01-04-2019, 09:36 PM   #24
PokerHero77
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

Quote:
Originally Posted by NajdorfDefense View Post
Odds probably less than 1 in 5000 that Trump quits, c'mon.

How many Presidents have quit? Right.
+500000 on Trump not being POUSA Jan 1 2020 sounds acceptable to me.
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Old 01-07-2019, 05:12 AM   #25
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Re: Trump Exit 2019 Odds

you have -400 in some exchanges but you can only bet a couple hundred.

Intereting fact is that it droped from -350 in the weekend. Who was it ?
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